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Topic: Did anyone's technical analysis correctly call the drop from $13 to $5.75? - page 2. (Read 2446 times)

full member
Activity: 140
Merit: 100
That chart has held up decent considering the nonstop weekly news imo
legendary
Activity: 1484
Merit: 1005
I did via non-technical analysis https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/economic-equilibrium-and-roi-for-miners-34978

And we're back up to nearly 8 again

Here's more of my non-technical analysis: plateau at 4-5$ USD by the middle to end of next week.
legendary
Activity: 1204
Merit: 1002
I've been saying to expect a "long, slow slide" since the bubble popped.



It looks like we're returning to the slide trend.  There was a two week period of stability in mid-July followed by a big drop, adding up to the expected long, slow slide. All upward moves were brief, no more than a day or two.  Figure on a decline of about 30% a month.
member
Activity: 200
Merit: 11
TA?

Also, I read many good threads that speculated that the price would float up when it hit it's natural floor.  Speculation was general towards a dollar but ranged in most cases to six dollars.  Nobody could estimate how many investors involved with the speculation bubble were serious about adopting bitcoin, or how many would lose faith in the BTC.
hero member
Activity: 563
Merit: 501
betwithbtc.com
TA is not intended to predict unique, low probability events. It's intended to predict what's likely to happen based on predictable interactions. Whether that makes TA valuable or worthless is another question.

Sounds pointless to me.
legendary
Activity: 1596
Merit: 1012
Democracy is vulnerable to a 51% attack.
TA is not intended to predict unique, low probability events. It's intended to predict what's likely to happen based on predictable interactions. Whether that makes TA valuable or worthless is another question.
hero member
Activity: 563
Merit: 501
betwithbtc.com
Nope.  No one did.  TA is a sham.

There were some people who called it without any solid reasoning other than a feeling, but no one was able to make the prediction based on technical analysis.  Why do we listen to these con-artists?
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