Diff thread May 24 to June 6? picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.10 btc - page 9.

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4256

Merit: 8551

'The right to privacy matters'

Quote from: HerbPean on May 27, 2016, 01:14:22 PM

http://www.coindesk.com/kncminer-declares-bankruptcy-cites-upcoming-bitcoin-subsidy-halving/

Look like around 50 Peta is going down at the halving

Well I guess that is good. But these days 50 ph is a drop in the bucket.

Here is a real time update

https://blockchain.info/blocks

413664 (Main Chain) 2016-05-27 18:21:44 current block

413282 (Main Chain) 2016-05-24 21:23:04 this was first one of this jump

so 383 made

2 days = 288

21 hours = 126

20 minutes 2

so we should be at 416

383/416 -1 = (7.932692307692%)

but we saw a 1000ph spike so real time does not mean much if they can 2x the network anytime they want to do so.

HerbPean

legendary

Activity: 1638

Merit: 1005

http://www.coindesk.com/kncminer-declares-bankruptcy-cites-upcoming-bitcoin-subsidy-halving/

Look like around 50 Peta is going down at the halving

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4256

Merit: 8551

'The right to privacy matters'

Quote from: notlist3d on May 26, 2016, 11:45:01 PM

Quote from: philipma1957 on May 26, 2016, 09:55:33 PM

https://blockchain.info/blocks

413581 (Main Chain) 2016-05-27 02:46:30 current block

413282 (Main Chain) 2016-05-24 21:23:04 this was first one of this jump

300 even

2 days = 288
5 hours = 30
30 minutes = 3

321 = 0%

300/321-1 = (-6.542056074766%)

real time number. but we saw them add 1000 ph so this is pretty much a worthless number.

On adding I keep thinking we will see next gen. I honestly am surprised there has not been anyone to release it yet. I keep thinking we will see it before having from someone but I could be wrong.

If we don't see next gen before having it's going to get even tighter on profits at least for me. But value took a good jump .. nice to see coinbase around 467 and China is awake now. So hopefully we see it go up even more.

update

413627 (Main Chain) 2016-05-27 11:44:27

413282 (Main Chain) 2016-05-24 21:23:04

346 blocks made

2 days 288
14 hours 84
40 min 4

376 = 0%

346/376-1 = (-7.978723404255%)

This is great but we know they can add 1000ph anytime they want to. They are pumping value to do sales. Along with Diff drop.

Buying an expensive s-9 at 450 a coin looks bad ,

buying it at 650 a coin seems better.

We saw the big pump from 200 to 500 last fall

Maybe we pump from 450 to 650 this time.

My issue with this is it is clearly manipulation of Diff and price.

adaseb

legendary

Activity: 3808

Merit: 1723

The high to beat is the $504 high from Nov 2015. After that we are approaching highs from 2014's.

Too bad I pretty much sold all my ASICs for GPUs.

RichBC

hero member

Activity: 588

Merit: 500

Yes let's hope we can hold this price and then build on it. So Yesterday was -6.235% with 135 Blocks and this Morning off to a slow start with the Period to Date Run Rate down to -7.8%. Let's hope the Price & Hash Rate trends can continue, but getting both I guess is just a bit greedy...

Rich

notlist3d

legendary

Activity: 1456

Merit: 1000

Quote from: RichBC on May 27, 2016, 12:09:14 AM

Wow just up in the UK and look at the price... $472 Had to do a double take, does anyone know the reason?

Rich

Don't know reason why but I wont complain. It seems that China is driving it I think looking at timing of it. But I have not heard of any news or great things to be the reason China is pushing it up.

RichBC

hero member

Activity: 588

Merit: 500

Wow just up in the UK and look at the price... $472 Had to do a double take, does anyone know the reason?

Rich

notlist3d

legendary

Activity: 1456

Merit: 1000

Quote from: philipma1957 on May 26, 2016, 09:55:33 PM

https://blockchain.info/blocks

413581 (Main Chain) 2016-05-27 02:46:30 current block

413282 (Main Chain) 2016-05-24 21:23:04 this was first one of this jump

300 even

2 days = 288
5 hours = 30
30 minutes = 3

321 = 0%

300/321-1 = (-6.542056074766%)

real time number. but we saw them add 1000 ph so this is pretty much a worthless number.

On adding I keep thinking we will see next gen. I honestly am surprised there has not been anyone to release it yet. I keep thinking we will see it before having from someone but I could be wrong.

If we don't see next gen before having it's going to get even tighter on profits at least for me. But value took a good jump .. nice to see coinbase around 467 and China is awake now. So hopefully we see it go up even more.

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4256

Merit: 8551

'The right to privacy matters'

https://blockchain.info/blocks

413581 (Main Chain) 2016-05-27 02:46:30 current block

413282 (Main Chain) 2016-05-24 21:23:04 this was first one of this jump

300 even

2 days = 288
5 hours = 30
30 minutes = 3

321 = 0%

300/321-1 = (-6.542056074766%)

real time number. but we saw them add 1000 ph so this is pretty much a worthless number.

TheYankeesWin!

sr. member

Activity: 464

Merit: 301

https://blockchain.info/blocks

413518 (Main Chain) 2016-05-26 15:28:27 we are here right now

413282 (Main Chain) 2016-05-24 21:23:04 this was first one of this jump

we are at 237 made

1 day 144 blocks
18 hours 108 blocks
20 minutes 2 blocks

that is 254 for 0%

so 237/254 -1 = - 6.692913385827% real time number

So this was early today. Where do we stand now?

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4256

Merit: 8551

'The right to privacy matters'

Quote from: Mikestang on May 26, 2016, 01:04:07 PM

We might see a flat adjustment, but I doubt we'll see significant negative until after the halving, if even then.

Looks like the burn-in test of the next gen hardware is over. My guess is now we will see the last gen stuff coming offline and being resold to make room for the new gear, and then the difficulty will go up up up. When will we see a 500G difficulty? Undecided

my guess is we won't see 500diff very soon

the ½ ing and the new gear will kill off everything that is older for a lot of miners.

once the ½ ing happens a 14 th machine using .1 watts is

- at a diff of 479 at 10 cent power pulls in 461 after power
- at a diff of 583 at 8 cent power pulls in 645 after power
- at a diff of 744 at 6 cent power pulls in 879 after power
- at a diff of 1154 at 4 cent power pulls in 1171 after power
- at a diff of 1546 at 3 cent power pulls in 1350 after power

I used 5% diff jumps based on the above diff will not rise at 5% and I used today as the day you start it up. so if btc is going to work we are going to see flat growth not 5% jumps

Mikestang

legendary

Activity: 1274

Merit: 1000

We might see a flat adjustment, but I doubt we'll see significant negative until after the halving, if even then.

Looks like the burn-in test of the next gen hardware is over. My guess is now we will see the last gen stuff coming offline and being resold to make room for the new gear, and then the difficulty will go up up up. When will we see a 500G difficulty? Undecided

notlist3d

legendary

Activity: 1456

Merit: 1000

I would be extremely happy with a negative, I'm not sure we will see one though. April 28 was technically a negative but not by much -0.01%. It's been since March 4th since last decent negative -3.10%. I hope I am wrong.

Bitwisdom is higher then real:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    199,312,067,531
Estimated Next Difficulty:    207,824,409,631 (+4.27%)
Adjust time:    After 1769 Blocks, About 11.8 days
Hashrate(?):    1,431,198,131 GH/s

Price has remained above 450 on coinbase is a good thing. Were around 453 hopefully we can gain ground I really would love to see 460 again.

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4256

Merit: 8551

'The right to privacy matters'

Quote from: HerbPean on May 26, 2016, 12:05:44 PM

Quote from: philipma1957 on May 25, 2016, 11:31:23 PM

Quote from: HerbPean on May 25, 2016, 10:54:52 PM

Quote from: philipma1957 on May 25, 2016, 09:00:18 PM

adds to 172 so 166/172-1 = (-3.488372093023%)

12 Digits after the decimal Grin

The calculator on the Mac mini rounds to 12 digits.

And I know that there is a tiny chance of a number like

2.5999999999999999 which would round to 2.60. Since my claculator only goes to 12 digits .

If indeed that happens I will pay both Picks since the odds would be more then 1 billion to one.

At kexkey some may earn the,nickname "numbers". Some have called me Phillie numbers as I am quick with math.

Sometimes you can refer to a person as your "numbers" guy. A slang that means you rely on that person for math choices because he is,good with numbers.

Yeah I was joking about all the rounding issue. I mean 12 digit should be plenty enough for what we are doing.

I figured you were. i tried dry humor with my reply but it does not play well in type. Grin

HerbPean

legendary

Activity: 1638

Merit: 1005

Quote from: philipma1957 on May 25, 2016, 11:31:23 PM

Quote from: HerbPean on May 25, 2016, 10:54:52 PM

Quote from: philipma1957 on May 25, 2016, 09:00:18 PM

adds to 172 so 166/172-1 = (-3.488372093023%)

12 Digits after the decimal Grin

The calculator on the Mac mini rounds to 12 digits.

And I know that there is a tiny chance of a number like

2.5999999999999999 which would round to 2.60. Since my claculator only goes to 12 digits .

If indeed that happens I will pay both Picks since the odds would be more then 1 billion to one.

At kexkey some may earn the,nickname "numbers". Some have called me Phillie numbers as I am quick with math.

Sometimes you can refer to a person as your "numbers" guy. A slang that means you rely on that person for math choices because he is,good with numbers.

Yeah I was joking about all the rounding issue. I mean 12 digit should be plenty enough for what we are doing.

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4256

Merit: 8551

'The right to privacy matters'

Quote from: jonnybravo0311 on May 26, 2016, 10:37:00 AM

There was recently a blackout in Seattle... that corresponds to the drop off of this spike. Who has the 1 EH datacenter in Seattle that blew the grid? Tongue

I like this news.
real time below

https://blockchain.info/blocks

413518 (Main Chain) 2016-05-26 15:28:27 we are here right now

413282 (Main Chain) 2016-05-24 21:23:04 this was first one of this jump

we are at 237 made

1 day 144 blocks
18 hours 108 blocks
20 minutes 2 blocks

that is 254 for 0%

so 237/254 -1 = - 6.692913385827% real time number
see charts:

TheBossMan

newbie

Activity: 56

Merit: 0

Quote from: jonnybravo0311 on May 26, 2016, 10:37:00 AM

There was recently a blackout in Seattle... that corresponds to the drop off of this spike. Who has the 1 EH datacenter in Seattle that blew the grid? Tongue

The surge that is the power grid!

jonnybravo0311

legendary

Activity: 1344

Merit: 1024

Mine at Jonny's Pool

There was recently a blackout in Seattle... that corresponds to the drop off of this spike. Who has the 1 EH datacenter in Seattle that blew the grid? Tongue

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4256

Merit: 8551

'The right to privacy matters'

Quote from: RichBC on May 26, 2016, 01:35:58 AM

So first full Day of the new Period and we did -4.17% with 138 Blocks. Slowish start this Morning and the Period to Date Run Rate sits at -5.9%. OK so far....

Rich

look at this screen shot:

RichBC

hero member

Activity: 588

Merit: 500

So first full Day of the new Period and we did -4.17% with 138 Blocks. Slowish start this Morning and the Period to Date Run Rate sits at -5.9%. OK so far....

Rich

Topic: Diff thread May 24 to June 6? picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.10 btc - page 9. (Read 8941 times)