extremely long blocks - what are the chances? - page 2.

molecular

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Quote from: organofcorti on January 12, 2013, 05:01:59 AM

Quote from: molecular on January 11, 2013, 05:46:22 PM

so the last blocks took 22, 19, 40 and 46 minutes?

Wow, that's some pretty bad luck, right?

4 blocks in 127 minutes - the time you'd expect 12 to 13? That's pretty bad luck. You'd expect fewer blocks over the same duration only 0.46% of the time.

Thank you for giving me a number Wink

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The what's the probability of such bad luck happening at least once in 4 years? Probably not that unlikely.

organofcorti

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Poor impulse control.

Quote from: molecular on January 11, 2013, 05:46:22 PM

so the last blocks took 22, 19, 40 and 46 minutes?

Wow, that's some pretty bad luck, right?

4 blocks in 127 minutes - the time you'd expect 12 to 13? That's pretty bad luck. You'd expect fewer blocks over the same duration only 0.46% of the time.

molecular

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Quote from: crashoveride54902 on January 11, 2013, 07:23:43 PM

Quote from: molecular on January 11, 2013, 05:46:22 PM

so the last blocks took 22, 19, 40 and 46 minutes?

Wow, that's some pretty bad luck, right?

well i know block 216161 was mining by slush's pool and it took 4:21:15 to hash it cause i'm on that pool but block 216163 was mined by slush also at 1:25:42 to hash it...but i'm new so i really have no idea what i'm talking about lmao i'll shut up now Cheesy

The 4:21:15 is the time it took slushs pool to find the block (time since last block slushs pool found). The time since the last block was found by "the whole network" is probably much lower. And that's what I'm talking about here. This time (to find the next block) should on average be around 10 minutes.

Well, it was just a very unlucky streak the big bitcoin computer had there.

crashoveride54902

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Dream become broken often

Quote from: molecular on January 11, 2013, 05:46:22 PM

so the last blocks took 22, 19, 40 and 46 minutes?

Wow, that's some pretty bad luck, right?

well i know block 216161 was mining by slush's pool and it took 4:21:15 to hash it cause i'm on that pool but block 216163 was mined by slush also at 1:25:42 to hash it...but i'm new so i really have no idea what i'm talking about lmao i'll shut up now Cheesy

molecular

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Activity: 2772

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so the last blocks took 22, 19, 40 and 46 minutes?

Wow, that's some pretty bad luck, right?

Topic: extremely long blocks - what are the chances? - page 2. (Read 2819 times)