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Topic: Diff thread oct 15th to oct 29th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward. - page 5. (Read 6151 times)

legendary
Activity: 4326
Merit: 8950
'The right to privacy matters'
 http://btc.blockr.io/charts

10-15-2015   164 blocks made  -------144 norm         + 20  but ⅓ were last  adj so + 14   blocks and about   +13%  


10-16-2015.  144 blocks made = normal. So we are about + 14 with about 247 blocks made.  we dropped to about +6%


10-17-2015   136 blocks made vs 144 or -8          I see us at +6 blocks. I changed this as it was changed on the site

10-18-2015   148 blocks made      +4                  I see us at +10 blocks

10-19-2015   167 blocks made    +23         so + 33 blocks

10-20-2015   127 blocks made     -17.  so + 16blocksn

 818 made should be 802=  +1.99%

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   60,883,825,480
Estimated Next Difficulty:   61,431,816,676 (+0.90%)
Adjust time:   After 1209 Blocks, About 8.3 days
Hashrate(?):   444,762,778 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.8 minutes
3 blocks: 29.5 minutes
6 blocks: 59.0 minutes
Updated:   21:35 (3.1 minutes ago)
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
1588BTC is around what like 150 Miners or so? When you account with shipping and PSU sales.

150X5=0.75Pth/s.

It will hardly affect the overall difficulty.

It's probably closer to 200 but yeah, even 1 PH/s is ~0.2% of total hashrate. So even if they managed to sell that much EVERY day and then deliver the miners at the same pace (clearly not happening with Batch 1) it's still only 2.8% per cycle.
and now with the pretesting I think they took a few hundred offline today.

Blocks dropped to 128 or so after yesterday doing 169.

So from the data I see bitmaintech takes a few hundred offline then puts a few hundred online rinse repeat.

Maybe we don't do five or six percent like we thought maybe we do more like three or even two percent

I think you are likely right.   I was thinking much bigger on data center on holding but it seems like it's been smaller then I thought.  I kept thinking huge wave coming but it seems like I might have been all wrong.

So it could be good news for us if this continues.  I wont wine if we are stuck with just a few each difficulty.   What will be interesting is once others start shipping to and two competing. But it's hard to tell when another maker will finally do a production run.
legendary
Activity: 4326
Merit: 8950
'The right to privacy matters'
1588BTC is around what like 150 Miners or so? When you account with shipping and PSU sales.

150X5=0.75Pth/s.

It will hardly affect the overall difficulty.

It's probably closer to 200 but yeah, even 1 PH/s is ~0.2% of total hashrate. So even if they managed to sell that much EVERY day and then deliver the miners at the same pace (clearly not happening with Batch 1) it's still only 2.8% per cycle.
and now with the pretesting I think they took a few hundred offline today.

Blocks dropped to 128 or so after yesterday doing 169.

So from the data I see bitmaintech takes a few hundred offline then puts a few hundred online rinse repeat.

Maybe we don't do five or six percent like we thought maybe we do more like three or even two percent
legendary
Activity: 3654
Merit: 8909
https://bpip.org
1588BTC is around what like 150 Miners or so? When you account with shipping and PSU sales.

150X5=0.75Pth/s.

It will hardly affect the overall difficulty.

It's probably closer to 200 but yeah, even 1 PH/s is ~0.2% of total hashrate. So even if they managed to sell that much EVERY day and then deliver the miners at the same pace (clearly not happening with Batch 1) it's still only 2.8% per cycle.
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
I wonter if we will see a little bit each day of S7's.  I wish we could run a scrypt or something and see all miners in air.  I think there must be quite a few on batch one about  to owner.

In the last few days Bitmain has been selling S7s like there's no stopping them.  All this hash is coming to a difficulty adjustment near you soon!  My guess is the huge spike is a couple very large orders to a few people.  Those are the ones that are going to made a bump in the difficulty.  I think what we're seeing now is just the "little guys" getting their S7s running.

Bitmain sold today 1600BTC worth of S7s  Shocked

removed image for making smaller

Holy Crap!   BTC is up to 269 so as far as price per BTC i is really good as far as buying gear from bitmain it's the best it's been.  Only thing is there is no longer 100 dollar coupons so it kinda evens out to a point.

Guess we will see what happens.   But that is a lot of sales in one day.
legendary
Activity: 3808
Merit: 1723
1588BTC is around what like 150 Miners or so? When you account with shipping and PSU sales.

150X5=0.75Pth/s.

It will hardly affect the overall difficulty.
legendary
Activity: 1274
Merit: 1000
I wonter if we will see a little bit each day of S7's.  I wish we could run a scrypt or something and see all miners in air.  I think there must be quite a few on batch one about  to owner.

In the last few days Bitmain has been selling S7s like there's no stopping them.  All this hash is coming to a difficulty adjustment near you soon!  My guess is the huge spike is a couple very large orders to a few people.  Those are the ones that are going to made a bump in the difficulty.  I think what we're seeing now is just the "little guys" getting their S7s running.

Bitmain sold today 1600BTC worth of S7s  Shocked


legendary
Activity: 1344
Merit: 1024
Mine at Jonny's Pool
As of this writing, we just added block 379767 to the chain.  The diff adjustment was block 379008.  That was on 2015-10-15 11:32:31.  379767 was found 2015-10-20 17:31:30.  This is one second shy of 7559 minutes.  We have solved 759 blocks in that time.  Expected average for that time is 755 (just one minute and one second shy of expecting 756).

So, we've actually found 759 and should have found 755.  Only 4 blocks over for the period so far...
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
Bitwisdom going the opposite way as I thought it would:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    60,883,825,480
Estimated Next Difficulty:    61,912,186,259 (+1.69%)
Adjust time:    After 1265 Blocks, About 8.5 days
Hashrate(?):    432,228,640 GH/s

Not sure why it's going down.  But price still looks nice at around 268 we might have a really good day.
hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 500
Estimated Next Difficulty:    62,495,276,435 (+2.65%)
Adjust time:    After 1312 Blocks, About 8.7 days

Under 5% is no cause for DEFCON 1  Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 4326
Merit: 8950
'The right to privacy matters'
 http://btc.blockr.io/charts

10-15-2015   164 blocks made  -------144 norm         + 20  but ⅓ were last  adj so + 14   blocks and about   +13%  


10-16-2015.  144 blocks made = normal. So we are about + 14 with about 247 blocks made.  we dropped to about +6%


10-17-2015   136 blocks made vs 144 or -8          I see us at +6 blocks. I changed this as it was changed on the site

10-18-2015   148 blocks made      +4                  I see us at +10 blocks

10-19-2015   167 blocks made    +23         so + 33 blocks

we have done 686 blocks instead of 653 that is +5.05%  that is the real number below is the predicted

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

(+2.11%)

maybe we go to 7 % this jump just depends on the amount of 167 block days we get.
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
-1.51%  to  -1.75%   Questor

I can dream, right?!

yes you can.

and not to crush a dream but


 https://blockchain.info/blocks


379678 (Main Chain)   2015-10-19 22:58:15


379517 (Main Chain)   2015-10-19 00:00:44


162 blocks today with 1 hour left

Bitwisdom slowly going up:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    60,883,825,480
Estimated Next Difficulty:    62,215,600,618 (+2.19%)
Adjust time:    After 1342 Blocks, About 9.0 days
Hashrate(?):    446,987,746 GH/s

I wonter if we will see a little bit each day of S7's.  I wish we could run a scrypt or something and see all miners in air.  I think there must be quite a few on batch one about  to owner.   And 2/3 really have not been talked about much.

Price is pretty good going up to around 265.  If we can get a solid slow upward trend it would be nice.
legendary
Activity: 4326
Merit: 8950
'The right to privacy matters'
-1.51%  to  -1.75%   Questor

I can dream, right?!

yes you can.

and not to crush a dream but


 https://blockchain.info/blocks


379678 (Main Chain)   2015-10-19 22:58:15


379517 (Main Chain)   2015-10-19 00:00:44


162 blocks today with 1 hour left
legendary
Activity: 1274
Merit: 1000
Well price is back up to $264, I think we're going to waffle around in the 260s for a bit before we move any higher.  There's a lot of hardware out there waiting to come online and I think that is playing into it.

Diff this period is starting to rise as people plug in there S7s around the globe.  Still not seeing that mega-jump we were all expecting, but I have to think it will come soon.
member
Activity: 71
Merit: 10
-1.51%  to  -1.75%   Questor

I can dream, right?!
legendary
Activity: 4326
Merit: 8950
'The right to privacy matters'



picks:


-1.26%  to  -1.50%   Tupsu
-1.01%  to  -1.25%   philipma1957
-0.26%  to -0.50%    ezeminer
-0.01%  to -0.25%    wlefever
            0.00%          Kexkey
+0.01% to + 0.25%  lolxxxx   ---------I would like you to win with this.
+0.26% to + 0.50%  valkir
+0.51% to + 0.75%  mavericklm
+0.76% to + 1.00%  RichBC
+1.01% to + 1.25%  d57heinz
+1.26% to + 1.50%  tss
+1.51% to + 1.75%  Finksy ---------- corrected from 1.76 to 1.75
+1.76% to + 2.00%  ingiltere
+2.01% to + 2.25%  DanielRo
+2.26% to + 2.50%  HerbPean
+2.51% to + 2.75%  tlhIlwI
+2.76% to + 3.00%  Amph
+3.01% to + 3.25%  EternalWingsofGod
+3.26% to + 3.50%  troleybus  
+3.51% to + 3.75%  edonkey
+3.76% to + 4.00%  zebedee
+4.01% to + 4.25%  Mikestang
+4.26% to + 4.50%  VirosaGITS
+4.51% to  +4.75%  wpt1wpt1 -------------- I moved you 1 slot  as your  pick was taken already
+4.76% to + 5.00%  Notlist3d
+5.01% to + 5.25%  adaseb
+5.26% to + 5.50%  Last of the V8s
+5.51% to + 5.75%  flikflak
+5.76% to + 6.00%  jonnybravo0311







full member
Activity: 237
Merit: 100
Smile while thinking.
0.00%       Kexkey

 Grin
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
Morning bitwisdom:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    60,883,825,480
Estimated Next Difficulty:    61,957,335,341 (+1.76%)
Adjust time:    After 1425 Blocks, About 9.5 days
Hashrate(?):    442,544,990 GH/s

Monday is a delivery day.  So will be interessting to see some S7's possibly hit peoples door.   Price is hanging around 262, so not bad.  Hopefully a slow nice incline in price.

And here's the difficulty.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xSLlZh9yelk

It's about midday so far not a big spike on bitwisdom:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    60,883,825,480
Estimated Next Difficulty:    61,898,624,915 (+1.67%)
Adjust time:    After 1372 Blocks, About 9.2 days
Hashrate(?):    444,236,570 GH/s

Maybe after work we will see some upwards movement.  I am thinking in mail it has to have some of batch one today.
legendary
Activity: 2212
Merit: 1118
Lie down. Have a cookie
Morning bitwisdom:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    60,883,825,480
Estimated Next Difficulty:    61,957,335,341 (+1.76%)
Adjust time:    After 1425 Blocks, About 9.5 days
Hashrate(?):    442,544,990 GH/s

Monday is a delivery day.  So will be interessting to see some S7's possibly hit peoples door.   Price is hanging around 262, so not bad.  Hopefully a slow nice incline in price.

And here's the difficulty.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xSLlZh9yelk
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
Morning bitwisdom:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    60,883,825,480
Estimated Next Difficulty:    61,957,335,341 (+1.76%)
Adjust time:    After 1425 Blocks, About 9.5 days
Hashrate(?):    442,544,990 GH/s

Monday is a delivery day.  So will be interessting to see some S7's possibly hit peoples door.   Price is hanging around 262, so not bad.  Hopefully a slow nice incline in price.
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