here is the likely scenario that always happen;
half the noobs will buy now at 3700$, the other half will buy when the price goes pass 4000$, the smart will start selling the 4-5 area to the noobs, price will fall back to 3-3.4k , the noobs will freak out, sell for lose , the smart buy and make profit, rinse and and repeat , shut up and take my money
I basically agree with this scenario
Though I don't actually expect prices to break out beyond 4k any time soon. The market doesn't look strong now, so the smart ones will likely start selling earlier if they haven't already. We had been staying for too long in a very tight range to penetrate easily current resistance levels as they had likely also been going lower over time (read, it may take time as well as some effort and a few up and down cycles)
Put differently, we should now start thinking in terms of hundreds of dollars, not in thousands, when analyzing possible price action. This may be our new base scale