...fundamental analysis...
Fundamentally, everything looks great. LN is getting upgrades constantly, the adoption is growing, the halving is near.
BAKKT is a bit late but I believe that's because they still couldn't fill their bags with enough cheap coins. ETF and BAKKT will arrive before the next boom so they can dump at the top just like the rest of us.
I mean who wouldn't want to dump at the top right? If you say "Me" you are a moron. These big institutions are playing the same game as you. (Buy low, sell high)
There are some good news, and some late good news. In this picture, the only bad news is bitfinex and tether. If finex goes down and you get caught while you have any coins/FIAT on any exchange, you are at risk.
You are still at risk if you own your private keys but the effect of finex will be limited on you. $2k/btc vs $0/btc
Overall, it looks great for the long term. In a few months we can try $4.5k and maybe below but it'll only be short term opportunity to buy more cheap coins. If tether goes down and btc hits $2k? Again, another short term spike.
Just don't play with many coins on exchanges and you'll end up being fine in a year or two.