Fiat could stand this storm and then the gold and cryptos just will be seen as big bubbles, so right now I´m just passively observing. I´m actually still not comfortable putting my savings into a highly speculative currency based on a software that is far from flawless.
If a organization would like to shut down the cryptos they would only have to invest about 20$ millions(this a piss in the sea for a government or bank) into ASICs and then kill it with a 51%-attack. It´s probably not gonna happen, but it isnt totally unlikely either.
Cryptos will always be see a bubble cause that what people want to believe. It is young it is going to move up and down fast.
The software has yet to be hacked so to say it is far from flawless is not correct. You do know most software ship with ~ 50,000 Bugs known. Bitcoin software is probably one of the most well written pieces of software I have seen.
It would be a lot more than $20 million, if that was true then NSA would have done it a long time ago. NSA does know about bitcoin, the CIA invited Gavin to talk about it so it is on there radar.
The total tH/s of the bitcoin network is 64 terahashes/s right now. And a minirig from BFL costed $30 000 and produced 1,5 tH/s so to get up over 64 tH/s I would have to get 43 minirigs and that would cost me about 1.3$ million so I was being generous when I said 20$ million, calculating that the hashrate would increase a lot and that goverments usually are cost ineffective.
I could make alot of money if I had the capital to perform a 51 %-attack because I could short the bitcoin-market before, Actually a big organization dont really have anything to loose in a investment like that. Because they could make a lot of money shorting the market and in the same way getting rid of competition, and if they failed a 51%-attack they still would control a huge amount of the bitcoin market.
I think the bitcoin far from flawless, but that´s just me and I like you to prove me wrong.