[FINISHED] Educational giveaway | guess first Bitcoin Block in 2020 [9.5 mBTC] - page 4.

1miau

legendary

Activity: 2226

Merit: 6947

Currently not much available - see my websitelink

Quote from: mikeywith on December 09, 2019, 07:45:33 PM

Quote from: 1miau on December 09, 2019, 06:33:06 PM

Next time I will change the name to: [GET RICH!!!] FREE Bitcoin giveaway!!! When Lambo / When Moon?

That will do better indeed, the section also matters I believe, as funny as it sounds, not so many newbies are active in B&H, but hey don't feel bad, you did great.

I can move it to Bounties (Altcoins) and see what's happening. Cheesy

(People trying to apply with Twitter and Facebook profile links Cheesy

)

But after all I'm totally ok and not sad about it, the outcome is far better than it would have been somewhere else. Many people submitted very detailed explanations.

Quote from: mikeywith on December 09, 2019, 07:45:33 PM

Quote

Latest projection: 607,431 (current block) + (22*144) = 610,599

We are 18 blocks ahead , such a good start for the guys at the bottom of the list Grin

I'm sure we'll see even lower numbers...
... maybe

2 weeks ago we were lower already:

Quote from: 1miau on November 26, 2019, 05:51:02 PM

35 Tage * 144 Blöcke pro Tag = 5.040 Blöcke

=>

5.040 + 605.517 (aktueller Block) = 610.557

mikeywith

legendary

Activity: 2436

Merit: 6643

be constructive or S.T.F.U

Quote from: 1miau on December 09, 2019, 06:33:06 PM

Next time I will change the name to: [GET RICH!!!] FREE Bitcoin giveaway!!! When Lambo / When Moon?

That will do better indeed, the section also matters I believe, as funny as it sounds, not so many newbies are active in B&H, but hey don't feel bad, you did great.

Quote

Latest projection: 607,431 (current block) + (22*144) = 610,599

We are 18 blocks ahead , such a good start for the guys at the bottom of the list Grin

1miau

legendary

Activity: 2226

Merit: 6947

Currently not much available - see my websitelink

Quote from: mikeywith on December 09, 2019, 07:36:59 AM

Quote from: Last of the V8s on December 09, 2019, 06:59:45 AM

Sadly we attracted no newbies Undecided

I blame the word (educational) in the title for this, i am pretty sure a tittle such as ( Free bitcoin game ) would have attracted way too many newbies, most people want no education , they just want free bitcoin.

I'm also a little bit disappointed about the low participation, I did the same sort of giveaway in the German section and had a few more users willing to join (the list is a little bit misleading, users were allowed to choose 2 numbers)

Next time I will change the name to: [GET RICH!!!] FREE Bitcoin giveaway!!! When Lambo / When Moon?

Latest projection: 607,431 (current block) + (22*144) = 610,599

Quote from: hosseinimr93 on December 09, 2019, 06:45:04 AM

Here are range of winning block numbers for each of participants.

_________________	_____________________
610,598-610,605	Swordsoffreedom

Great list! Wink

mikeywith

legendary

Activity: 2436

Merit: 6643

be constructive or S.T.F.U

Quote from: Last of the V8s on December 09, 2019, 06:59:45 AM

Sadly we attracted no newbies Undecided

I blame the word (educational) in the title for this, i am pretty sure a tittle such as ( Free bitcoin game ) would have attracted way too many newbies, most people want no education , they just want free bitcoin.

Last of the V8s

legendary

Activity: 1652

Merit: 4393

Be a bank

^ Ooh very nice range-list there hossein.
Sadly we attracted no newbies Undecided

hosseinimr93

legendary

Activity: 2380

Merit: 5213

Here are range of winning block numbers for each of participants.

_________________	_____________________
-610,366	UserU
610,366-610,427	1miau
610,427-610,497	LoyceV
610,498-610,525	Mashfiqun
610,526-610,536	RapTarX
610,537-610,539	HCP
610,539-610,541	Royse777
610,541-610,552	pooya87
610,552-610,567	Souri
610,567-610,583	naska21
610,584-610,597	hanspeter77
610,598-610,605	Swordsoffreedom
610,605-610,612	haloxon
610,612-610,615	Upgrade00
610,615-610,621	Scheede
610,621-610,631	SFR10
610,632-610,638	DdmrDdmr
610,639-610,654	hosseinimr93
610,654-610,683	nelson4lov
610,684-610,709	Phil_S
610,710-610,745	crwth
610,745-610,773	GazetaBitcoin
610,774-610,788	micgoossens
610,789-610,855	mikeywith
610,855-	Last of the V8s

1miau

legendary

Activity: 2226

Merit: 6947

Currently not much available - see my websitelink

Quote from: hosseinimr93 on December 08, 2019, 03:44:15 PM

610640

Added

Quote from: Phil_S on December 08, 2019, 04:26:40 PM

610,699

Added

Registration is closed now and I've switched the topic title to CFNP (Closed for new participants).
The list is updated, please check if your entry is correct (should be).

And hope for your block to win. Wink

Phil_S

legendary

Activity: 2140

Merit: 1628

We choose to go to the moon

610,699

Thanks!

hosseinimr93

legendary

Activity: 2380

Merit: 5213

Today is December 8.
23 days left until January 01.
I consider the average of bitcoin block time in the last 10 days as the block time of next 23 days.
(8.834+10.588+11.429+10.36+9.931+9.114+8.623+9.931+9.931+9.29)/10

Estimated block time: 9.867 minutes
Current block: 607263
Minutes renaming: 23*24*60+3*60+20=33320

Number of solved blocked until 2020
33320/9.867=3376

First block of 2020 = 607263+3377=610640

AB de Royse777

legendary

Activity: 2464

Merit: 3878

Hire Bitcointalk Camp. Manager @ r7promotions.com

If still you have time then here is mine finally: 610,540
I see lots of math and stuffs but I am going with a random guess :-P

1miau

legendary

Activity: 2226

Merit: 6947

Currently not much available - see my websitelink

Quote from: mikeywith on December 08, 2019, 11:40:20 AM

I am a huge fan of math and science, but since luck gets so powerful in terms of affecting block finding in the short-term view, I have decided to drop a random number slightly based on the assumption that more blocks will be found than the average 10min per block for the coming a few weeks because of the new gears that are due to come online.

My random guess would be 610,800

Thanks bro.

Sounds reasonable. Let's see where we go.

Quote from: El duderino_ on December 08, 2019, 12:26:40 PM

I clearly not know what i'm writing here

These people are usually winning. Cheesy

Good luck everyone!

@everyone else:

Still ~4 hours left to get in!

El duderino_

legendary

Activity: 2716

Merit: 13505

BTC + Crossfit, living life.

610,777

I clearly not know what i'm writing here

But thx for organising Cool

mikeywith

legendary

Activity: 2436

Merit: 6643

be constructive or S.T.F.U

I am a huge fan of math and science, but since luck gets so powerful in terms of affecting block finding in the short-term view, I have decided to drop a random number slightly based on the assumption that more blocks will be found than the average 10min per block for the coming a few weeks because of the new gears that are due to come online.

My random guess would be 610,800

Thanks bro.

1miau

legendary

Activity: 2226

Merit: 6947

Currently not much available - see my websitelink

Quote from: Last of the V8s on December 07, 2019, 05:45:55 AM

I am going to win and I am going to be rich you have been warned.

Well, don't celebrate too early. Wink

It's still a long way to go and I've advertised this giveaway to get some WO regulars in. ^^

Quote from: 1miau on December 07, 2019, 09:23:24 PM

Quote from: Last of the V8s on December 07, 2019, 05:45:55 AM

I am going to win and I am going to be rich you have been warned.

Don't let him win so easily! Tongue

But I guess you'll get rich anyway, I hope all of us will be rich. Wink

GazetaBitcoin

legendary

Activity: 1680

Merit: 6524

Fully-fledged Merit Cycler|Spambuster'23|Pie Baker

Of course you are!

Last of the V8s

legendary

Activity: 1652

Merit: 4393

Be a bank

I am going to win and I am going to be rich you have been warned.

hanspeter77

legendary

Activity: 3150

Merit: 1176

i take 610595

SFR10

legendary

Activity: 2968

Merit: 3406

Crypto Swap Exchange

Quote from: 1miau on December 05, 2019, 09:46:50 PM

@SFR10 may I ask how long did it take until the calculation was at least somehow close to an realistic number? Cheesy

It took around 15ish minutes ^{[5th attempt]} to come up with a formula that was close enough to be considered an average of other results ^{[perhaps I got lucky ]}.

crwth

copper member

Activity: 2940

Merit: 1280

https://linktr.ee/crwthopia

Latest block mined is 606,876 during the making of this post

With the unexpected addition of hash power, the average is now 9.5 minutes [1]

25 days, 8 hours, 38 minutes and 35 seconds remaining till January 1. or 36,518 minutes (rounded down) [2]

36518/9.5 = 3844 blocks

606876+3844 = 610720 <- My prediction

[1] - https://www.buybitcoinworldwide.com/how-many-bitcoins-are-there/
[2] - https://www.timeanddate.com/date/durationresult.html?d1=6&m1=12&y1=2019&d2=1&m2=1&y2=2020&h1=15&i1=21&s1=25&h2=0&i2=0&s2=0

GazetaBitcoin

legendary

Activity: 1680

Merit: 6524

Fully-fledged Merit Cycler|Spambuster'23|Pie Baker

Ah, I understood now! Thx for the explanation

Topic: [FINISHED] Educational giveaway | guess first Bitcoin Block in 2020 [9.5 mBTC] - page 4. (Read 2753 times)