How did this go from a gold collapsing bitcoin up thread to a poll about Gavin?
The ongoing Gavinista coup and looming Great Schism are widely considered the most serious and credible threats yet to cypher's bullish "Bitcoin UP" prediction/outlook.
Is not the Chicago boys any of us have to worry about. It's the Monero boys.
True. Monero solved the block size issue on day one with adaptive block sizes and costing. I'm not in favor of rushing anything and like sipa's list of todos before any increase of Bitcoin block size, but there is some urgency for that.
http://sourceforge.net/p/bitcoin/mailman/message/34090896/there's nothing in there that hasn't been addressed by pro-block increase folks:
1. again, he talks like 20MB will be instantly produced as a reason the network will choke. no they won't, it will gradually increase over years during which bandwidth and storage will improve
2. he talks about full nodes w/o ever considering users. this is the problem i spoke about yesterday; these guys think the node is the fundamental unit which is wrong. he mentions that merchants should be the ones to increase the #nodes; i agree. but merchant businesses won't be created if there aren't users. so grow the users thru wider adoption via cheaper fees and reliability. don't choke them off with unconf tx's and high fees.
3. he's right that "need" won't stop at 20MB but will just increase. but that will take time as i said above and just how is that a bad thing to have all the extra users driving the system? that will mean Bitcoin has successfully spread out thru growth. but that growth can't happen if you have a technical choke on the system.
4. i don't buy the fact that with 20MB that somehow large miners are going to pump out large blocks for a perceived benefit over small miners. first off, all miners large and small probably have equal internet access speed. it's a small cost to have one and any business running a pool is sure to have one so connectivity shouldn't be an issue. as for the ability force small miners to process large blocks, this comes at the risk of the large miner getting orphaned trying to do so. i've already explained why they shouldn't be bothered playing these games trying to hurt an undefined supposed enemy pool size. Game theory effectively argues against this. why shoot themselves in the foot undermining confidence in the system and crashing the price? why alienate all their hashing clients who will pull out and punish them ala ghash? it doesn't make sense.
5. of all the Blockstream devs, Pieter would be the one who'd i think would be least captured. but i have $21M that says he is at some level.