Topic: Do you listen to your instinct before gambling? - page 4. (Read 336 times)

I don't know if I can recall the last time I placed a bet based on my instinct or regret not playing the game that came to my head; it's been long since I have such experience, but I can understand the area you are coming from, as it's something I have encountered before, but it was on pool betting's that have to do with certain numbers, and the games under them are to end up playing a draw at the end of the match. It works for me a few times, and sometimes my instincts lead me to 0/5 depending on the number of games picked.

I often use instinct before gambling, and it is true that it often makes me win, even big wins. However, i think this instinct can only be used for slot-based gambling games, for example just by looking at patterns that i think are good, while for gambling in sports i don't think we can use instinct, because it needs analysis, at least we can analyze based on the performance of the team, because it needs analysis, at least we can analyze based on the performance of the team to be selected. So the point is, instinct only applies to gambling games that cannot use analysis.

Anyone who listens to their instinct when gambling are guaranteed to lose money in the long run and in the very specific session when they decide to listen to their instinct while gambling. The reason is simple, your instinct will always tell you or the inside voice that goes to your head because of it will be always saying " raise the bet as I am sure this or the next buy bonus in this specific slot machine is going to hit the max win or the big jackpot" while such things never happen for real, they happen extremely rarely and to very lucky people indeed, these lucky people just don't know how lucky they are as they don't think about the huge majority of the unlucky ones in the world in those moments where they hit the jackpot or the max win. So gambling based on what your emotions dictate is really dangerous and a guarantee to losing money in the long run.

Yes you are right. Using instinct to do a good analysis based on performance too can be accurate. I  have also had the experience in the past were i did an analysis on a club performance so i could bet accurately and after that i had to do with my instinct and it worked out perfectly well but in some cases too the opposite is the case when you expect a bigger team to beat the smaller team hands down but it went the other way round after you just analyzed it yourself and maybe the feelings in favor of the smaller team was there but you just imagined the impossibility of that to happen and it played out that the smaller team won. I had this experience just few days ago between Liverpool and Real Madrid but it was the other way round and I lost the  bet as Liverpool  won the match.

Idk, definitely had a lot of instances where I've left the fate of my bets to gut instinct, never bothered trying to actually identify which ones saved my ass. Definitely think it's just going to lead me to some stupid bias since I'd only ever keep tallying instances where I do win, instead of tallying both instances of me winning and losing due to gut decisions.  Besides, there's too many to tally in the first place to even identify a general result between trying it and not trying it out.

Definitely don't think it's a good idea to rely on it most of the time though, especially if you're someone who doesn't really enjoy losing money xd.

No. What is called instinct is a thought that does not follow a logical structure to reach a conclusion, and although we all use it on a day-to-day basis I do not rely on it for anything to do with money. People who believe that they get a lot right because of their instinct tend to erase or not want to remember the times they use it and get it wrong, and on the contrary: to overestimate the times they make that decision by instinct, that is, without using that reasoned thought, and get it right.

I use my instinct before making bet, but my instinct isn't that bad, sometime I lose and sometime I win.

In football we know Roma is a decent team in Serie A, even though they haven't become a champion in Serie A since 2007. But, if they met a teams that weaker than them, I would bet against Roma, why? because Roma currently isn't in good performance.

I don't have to made any calculation, it just depend on my instinct.

Gambling while listening to instinct would mean allowing nature's course to run on its won. Thus this will follow the casino always wins scenario. The jackpot will be awarded to the one in a million players running the game and there would be little difference from not playing by instinct in the long run.

Because whether you go by instinct or not does not change the outcome of the game. It will run just like the math is supposed to run. This is specially true when it is EV- games in question.

EV+ games might not be like this but if you are basing results on instincts, very well it might be so.

This will actually depend on each of us, there are people who do listen to their instincts before gambling and there are also those who let it run without them listening. But I personally still question whether it is really instinct or just a great desire to be able to win the bet, because it is also difficult to distinguish which is instinct and which is a great desire to win and maybe it can also be called greed that arises from very great emotions.
I personally do not listen to that, there are several reasons, one of which is as I said before. So I gamble as usual and that too if I have more money to play.

There are sports events that I don't bet on because it's difficult to predict who may win. Instead, I skipped the match but participated in other matches where the odds showed a high chance of winning. I still will pick the ones I'd like to win but not bet and sometimes it turns out I was right not to bet on him.

Those who always parlay will develop the kind of instinct either adding the team or a fighter among the multibet. You don't wanna add someone who will just be the cause of the play to fail.

While gambling my instincts are mostly wrong. I am speaking from the aspect of a slot player. My instincts is just my emotions that wants me to win. In fact I don't trust my instincts. I follow the plan I have which is usually, deposit $50 - $70, pick my favourite slot game, do my spins, if I win, I withdraw my winnings. And If I lose, I try another day. I think that instincts come into play for games of skills rather than games of luck. Games where you have to really do your own homework, research, and put in your own efforts. That is where instincts may work.

All gamblers decisions were almost 99.999% of the time will be based on the instinct and that's what make the Gambling as entertaining. The only exception can be sports betting but not everyone bet simply based on the odds, there will always be someone who bet against it and those are the people can win big if they win at all and the obvious win games give little rewards only.

I just go with my instinct, I don't hold back the thought if I had a feeling that this game might be this one or that one.

I never gamble with instinct, where I have experienced defeat when I have an instinct to bet and 98% will get a win, but it is very painful not the victory that I get but the extraordinary defeat, honestly I am stressed facing that defeat.

Sometimes nature has its own way of doing things which we can not understand, it prevents occurrences and also makes things happens positively if only we are very much attentive to some signs it gives out before we taking actions. I believe we all here have  our mind and our instinct tells us much more of occurrences  before they take place to our consciousness.  I will like to relate it to us that are into gambling and hear how our experience has been like so far.

I have had this experience on several occasion were I would be having this feelings to bet on a particular game which sometimes I ignore and the game turn out to be a perfect one and in some cases I bet and win and also when my instinct does not allow me to bet I just go ahead for fun and it turns out to be a bad one though which I just did for fun but at the entire end I have this feelings in me that I should not have gambled that game maybe I should have just watched for fun and do my things. It just happens sometimes that we do have that feelings and when it occurs, some are sensitive enough to listen to their instinct while some do not really understand why they feel that way and after playing, they have a bad time and call it a luck based thing. Do you really have such experience sometimes when you want to gamble? and if you do how was the turn of event when you listened to your instinct and also the other way round.