I am seeking the opinion of the experienced and voicing my opinion.
I think if a training is 100% for learning, 1% of it is technical analysis and the rest 99% is psychological games..Because I have been learning and trading technical analysis for a long time but mostly I lose. I am still learning after that. I've noticed lately that big investors can handle trading as they please. Because they have a lot of funds, if they take a small amount, they take big trades and destroy it. In which case technical analysis is not enough. And I think psychological analysis plays a big role along with technical analysis.
But I don't have any psychological knowledge about trading. Looking for expert opinion on psychological mind set.
That's a hard question to answer, and i guess it depends on what you mean by it "working".
Sure, you can use it as a tool, but it's not an exact science, or even close to it
History of the market action can be splitted to several different indicators, that can be used in several ways. But what's the right way to do that? I see everyone interpret the chart on their own way.
And since there are several ways people do it in very different ways, it's really hard to figure out if those indicators or combinations of them actually work even for that 51% of the time. Different marketcaps and different assets, different kind of charts and timeframes can behave differently from each other.
I personally haven't even looked any indicator probability data, and couldn't say if my TA was off, or if wrong outcome was just bad luck, because losses fit into that probability of losing (that always will exist).
What i believe is true, is that majority of people are somewhat stupid and behavior of masses is always somewhat predictable. I couldn't say how accurate that would be though, but i believe it's a possibility to predict it. .
Some people will tell you that TA won't work when there's one person that can bring the market down, and while that's true, that means there's a slight change that will happen, and it will be calculated to the probability. But that doesn't prove TA itself wouldn't work.