Sometimes nature has its own way of doing things which we can not understand, it prevents occurrences and also makes things happens positively if only we are very much attentive to some signs it gives out before we taking actions. I believe we all here have our mind and our instinct tells us much more of occurrences before they take place to our consciousness. I will like to relate it to us that are into gambling and hear how our experience has been like so far.
I have had this experience on several occasion were I would be having this feelings to bet on a particular game which sometimes I ignore and the game turn out to be a perfect one and in some cases I bet and win and also when my instinct does not allow me to bet I just go ahead for fun and it turns out to be a bad one though which I just did for fun but at the entire end I have this feelings in me that I should not have gambled that game maybe I should have just watched for fun and do my things. It just happens sometimes that we do have that feelings and when it occurs, some are sensitive enough to listen to their instinct while some do not really understand why they feel that way and after playing, they have a bad time and call it a luck based thing. Do you really have such experience sometimes when you want to gamble? and if you do how was the turn of event when you listened to your instinct and also the other way round.
I don't understand you very well... and unfortunately these are the open topics that take many answers because of their context, there is another thread that I just answered today, the streaks, and I think that a talent is to understand in some way when they are real and when they are not, this can be determined based on statistical data of your game in poker, at least there they exist, now in traditional games I don't know, it's another way of calculating it, I suppose.
But generally instinct in traditional games of chance is useless, believe me, it's nonsense.
Now, in the live game in poker, face to face, you can tell a game situation by the Tells then, there you can rely on instinct, but in any other game situation instinct is useless, they are fallacies.