That's right. But, I think that the information provided in the original post are helpful for a person to consider when deciding on how to invest in this market. However, like the above stated reply said, it's just so hard to actually predict how the market will unfold because of the many factors affecting it. So, the best way to avoid losses or bad business is to really be closely updated with what's happening in the market. The more knowledge and the better updated you are with what's happening to the market and to the assets you are holding, then the better you can deduce what ventures you should pursue.