That's why people who are truly experts in analyzing and predicting won't tell the crowd. They prefer to save or share it with the people closest to them so they still have privacy and can do other things. They also don't want any reputation because according to them, it doesn't mean anything and is just a reputation that can be lost in an instant. These are the ones who can make money from gambling and even use it to meet their daily needs.
Yes, they might lose because of mistakes in analyzing, and that is still within reasonable limits because their analysis is also not perfect. And when they bet, they place it secretly and don't tell anyone because they don't want to hear that anyone will blame them because their analysis is wrong.
That's a very good argument.
Anyone selling you data or any kind of signal or whatever, clearly is not making money from their thing.
Otherwise they would just keep quiet and continue making money with it.
The fact is that we humans find it easier to find something wrong than finding something right. So if an assumed expert gives his analysis and the game fails, people would pay more attention to that (maybe because it hurts) than if they had a win. I think that is why some people don’t like to share their analysis. What I believe makes someone good at analysis is if they win more than they lose, let’s say the least of 6 wins out of 10 games. But still don’t trust anyone because the analysis you listen to and make your decision with could be the one that fails, you just never know until you lose money.
These guys who declare themselves experts, they have been telling people that the most important thing is that the person has more wins than losses, and people believe in these experts because they manage to have more wins than losses, as you gave an example of 10 games It's getting right in 6 games and having 4 defeats, but the problem with that is that having a lot of hits doesn't guarantee making a profit. For example, what the experts have done, they analyze 10 games with odds of 1.15, then they manage to get it right in 7 games but get it wrong in 3 games, with this very low odds value people are left with losses, but they still continue to believe in the guy who considers himself an expert because he tells them that the most important thing is that people have more victories than defeats
and people can't sit down and think for themselves about the profitability of gambling. Betting on games with low odds is something very bad and brings losses in the long term, people only discover this when they lose a lot and have no more funds. The ideal is for people to bet on games with odds of 2.00, but these are always very difficult games to predict and the chance of making mistakes is very high, which is why having many hits in games with odds of 2.00 becomes profitable, but the guys who They consider themselves experts and don't give advice on betting on high odds games because they don't want to lose bets and lose followers.