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Topic: expect a set of 3 articles about China situation and a prediction following - page 3. (Read 4724 times)

sr. member
Activity: 406
Merit: 250
Well you should tell us your prediction before the third article, but judging from your first paragraph of this article when you said you had been too optimistic, I assume you think its going to get worse.

True, but I wish to find out in which way to get worse and its impact (or lack of) on global market, need to introspect my prediction too, a few more days helps.

Lack of? ..
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
I've been guest writing for bitcoinblog.de for a while. The latest article is the first of a serial of 3 articles after 15th April.

http://bitcoinblog.de/2014/04/28/chinese-banks-dont-know-how-to-act-appropriate-cause-bitcoin-is-too-tiny/

Excellent article. You provide an insight that is both candid and refreshing.
sr. member
Activity: 313
Merit: 250
Well you should tell us your prediction before the third article, but judging from your first paragraph of this article when you said you had been too optimistic, I assume you think its going to get worse.

True, but I wish to find out in which way to get worse and its impact (or lack of) on global market, need to introspect my prediction too, a few more days helps.
hero member
Activity: 803
Merit: 500
Hallo, editor from bitcoinblog here. I am lucky to publish Zhangs insightful articles, and I am lucky to read you like them.

Currently blockchain.info accepts nominations for the blockchain award, and one category is "most insightful journalist". If you think like me Zhangs articles are the most insightful source of information about one of the most important (price-forming) issue in the temporary bitcoin seen I would be glad if you take some seconds to nominate him.

Just click here https://blog.blockchain.com/2014/04/16/the-first-annual-blockchain-awards/

Thank you
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 500
Time is on our side, yes it is!
This supports the idea that something doesn't add up with all this China "ban" thing. If BTC is so small for China then why is the PBOC so concerned with it...
Why do they want the price to go down? Is the PBOC interested in buying BTC ?

This is a great insight and makes good logical sense, but still I am missing the justification for the PBOC behavior.
For instance, in the story with the nightclub, the justification for the official's actions was that they wanted a bigger bribe.

Good question!  It feels like someone is trying to take advantage of Bitcoin with all the fud going around and PBOC seems to be a potential culprit.  The OP is very informative, thanks.
newbie
Activity: 41
Merit: 0
This supports the idea that something doesn't add up with all this China "ban" thing. If BTC is so small for China then why is the PBOC so concerned with it...
Why do they want the price to go down? Is the PBOC interested in buying BTC ?

This is a great insight and makes good logical sense, but still I am missing the justification for the PBOC behavior.
For instance, in the story with the nightclub, the justification for the official's actions was that they wanted a bigger bribe.
donator
Activity: 229
Merit: 106
Hi OP, would you explore the reason behind the fact that I can still deposit Yaun to Bank of China account of BTC China a few days ago. I plan to deposit more fund because of the arbitrate opportunity between BTC China and Bitstamp although the gap is closing, 2-3% a week ago and now it is only  0-1%
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1070
Well you should tell us your prediction before the third article, but judging from your first paragraph of this article when you said you had been too optimistic, I assume you think its going to get worse.

If everything you say is true, its pretty amazing that the PBOC has felt so threatened by this "small" thing called Bitcoin. It seems like Bitcoin should have been below their pay grade. They must be scared as hell of capital flight.

Because their concern over their poor chinese citizens fallng victim to a bad investment really sounds crazy when you suggest that bitcoin is so small in comparison to so many other things. Obviously, "protecting" their citizens was and is an excuse.
full member
Activity: 139
Merit: 100
Owner@ CryptoFundingTracker.com
Would you like a handjob now or later?
sr. member
Activity: 266
Merit: 250
legendary
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1006
100 satoshis -> ISO code
Great. Further balanced insight into the ChinaFUD situation is needed.
sr. member
Activity: 313
Merit: 250
I've been guest writing for bitcoinblog.de for a while. The latest article is the first of a serial of 3 articles after 15th April.

http://bitcoinblog.de/2014/04/28/chinese-banks-dont-know-how-to-act-appropriate-cause-bitcoin-is-too-tiny/

The prediction will come after the set of 3 articles because it only make sense after readers get a grasp of China's realities.

My previous articles for bitcoinblog.de are here:
http://bitcoinblog.de/category/english/ (look for my name)

It may be possible that I will be slowed by my recent eye problem, that reality happens before I finish the whole set and the prediction.

-----
P.S.
For your information my past records on prediction on China issue were not bad:

Predicted 9th January. PBOC will not ban bitcoin but cripple its operation. Check.
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.6044999

Predicted 24th March: the PBOC order exists and was unintentionally revealed. Check.
http://bitcoinblog.de/2014/04/03/exclusive-truth-and-rumor-and-chinese-perspective-on-the-situation-of-chinese-exchanges/ (most were blaming the order a rumour by then, I said "That means that we (PBOC) were not sure how to deal with bitcoin in the beginning. Now, though, we have made up our mind: forget it.  We will simply force you out of business."

Predicted 4th April: OKcoin will move to Hong Kong. Still waiting for that news.
http://bitcoinblog.de/2014/04/03/exclusive-truth-and-rumor-and-chinese-perspective-on-the-situation-of-chinese-exchanges/

Predicted 10th April: the bottom is in, don’t wait any longer. There will be no dip in price on 15th April.
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.6153829
Check (real bottom of 350$ occurred that day and repeated the next day - only)
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