Anyone who hasnt won previously is an outsider and probably deserves higher odds.
So, Jessica Chastain is my bet.
By the way - I hope this year, in a few months, we will have a chance to bet on Nobel Prize winners ;-)
I always say that best movie should always include the movie that was watched the most that year, like Spiderman became the most watched this year right? Then it should be AT LEAST nominated. Is this cinema awards? Was that the most watched movie? Then why don't we see it? All in all watching movies will make it harder. Wagering on what the oddmakers are saying, like belfast was "great" and all would be even easier option, same goes for most beauty contests as well.
Yes, it could be included, but why? If movie is good, it is pre-selected anyway. But imagine, Academy awards and you have a choice: Spiderman, Superman, Batman, X-Men and Mackbeth. It would be weird, no?
I think idea was to award movies which gives something more than just an entertainment. Some kind of reflection, a different view of emotions, complicated aspects of life. Where the characters are not
flat, good/bad, you know - life is not black & white.
OR movie which starts a new era, makes a new use well-known concepts or technology.
I do not want to say that each
popular movie is bad, I only think that we should see what is really valuable. That's why there is jury (actors, directors etc) which decides, not accountants.
8 days left on monthly price bet, Im not drawn to any viable outcome especially. I think we have a bias up due to a trend underlying prices but I dont estimate past 48k this month, too much work to do first. So thats quite boring then, all thats left is disaster outcomes so the full range would be down to 20k. Not likely but thats my punt I guess
I will wait for the last moment. Who knows what will happen in one week. Maybe war will progress, maybe they announce peace. I think sanctions on banks and "Russians buying crypto" did not make any bigger difference. At the and for a longer period of time we are around 40k, maybe stabilization is what we need more than exciting bets.
Or in the future then will make narrower options, like 1k.