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Topic: Events that lead to the adoption of a spot Bitcoin ETF (Read 482 times)

legendary
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https://twitter.com/AP_Abacus/status/1775527946343653779
"UPDATE: several notes from @MorganStanley execs this AM; salty about
@UBS  post yesterday. They want to be the first wirehouse to fully approve the #Bitcoin ETF's.


@MorganStanley
 may announce a few days before
@UBS - interesting that global banks are talking about $BTC ETF's as a race."
legendary
Activity: 1932
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Good trolling from SEC Smiley
https://www.investor.gov/additional-resources/spotlight/directors-take/say-no-go-fomo
"At some point we’ve all felt FOMO. Whether it involves trying to get a reservation at the trendiest new restaurant or the hottest ticket on Broadway, everyone has experienced some kind of fear of missing out on something. While it may be hard to curb this feeling in most instances, one place you should consider using your strongest willpower is when you’re making decisions on investment opportunities. As you make investment decisions keep this phrase in mind, “NO GO to FOMO.”"
legendary
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After the official Twitter/X account for the Securities and Exchange Commission tweeted the long-awaited approval for spot Bitcoin ETFs, Chair Gary Gensler took to his personal account on the social media platform to announce that the agency’s had been hacked.
Financial markets have been awaiting news of the agency approving spot Bitcoin ETFs, which would give U.S. investors the ability to trade the popular cryptocurrency in the form of shares on major exchanges. While all signs pointed to an approval coming at the close of markets on Wednesday, a surprise post from the official SEC account seemed to announce the green light.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/hacked-sec-twitter-account-falsely-213139971.html
legendary
Activity: 1932
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Arthur Hayes wrote interesting thoughts:
https://cryptohayes.medium.com/expression-f580605ebccd
"As soon as the TradFi East Coast US baldies got their applications in, the Bitcoin ETF looked a lot more palatable to the US political establishment. Never fade the right kind of white boys in Pax Americana. I guess the Winklevoss twins should have shaved their heads and joined the New York Racquet Club.

Fundamentally, if ETFs managed by TradFi asset managers are too successful, they will completely destroy Bitcoin. This prediction is based on an important subtle yet profound difference between Bitcoin and every other monetary instrument humanity has ever used."
legendary
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Blackrock Reveals Plan to Seed Spot Bitcoin ETF With $10 Million on January 3
Blackrock has revealed a plan to seed its spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) with $10 million on Jan. 3. The world’s largest asset manager has engaged in six recent meetings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to address its filing. In response to the SEC’s concerns, the firm has opted for the cash creation model, departing from its initial preference for the in-kind model.
legendary
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https://www.coinspeaker.com/bitwise-bitcoin-etf-ad-campaign/
"Jonathan Goldsmith’s recent promotion of Bitwise coincides with the asset manager’s pending Bitcoin ETF application with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission.

The broader crypto community has been eagerly awaiting the launch of a spot Bitcoin ETF and the SEC approval is very likely in early January 2024. A step further, the Bitwise Asset Management company has launched a new ad campaign in partnership with Jonathan Goldsmith.

Actor Jonathan Goldsmith, renowned for portraying “The Most Interesting Man in the World” in Dos Equis beer commercials, is reprising his iconic character to endorse Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) offered by Bitwise Asset Management."

Video
https://twitter.com/BitwiseInvest/status/1736755061127020794?
legendary
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Gensler says SEC's 'new look' at spot bitcoin ETF applications has involved recent court rulings
Securities and Exchange Commission Chair Gary Gensler said Thursday that the agency's "new look" at applications for a spot bitcoin ETF had been taking recent court rulings into consideration.

While the SEC has for years denied previous applications for a spot bitcoin fund, a panel of judges who ordered the regulator to reconsider a failed bid from Grayscale Investments may be starting to tip the balance. The agency is considering more than a dozen applications now from major asset managers including BlackRock and Fidelity.
legendary
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I would like to share my latest opinion on the spot ETF. The market is rising on anticipation of news about the adoption of a spot ETF, and I am selling bitcoins.
Although I myself wrote about the possible imminent adoption of a spot ETF, I do not believe that it will be resolved soon, although I do not rule out this possibility. When there is a lot of news about it, this is a signal for me to start selling. The reason why spot ETFs will not be allowed is because of the complete lack of regulation and many unresolved issues in this industry.
Although ETF supporters also have a strong lobby.
Nobody can predict the outcome of the spot Bitcoin ETF applications because the SEC has not issued any statement regarding these applications. The companies involved have also remained optimistic that it will be approved. I also share the same thoughts that the SEC will approve the ETF only when they have made robust policies to checkmate the sector. But it seems the SEC will approve it because they have been meeting these applicants seeking more clarification about how they intend to coordinate the ETF.

Everyone has the right to decide how to control his Bitcoin holding, but, I am not selling any time soon. Even if the SEC fails to approve these ETFs which is quite unlikely, I also believe that the Bitcoin halving will also an impact on the price. Regarding the regulatory laws, the SEC has already made some laws to ensure the control of the ETF, and more laws will be made and implemented after the ETF is approved. The SEC doesn't need to make all the policies that will hide the ETF to approve it. More laws will be enacted after the takeoff of the spot ETF because experience is always the best teacher.
It seems like you don't understand what the problem is. I agree with you that the spot ETF should be accepted, but one thing is that no one knows exactly who owns the majority of bitcoins. There is very little liquidity on the crypto market itself and it is provided by the same marker makers who monitor each other.
If you have several million bitcoins, you will not be able to sell it at the current price.
hero member
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I would like to share my latest opinion on the spot ETF. The market is rising on anticipation of news about the adoption of a spot ETF, and I am selling bitcoins.
Although I myself wrote about the possible imminent adoption of a spot ETF, I do not believe that it will be resolved soon, although I do not rule out this possibility. When there is a lot of news about it, this is a signal for me to start selling. The reason why spot ETFs will not be allowed is because of the complete lack of regulation and many unresolved issues in this industry.
Although ETF supporters also have a strong lobby.
Nobody can predict the outcome of the spot Bitcoin ETF applications because the SEC has not issued any statement regarding these applications. The companies involved have also remained optimistic that it will be approved. I also share the same thoughts that the SEC will approve the ETF only when they have made robust policies to checkmate the sector. But it seems the SEC will approve it because they have been meeting these applicants seeking more clarification about how they intend to coordinate the ETF.

Everyone has the right to decide how to control his Bitcoin holding, but, I am not selling any time soon. Even if the SEC fails to approve these ETFs which is quite unlikely, I also believe that the Bitcoin halving will also an impact on the price. Regarding the regulatory laws, the SEC has already made some laws to ensure the control of the ETF, and more laws will be made and implemented after the ETF is approved. The SEC doesn't need to make all the policies that will hide the ETF to approve it. More laws will be enacted after the takeoff of the spot ETF because experience is always the best teacher.
legendary
Activity: 1932
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https://finance.yahoo.com/news/coinbase-offer-spot-crypto-trading-130000876.html?
"Coinbase to Offer Spot Crypto Trading Outside US in Global Expansion
(Bloomberg) -- Coinbase Global Inc. is rolling out spot crypto trading on its international exchange as part of a global expansion, saying some users are wary of US venues due to the country’s uncertain regulatory backdrop."

___

Although Coinbase has unresolved issues with the SEC, with the right policies and lobbying these issues will be resolved. Their L2 Base solution will become a major platform for institutional investors.
Everything is changing very quickly and a large volume of news about negotiations between large companies and SEC already suggests that the spot ETF may be accepted in the 1st quarter of 2024.
legendary
Activity: 1932
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I would like to share my latest opinion on the spot ETF. The market is rising on anticipation of news about the adoption of a spot ETF, and I am selling bitcoins.
Although I myself wrote about the possible imminent adoption of a spot ETF, I do not believe that it will be resolved soon, although I do not rule out this possibility. When there is a lot of news about it, this is a signal for me to start selling. The reason why spot ETFs will not be allowed is because of the complete lack of regulation and many unresolved issues in this industry.
Although ETF supporters also have a strong lobby.
legendary
Activity: 1834
Merit: 1131
“This is a field that is rife with bad actors and rife with fraud and manipulation and money laundering,” SEC Chair Gary Gensler said on Wednesday, without specifically addressing questions about applications for spot bitcoin ETFs.
Securities and Exchange Commission Chair Gary Gensler stayed mum on Wednesday when asked by journalists if the industry could soon see any action surrounding the applications for spot bitcoin ETFs the agency is reviewing.

https://www.theblock.co/post/265315/sec-chair-gary-gensler-stays-mum-on-prospects-for-a-spot-bitcoin-etf-says-he-wont-pre-judge-matter?
legendary
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https://finance.yahoo.com/news/blackrock-met-sec-officials-discuss-053146019.html
"Representatives from BlackRock and Nasdaq recently engaged in discussions with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) regarding the possibility of listing a spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF). In a memo released by the SEC on November 20, it was revealed that BlackRock presented two potential redemption models for its iShares Bitcoin Trust: one involving in-kind transactions and the other using cash.

There is increasing speculation that the SEC may be nearing a decision on approving a spot Bitcoin ETF for U.S. markets. However, uncertainty surrounds the response of SEC officials and the likelihood of approval, given the history of delays and rejections in this area. During the same period, representatives from Grayscale also met with SEC officials, as they too seek to list their own Bitcoin ETF."

BlackRock are very serious guys who will soon bring forward the launch of ETFs
legendary
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https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2023/11/13/the-crypto-market-rally-looks-overdone-jpmorgan-says/
“A spot bitcoin ETF approval would help crypto markets to attract fresh/new capital as the newly-approved ETFs see inflows,” and the “approval would cement a win for the crypto industry and a setback for the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) thus making it more likely that going forward the SEC approach towards the crypto industry will soften,” analysts led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou wrote.
The bank says it is skeptical of both arguments. Instead of new capital entering the crypto sector, it is more likely that existing capital will move from current bitcoin products such as the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC), bitcoin futures ETFs and listed mining companies, into the newly approved spot ETFS.
JPMorgan notes that such ETFs already exist in Canada and Europe and have gained “little interest from investors since their inception.”
__
It has been said here several times that spot cryptocurrencies ETFs have problems only in the USA. In other countries they work and are not very popular.
hero member
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Kevin O'Leary Warns Spot Bitcoin ETF Approval Could Be 18 Months Away
Shark Tank investor Kevin O’Leary, aka Mr. Wonderful, has cautioned that it could take another year and a half for the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to approve a spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF). He emphasized that we will not see a spot bitcoin ETF in the U.S. until there is a crypto exchange that’s compliant with the SEC.
I believe Kevin O’Leary is right because the government will always want to ensure that there are regulations that will give it total control over the ETF. Approving what you cannot control is like buying a car that you cannot drive. But I doubt if it will take up to one year and six months for such approval.  

There are already existing laws that will help the SEC to control crypto-related business to some extent. The SEC should not expect to have perfect regulatory laws for the ETF because it is new to the US market. More laws will be made after the approval based on new developments. The SEC has also lost some court cases that might force them to do the needful before the time frame predicted by Kevin O’Leary.
hero member
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Kevin O'Leary Warns Spot Bitcoin ETF Approval Could Be 18 Months Away
Shark Tank investor Kevin O’Leary, aka Mr. Wonderful, has cautioned that it could take another year and a half for the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to approve a spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF). He emphasized that we will not see a spot bitcoin ETF in the U.S. until there is a crypto exchange that’s compliant with the SEC.
I never trust anything that has to do with the government and the funny thing is that the Bitcoin spot ETF may have been approved ever since the BlackRock iShares spot Bitcoin ETF was listed on Nasdaq and DTCC but they chose not to make it available to the public so that the BlackRock can accumulate enough BTC when cheap and later announce it to the public to max their profit.
legendary
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Kevin O'Leary Warns Spot Bitcoin ETF Approval Could Be 18 Months Away
Shark Tank investor Kevin O’Leary, aka Mr. Wonderful, has cautioned that it could take another year and a half for the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to approve a spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF). He emphasized that we will not see a spot bitcoin ETF in the U.S. until there is a crypto exchange that’s compliant with the SEC.
legendary
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https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-trades-past-36-000-062931832.html
"A brief window of at least eight days opened on Thursday for the SEC to “theoretically issue approval orders,” according to a note by Bloomberg Intelligence analysts James Seyffart and Eric Balchunas. “Even if approvals don’t arrive this month, we still believe there’s a 90% chance of approval by Jan. 10,” they wrote.
The optimism of the potential approval by the regulator, after more than a decade of deliberation, has bolstered the token more than 120% this year and Caroline Mauron, co-founder of digital-asset derivatives liquidity provider Orbit Markets, sees a “sustained interest in bets on a further Bitcoin rally.” In comparison, global stocks have risen a modest 10% over the same period."

So far everything is going according to plan. I will sell Bitcoin on the news of a spot ETF Smiley

U.S. SEC Said to Open Talks with Grayscale on Spot Bitcoin ETF Push
https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2023/11/08/us-sec-said-to-open-talks-with-grayscale-on-spot-bitcoin-etf-push/
legendary
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Etf news is all over the place yet there is no single bitcoin spot etf is approved by the sec.

In my opinion the adoption of bitcoin in the etf wrap is good to push even more adopter and people who curious about the crypto but it seems the sec won't approve it until the final deadline 😭

And other news is that the vanguard dont want join the bitcoin etf if the vanguard join i think there will be something in sec
All the large speculators who bought their bitcoins and are waiting for the approval of the spot ETF are already rubbing their hands with the expected profit. The most ideal time for this is the period before the halving and if a manipulator is present in this market, then the SEC will approve spot ETFs.
In other countries, these funds exist and honestly are not in great demand.

And with that meeting, maybe it's just a matter of time before an approval will be there. Again, there could be huge pressures on the shoulder of SEC right now as the entities that are asking for approval are not just simply entities but they are huge in the financial world with trillions of dollars between this companies so they really weld huge influence even at a government regulars like SEC.

@hugeblack - yeah everything is pure speculation right now, but it sometimes fuels this bullish sentiments on the market. And I think it's one reason why we almost close to $36,000 right now.
copper member
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All the large speculators who bought their bitcoins and are waiting for the approval of the spot ETF are already rubbing their hands with the expected profit. The most ideal time for this is the period before the halving and if a manipulator is present in this market, then the SEC will approve spot ETFs.
In other countries, these funds exist and honestly are not in great demand.

Well you're kinda true since I see a great big green candle all over the place and Bitcoin is still sideaway in 35K whale maybe already bought at 28-30K level and waiting for the news

and when the time comes this is gonna happen  Grin



Vanguard CEO Tim Buckley said that the asset-management firm will not join the spot bitcoin ETF just like other firms like BlackRock and Fidelity. I see it as the personal decision of the company and that's their business. For now, we are focusing on the outcome of the application of other asset managers that are interested in bitcoin.   

Yeah I read the news here - https://finance.yahoo.com/news/vanguard-ceo-says-asset-management-042217244.html

tho there is also a recent news from twitter account Db - https://twitter.com/tier10k/status/1722329852777275443 TLDR, I think

An ETF cannot be approved whilst it is in the comment period

If the SEC wants to be 'fair' and approve all spot applications at the same time then it would have to do so when there are no outstanding filings in a comment period

Which is between 9th-17th Nov, after the current comment periods end and before new ones begin - or early Jan 2024
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