Topic: Do you believe in gambling experts predictions? - page 39. (Read 9786 times)

Trading signal efficacy indexes are also analysed by me. I trust only those with an effectiveness of 85%, like you. In an industry where subscriptions are at stake, its a high standard.

My specialisation differs slightly. Some people are sceptical about jack-of-all-trades forecasts, but I've found that a nuanced approach can work. Cross-disciplinary views are valuable, however specialisation in 2 or 3 sports may improve success rates. Sometimes one sport's fundamentals can reveal another's tendencies, providing unanticipated benefits.

The key is discernment. I share your preference for transparently explaining specialists' reasoning and predictions. Through transparency, trust is built. In gambling, where understanding and deception are blurred, I advocate educated, pleasurable gambling.

An "expert" will always charge them every month because they subscribe to other channels to get their predictions so they can share them on their own channels. They will easily admit that it results from their predictions without mentioning that it results from subscribing to other channels. And yes, the person who wins will think he is great and will not want to admit that others are also great. And those who subscribe to his channel will bear the costs of subscribing to other channels so that the "expert" can still get his predictions. So we shouldn't be surprised if there are people who claim to be "experts" who share their free predictions with people and say they have a VIP channel.

If someone is asking you for money, then ignore them, they are just a regular bettors who bet frequently and think that they'll be able to earn additional money if they make a ticket and sell it. I can predict that Arsenal will against West Ham, PSG will win against Lille and then sell you this ticket. I am 100% dependent on luck in this case and believe me, you won't find people who know fixed matches and sell it for a few bucks. Btw no one sells fixed matches, if that happens, it's always inside a few people.

I myself had a free soccer prediction thread on bitcointalk years ago. If you ever decide to have a look at sports predictions, always check free info and don't hope that any premium info will help you to make a good ticket, that will most likely be a scam or simply a dude who watches football and bets according to his mind.

In as much as you shouldn’t stake your money just because someone is a said expert, I must agree that there are people who are skilled at doing the necessary analysis to tell you what team will emerge the winner. But I don’t recommend staking your money because we are all humans and he could be wrong this time (it’s his opinion after all). Simply follow your own analysis but irrespective of whose analysis you follow, take your mind off the money and assume you lost it because there’s no body’s prediction that will guarantee a 100% win.

I would start with definition of an gambling prediction expert. What kind of person this guy needs to be? If this is an expert or every sport and always can give an advice where and on who to bet, then I would not trust this person. It is impossible to be an expert in everything. If this guy is passioned about football and about specific club for example. Then I would listen to his advices, but still think twice before making a bet.

That's the thing.

The so-called "experts" will simply continue to guess at random, and always charge a fee.

Sometimes they will win, and sometimes they will lose.

People that win with their advice will think they are great, and the reverse for the people that lost.

But it doesn't matter because there is always more people getting into their pipeline, and since they always charge a fee, they can continue to operate, independent of their results.

Well this is something we always have to observe, first of all to believe in an expert they have to have a failure rate, in fact they always scan it in terms of percentages, the accuracy rates they should have would be 85% for it to be correct, but the other reason is that they can fail, that's what I see that could happen to sports betting, do you have the most accuracy of those who give signals in tading? It's something that I don't know very well, but I believe that it can make a difference, in this case things can look like this, I am a person who has been participating in things that are trading and well the signals are like that, I only believe in I know that they have an effectiveness index above 85% because with them you pay subscriptions or something like that, so it is something relative, as far as I am concerned, I am a person who is quite determined with that because if it does pay It has to be very efficient.

Of course, things happen when they turn out well, because Only the Person should take Advantage, I don't know what, but I think that a Professional Should do well with a Specific sport and not be so general, for me there should only be those that are Good for 2 or 3 sports, but those who make predictions for all the exercises, games, disciplines, well , it's something that I at least don't believe, that's basically what I'm looking for in this, if it's a person that Covers many  well if I don't believe him much, I won't realize that he is Fine , he is a very attentive person who could tell lies and make the bets to make them  , Obviously I like that he says that he is going to Make the bets like this or the prediction and that he gives his view, so that one can Also see that they are not Doing it for the sake of doing it but for something well thought out, that is valued by me and I Think that also the people who follow the Professionals , Well , things should be like that, to Know that they are not saying lies.

It's normal with human nature to notice wrongs much quicker than they would with wrights, and people are usually moved to quickly believe and capitalize on failures than they would with success so there's this instinct waiting to experience that failure so as to feed their doubts so they could say they were right after all.

This has actually made so many people prefer to keep their analysis to themselves rather than share it because some times when you share your analysis some people will rather only criticize it than they would commend and this can even be very discouraging and sometimes get you confused and even want to doubts your analysis not knowing that no analysis is best until nit turns out that you were favoured by the odds but then your analysis can be right most of the time and they nighty percentage is all that you need and not the validation of others which sometimes could be wrong.

On the time that you have been able to reach out a condition or state that you are making some good profits in gambling then this is the time that you would really be making  yourself
can be called to be a professional but of course in speaking about loses then it would be something inevitable. The only difference on here is that you do be able to make yourself that
making profits in series between winning and losing bets. On the question in regarding believing into those experts? Well it would be on your own personal choice since not all would really be having
those kind of optimistic approach and believe that they could really be able to take advantage if they would really be following those steps.

We all know that there is gambling that only depends on luck which will give you a win and there is also gambling that requires us to have knowledge and skills to be able to play, but in my opinion it only increases the chances of winning, such as in poker gambling and sports betting secondly In my opinion, this gambling thing requires having good skills and knowledge to be able to increase your winnings, but what is clear is that the winnings you can get in gambling are based on your luck.

However, in my opinion, the advantages that casinos or bookies have cannot be denied, let alone changed by just anyone including those of us who are just ordinary gamblers who hope to win and in my opinion the superiority of the host cannot be changed because in fact the aim of establishing a casino is to make a profit therefore the host will not just give away the winnings because in reality we have to be aware that if we do so gambling is better naturally because this is a place of paid entertainment and it is not clear that it will provide profitable winnings.

A successful sport bettor has a lot in common with a successful trader, and in many cases they even use similar techniques they have copied from each other, so this idea that a sport bettor needs to get every single one of their predictions right to make money is mistaken, just as it is mistaken to think that traders need to win every trade they make to make profits.

Sport bettors just need to win a little bit more often than what chance on itself will allow it to overcome the house edge of casinos, something that is hard without a doubt, but that is not impossible to do.

What makes them gambling experts is from the results of their games, and how far they've gone utilizing their gambling strategies. The need for being a professional gambler is not to supply analysis for a token or a percentage if the prediction works. Experts spend time doing it for themselves. No need meddling with other players and trying to convince them to try out their analysis. Because it can get wrong for the next person. Most of the times. Gamblers who neglect their predicting skill, and don't work to figure out ways of making an organized method of gambling, are the reason why some unqualified experts come out from the blues to sell predictions. Causing more loss of money for the gambler. Even when he wins, he'd give out some to the expert for helping him win. That's not a good means of gambling. The fun will not stay there for a long period. Gamblers also get compulsive about buying gambling predictions.

I agree with most of the things you said in the first paragraph. Indeed, it isn’t just about winning 6 out of 10 but also about if the games you win are profitable or they are obvious and easy predictions to count as win stats. For the second paragraph, I don’t think that the games with those little odds are nonprofitable but they are even safer because the chance of you winning that prediction is really high, which is why they reduce the amount you can win.

In my opinion, if there really are people who are experts in predicting gambling so that their predictions are always correct and produce profits, of course they must have generated a lot of assets and there is also a small chance that they will share their prediction strategy, even if they publish it, I don't think they will provide it with it's free, just like with streamers who gamble, giving this or that strategy with the result of getting profitable wins, and many people follow it, I think if they follow it the results will not be the same, because in my opinion gambling is based on luck, even though there is gambling that requires skill to play, in my opinion it only increases the chance of winning, but with the result of winning or losing it is luck that will determine it.

with streamers who provide strategies or something like that to make a win at gambling, they are smart people, because they can take advantage of things that are currently busy so that even with lots of people watching it will generate profits, and I think people who follow their strategies are people who quite stupid, because they don't see the side of luck. and as you said, they should hide their identity for security reasons instead of publicizing it.

That's the point. Though I believe that experience and knowledge do play a great role, if someone has a lot of knowledge and experience about a craft, their suggestions might be good ones, but why would you need to rely totally on someone else's suggestions and tips? Learn everything yourself, and then if you even listen to the suggestions of others, you will at least have an idea about what they are suggesting and why they are suggesting that, and then you can make your own decisions after evaluating everything.

Hence, I'm also not a fan of making bets or gambling based on someone else's signals and tips even if they are an expert of the craft. I would first learn everything myself, and then I will make my decisions based on my research and analysis which might include the tips and suggestions received from others.

 Have you noticed a strange feature: if you have done some kind of analysis, then you really don't want to tell anyone about it. Because if you tell me, then what kind of forecast is going to lose its power?
I have this feeling all the time, I do not know why psychology works like this.
After all, if you tell a good person about your forecast, nothing will actually change.

And by doing this, we learn why we don't easily trust someone. Because if they were right, I was sure they didn't bother themselves telling people about their predictions instead, they kept it. However, they wanted to share and make people think they would win by following their predictions. Predictions are just assumptions and it will be wrong. Maybe we believe that there are gambling experts but talking about predictions, it is different. We can predict of course but never expect for sure winnings, the same thing about following experts' predictions.

Yeah, you're probably right.

At the end of the day most people are just simply trying to make some money, so that's what most people will try to do.

If they try to manipulate someone then for sure they are trying to after something like getting payments or returns from those people that's why we should not look for single source of information if we need something since as said by many personal research is truly important since this can help us became good on our field and we can determine that predictions released by those so called expert have basis or not.

Its important for us to get knowledge so no one can fool us especially on those kind of information since we can expect to see a lot of this its because those people also try their luck to gather people so that they can earn a lot of money from them. To many manipulative tactics has been made so to avoid this we should bare some good knowledge about what we are doing especially on sports gambling scene.

These guys who declare themselves experts, they have been telling people that the most important thing is that the person has more wins than losses, and people believe in these experts because they manage to have more wins than losses, as you gave an example of 10 games It's getting right in 6 games and having 4 defeats, but the problem with that is that having a lot of hits doesn't guarantee making a profit. For example, what the experts have done, they analyze 10 games with odds of 1.15, then they manage to get it right in 7 games but get it wrong in 3 games, with this very low odds value people are left with losses, but they still continue to believe in the guy who considers himself an expert because he tells them that the most important thing is that people have more victories than defeats

and people can't sit down and think for themselves about the profitability of gambling. Betting on games with low odds is something very bad and brings losses in the long term, people only discover this when they lose a lot and have no more funds. The ideal is for people to bet on games with odds of 2.00, but these are always very difficult games to predict and the chance of making mistakes is very high, which is why having many hits in games with odds of 2.00 becomes profitable, but the guys who They consider themselves experts and don't give advice on betting on high odds games because they don't want to lose bets and lose followers.