Before going to the report, I wish you all are reading the post a happy and prosperous new year!
This report contains 4 main parts:
- Forum seclog
- Forum ad stats
- Merit system
- Total boards, daily new members, posts
- Data source: loyce.club
Forum seclog
Woke-up
- There are a few potential outliers that are represented by circles in box plots or spikes in time-series plot. They appear in February and October of 2020.
- In the year, there are 3 days that have more than 1000 woke-up accounts: 06 Feb 2020 (2612), 11 Feb 2020 (1020) and 30 Oct 2020 (1901).
- On the daily basis, 50% of 366 days have about 215 woke-ups each day (the median - p50) and 50% of days have daily woke-ups range from 193 to 261 cases (the interquartile range -- p25 to p75).
- Min and max values are 139 and 2611 on 13 Jun 2020 and 06 Feb 2020, respectively.
- Details over months can be seen in the raw table below or in the box plot above.
There are few other stats for password reset via email (prvia_e); password reset via secret question (priva_sq); password changed (pc); manual recovery, ownership change queued (mrecovery)
Raw results
Woke-ups
by categories of: month
month | N mean sd p50 p25 p75 min max
----------+--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2020m1 | 31.0 217.7 37.8 212.0 187.0 240.0 161.0 317.0
2020m2 | 29.0 392.6 462.7 243.0 215.0 320.0 180.0 2612.0
2020m3 | 31.0 260.3 158.3 198.0 178.0 242.0 150.0 680.0
2020m4 | 30.0 225.3 42.8 223.0 197.0 243.0 164.0 367.0
2020m5 | 31.0 214.9 22.2 212.0 199.0 225.0 187.0 287.0
2020m6 | 30.0 194.9 33.9 195.0 171.0 211.0 139.0 285.0
2020m7 | 31.0 206.5 36.4 205.0 191.0 221.0 152.0 327.0
2020m8 | 31.0 223.5 37.7 213.0 200.0 242.0 172.0 327.0
2020m9 | 30.0 225.7 63.7 206.0 185.0 244.0 145.0 425.0
2020m10 | 31.0 295.3 307.5 215.0 179.0 305.0 151.0 1901.0
2020m11 | 30.0 304.7 104.0 276.0 254.0 332.0 191.0 668.0
2020m12 | 31.0 371.3 182.6 354.0 228.0 438.0 174.0 830.0
----------+--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total | 366.0 260.6 186.4 215.0 193.0 261.0 139.0 2612.0
Password reset via email
by categories of: month
month | N mean sd p50 p25 p75 min max
----------+--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2020m1 | 31.0 51.7 8.7 51.0 47.0 57.0 31.0 73.0
2020m2 | 29.0 58.2 14.2 56.0 50.0 67.0 38.0 106.0
2020m3 | 31.0 43.4 6.7 43.0 38.0 47.0 31.0 57.0
2020m4 | 30.0 54.0 7.1 53.0 50.0 58.0 43.0 70.0
2020m5 | 31.0 48.4 8.4 47.0 44.0 53.0 34.0 67.0
2020m6 | 30.0 40.4 6.9 39.5 36.0 44.0 25.0 53.0
2020m7 | 31.0 43.9 7.0 46.0 39.0 47.0 24.0 61.0
2020m8 | 31.0 45.4 7.1 44.0 39.0 51.0 34.0 60.0
2020m9 | 30.0 42.6 7.8 43.0 38.0 49.0 25.0 54.0
2020m10 | 31.0 48.3 13.0 46.0 39.0 52.0 32.0 92.0
2020m11 | 30.0 54.8 13.3 54.5 49.0 60.0 23.0 85.0
2020m12 | 31.0 54.5 15.1 51.0 42.0 69.0 28.0 84.0
----------+--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total | 366.0 48.8 11.4 47.5 41.0 54.0 23.0 106.0
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Password reset via secret question
by categories of: month
month | N mean sd p50 p25 p75 min max
----------+--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2020m1 | 31.0 0.6 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0
2020m2 | 29.0 0.5 0.8 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0
2020m3 | 31.0 0.3 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0
2020m4 | 30.0 0.6 0.9 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0
2020m5 | 31.0 0.8 1.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0
2020m6 | 30.0 0.6 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0
2020m7 | 31.0 0.8 1.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0
2020m8 | 31.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0
2020m9 | 30.0 0.9 1.2 0.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0
2020m10 | 31.0 0.4 0.8 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0
2020m11 | 30.0 0.7 0.9 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0
2020m12 | 31.0 0.5 1.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0
----------+--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total | 366.0 0.6 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Password changed
by categories of: month
month | N mean sd p50 p25 p75 min max
----------+--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2020m1 | 31.0 16.9 6.4 16.0 11.0 21.0 8.0 30.0
2020m2 | 29.0 14.9 5.6 15.0 10.0 19.0 5.0 27.0
2020m3 | 31.0 14.0 6.2 13.0 10.0 17.0 6.0 38.0
2020m4 | 30.0 15.2 10.8 13.5 10.0 18.0 4.0 66.0
2020m5 | 31.0 13.1 4.4 13.0 10.0 15.0 6.0 26.0
2020m6 | 30.0 10.9 4.2 10.5 8.0 13.0 5.0 26.0
2020m7 | 31.0 13.0 3.9 13.0 11.0 16.0 6.0 22.0
2020m8 | 31.0 11.6 3.9 12.0 9.0 14.0 5.0 24.0
2020m9 | 30.0 12.2 4.6 12.0 9.0 15.0 4.0 27.0
2020m10 | 31.0 14.7 4.7 15.0 11.0 18.0 4.0 27.0
2020m11 | 30.0 16.5 5.5 16.5 13.0 21.0 4.0 28.0
2020m12 | 31.0 18.0 6.3 20.0 12.0 21.0 7.0 30.0
----------+--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total | 366.0 14.2 6.1 13.0 10.0 17.0 4.0 66.0
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Manual recovery, ownership change queued
by categories of: month
month | N mean sd p50 p25 p75 min max
----------+--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2020m1 | 31.0 0.7 1.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0
2020m2 | 29.0 0.2 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0
2020m3 | 31.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0
2020m4 | 30.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0
2020m5 | 31.0 0.4 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0
2020m6 | 30.0 0.2 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0
2020m7 | 31.0 0.2 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0
2020m8 | 31.0 0.4 0.6 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0
2020m9 | 30.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0
2020m10 | 31.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0
2020m11 | 30.0 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0
2020m12 | 31.0 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0
----------+--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total | 366.0 0.2 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Ads stats
- In 2020, daily impression counts try to recover but its two highest peak are only around more than half of 2018 all time high.
- Daily impression count does not have good correlation with bitcoin price in a short time frame. Maybe in the long-term, bitcoin rises help the statistic rides together.
- There is a correlation (no evidence) between altcoin rises and daily impression count as you see 2 facts: all time high is in 2018, and the chart for 2020 shows inverse correlation between bitcoin price and this indicator.
- Somewhat it is logic if taking into consideration the effects from bounties.
Comparative box plots over years (2012 - 2020)
- Total impressions rallies a lot and almost hit the 2019 figure but is still far from 2018 all time high. It currently is more than half of all time high. (See the vertical lines in boxes)
- Total impressions from logged-in users perform worse and even less than a half of 2018 all time high.
- 2 other indicators: "Unique IPs from logged-out users" and "Unique logged-in users" are the worst as they are currently staying at the similar levels of 2014 to 2016
- It is bad in terms of statistics but as a member, I think of it positively as spammers are less destroying the forum and its quality
Merit system
- 50% of days have 695 merits are distributed within a day that is represented by the p50 value in the raw data table or the Red vertical line in the box plot
- Additionally, the range of 50% of days around the median is from 622 to 805 (the interquartile range from p25 to p75)
- The second half of this year has less daily merits distributed. See the box plot and it reflects that medians for months from Jan to May is above the red line -- skew towards the right, but the second half (from June to December) have medians below the red line -- skew towards the left.
- Min and max values are 395 and 1364 on 13 Jun 2020 and 17 Feb 2020, respectively
Raw result
by categories of: month
month | N mean sd p50 p25 p75 min max
----------+--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2020m1 | 31.0 912.3 150.0 871.0 777.0 1051.0 637.0 1192.0
2020m2 | 29.0 878.4 176.3 857.0 729.0 1004.0 596.0 1364.0
2020m3 | 31.0 735.7 143.3 727.0 634.0 800.0 452.0 1090.0
2020m4 | 30.0 750.8 128.6 728.5 660.0 846.0 490.0 1062.0
2020m5 | 31.0 770.1 144.7 734.0 690.0 806.0 530.0 1198.0
2020m6 | 30.0 640.0 107.2 648.5 587.0 688.0 395.0 835.0
2020m7 | 31.0 666.5 117.7 668.0 581.0 747.0 476.0 957.0
2020m8 | 31.0 686.7 157.0 650.0 592.0 795.0 449.0 1072.0
2020m9 | 30.0 660.7 140.1 643.0 561.0 691.0 471.0 1111.0
2020m10 | 31.0 694.1 117.4 679.0 612.0 761.0 473.0 982.0
2020m11 | 30.0 690.4 95.3 672.5 620.0 746.0 541.0 1001.0
2020m12 | 31.0 652.1 125.0 629.0 570.0 765.0 450.0 916.0
----------+--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total | 366.0 727.8 157.5 695.0 622.0 805.0 395.0 1364.0
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total boards, daily new members, posts
This section is from 1 July 2020 to 31 Dec 2020.
- Total boards: There are 3 times the number for total boards changed in 2020
- 254 to 255: 15 Sep 2020
- 255 to 257: 25 Nov 2020
- 257 to 258: 04 Dec 2020
- Which are those new child-boards?
- Spam (SEO ?) attacks in December 2020 that are disclosured by spikes in total new members, and posts. Look at max values in the raw results table and wider range of boxes in box plots
Raw results
New members
by categories of: month (month)
month | N mean sd p50 p25 p75 min max
---------+--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
7 | 30.0 379.6 48.6 386.0 351.0 402.0 277.0 501.0
8 | 31.0 395.6 85.3 386.0 333.0 423.0 284.0 660.0
9 | 30.0 393.4 70.8 406.5 342.0 454.0 256.0 510.0
10 | 31.0 416.9 166.2 372.0 338.0 429.0 266.0 1018.0
11 | 30.0 588.2 193.3 507.0 428.0 703.0 384.0 1014.0
12 | 31.0 1886.3 1549.2 1483.0 1003.0 2424.0 554.0 9060.0
---------+--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total | 183.0 680.3 843.6 418.0 361.0 635.0 256.0 9060.0
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
New posts
by categories of: month (month)
month | N mean sd p50 p25 p75 min max
---------+--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
7 | 30.0 6382.6 586.7 6477.5 6175.0 6724.0 5091.0 7534.0
8 | 31.0 6270.6 283.6 6299.0 6068.0 6460.0 5606.0 6820.0
9 | 30.0 6290.3 527.1 6259.0 5888.0 6659.0 5477.0 7628.0
10 | 31.0 6498.0 513.7 6445.0 6134.0 6840.0 5462.0 7909.0
11 | 30.0 7556.1 642.0 7647.0 7238.0 8006.0 5756.0 8621.0
12 | 31.0 8554.2 1310.5 8176.0 7633.0 9161.0 6738.0 11538.0
---------+--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total | 183.0 6928.3 1114.1 6609.0 6203.0 7509.0 5091.0 11538.0
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