News: President Nayib Bukele has resigned to focus on his 2024 re-election campaign, which will take place in February 2024. Claudia Rodríguez de Guevara will serve as interim president and she is the first woman to assume the role of president in El Salvador.
What do you think will happen to the legalization of bitcoin in El Salvador if Nayib Bukele cannot be re-elected and cannot continue to serve as president in 2024? 2024 is also the year when we will most likely enter the next bull season for bitcoin. Will he continue to be supported by everyone to become president again?
https://cointelegraph.com/news/nayib-bukele-resigns-president-el-salvadorYou seem to be asking about less likely scenarios. So what is your reason to focus on those kinds of matters?
There are various ways that the plan for him to: 1) step down (which is done)
2) campaign and win in February
3) start his next term in June
might not end up playing out... but right now that does not seem to be the base-case scenario... so if you want to speculate about various things that could go wrong, then maybe you need to put odds on the various things that you believe might happen..
And yeah, the future is not guaranteed.. but aren't the odds right now in favor of the above plan playing out? absent some unforeseen event .. that may or may not happen.. so you want to focus on the unforeseen event then go ahead, list the various unforeseen event scenarios, give each one of them odds and then spend time talking about each of them, including if you believe that if you put together a whole bunch of low odd events, would that help to increase the odds of one of them happening if you combine them all together..? do you ever get to odds that are greater than 50/50, even if you combine all of your speculative events?
Oh, you don't want to do that kind of work, so you would rather merely ask the question so that some other forum member needs to do that work? Go on. You do it. It's your suggestion that the above plan is not going to play out.. so go ahead, describe your various scenarios.. and provide some actual factual basis rather than pie in the sky speculation for the mere sake of it.