Halving effects, how long they will last? - page 5.

savetheFORUM

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Quote from: JeffBrad12 on May 04, 2023, 08:00:19 PM

I honestly have no high expectation in this regard, halving usually only massive around when the rumour spreads and then went downhill after that, there have been several of such similar case in which halving didn't have any effect but I guess the effect is going after certain time has passed that's when the market realized that there are fewer and fewer bitcoin mined.
but honestly though just don't put too much high expectation in this event, there are many more other thing that might make the bitcoin rises even more like being invested heavily by large corporation.
but for the sake of not missing chance and opportunity just be ready to accumulate some of the bitcoin maybe things will be different this time around after all, what is not possible in cryptocurrency market in general.

People tend to believe in things that have brought a positive change in the past, and we have seen that after halving, the price of Bitcoin gets pumped heavily, that is how it got to its all-time high in the past and that is exactly what people are expecting from the upcoming halving as well, it's all about market sentiment at the end of the day.

Even if halving itself doesn't have much of an effect on the price, the beliefs of people will surely push it since there will be huge buying pressure right before the halving since people expect a rise after it, so that pressure itself will push the price to go up.

kotajikikox

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Quote from: libert19 on May 03, 2023, 12:19:06 AM

Every 4 years, we expect bull market just because of halving. What do you think when is this chain is going to broken? Ie, halving no longer equals that bull market is coming.

as long as the demand and supply maintain this way then halving will never bring nothing to the market.
but of course things will be different if we are talking about the next 50 years ? Grin

But I Have no Idea actually because what I do believe is that Halving will always stays that way and the effect will constantly bring upgrade in market value as of how many miners and investors will benefit from that.

Quote from: tiCeR on May 06, 2023, 07:09:30 PM

Quote from: Sir Legend on May 04, 2023, 09:47:52 PM

If the previous halving succeeded in making the price rise then I have no doubt that the halving that will occur in a year will also make the price explode, especially if this year can be closed with a price of at least $ 60k then when the price halving will be easy to reach $ 100k, the mining process increasingly difficult to make the price will continue to increase because the stock is very limited.

I don't know if this is the optimal strategy to go about price expectations in general Cheesy

Rather not. As was pointed out, expectations are important and can move mountains, but there are several parameters that are vitally important to Bitcoin prices and many of those parameters are impossible to anticipate or even assess the relevance and a respective price tag for. Nobody knows what sort of unexpected events could happen. I am sure we now know that bad incidents can happen which impact the global economy as a whole. If you only take the halving and crunch some numbers, the impact should not be as severe anymore as it used to be, but as many reasons as there are that could get Bitcoin go up a lot, I guess as many are there that could get Bitcoin into (temporary) trouble in terms of its price. It is the typical list maybe starting with regulation, and then all the other garbage we have going on in the world right now.

well , That is why we are only expecting and predicting here.

things may change sideways or against our expectation that is the reason why we need to be ready in all instance , never expect
too much or face the consequences .

tiCeR

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Quote from: Sir Legend on May 04, 2023, 09:47:52 PM

If the previous halving succeeded in making the price rise then I have no doubt that the halving that will occur in a year will also make the price explode, especially if this year can be closed with a price of at least $ 60k then when the price halving will be easy to reach $ 100k, the mining process increasingly difficult to make the price will continue to increase because the stock is very limited.

I don't know if this is the optimal strategy to go about price expectations in general Cheesy

Rather not. As was pointed out, expectations are important and can move mountains, but there are several parameters that are vitally important to Bitcoin prices and many of those parameters are impossible to anticipate or even assess the relevance and a respective price tag for. Nobody knows what sort of unexpected events could happen. I am sure we now know that bad incidents can happen which impact the global economy as a whole. If you only take the halving and crunch some numbers, the impact should not be as severe anymore as it used to be, but as many reasons as there are that could get Bitcoin go up a lot, I guess as many are there that could get Bitcoin into (temporary) trouble in terms of its price. It is the typical list maybe starting with regulation, and then all the other garbage we have going on in the world right now.

Hamphser

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Quote from: fuguebtc on May 06, 2023, 11:08:17 AM

Quote from: benalexis12 on May 06, 2023, 10:16:32 AM

Quote from: libert19 on May 03, 2023, 12:19:06 AM

Every 4 years, we expect bull market just because of halving. What do you think when is this chain is going to broken? Ie, halving no longer equals that bull market is coming.

No one can answer exactly what you say, and no one knows what will happen in the future. So what are you looking for to answer your question?
Everything everyone says here is based on their own opinion or speculation, which means let's just wait or wait for what will actually happen when Bitcoin's halving is already there and it's happening until it's over.

Of course, that's just a personal guess as no one has a crystal ball to see into the future. But there is nothing wrong with people believing that history will repeat itself because it has happened 3 times in the past, and there is no obstacle. We can't do anything but wait, but always keep an optimistic spirit, believe in bitcoin and your choice. As investors, we need to have faith and an optimistic mindset rather than pessimism. I still believe that history will be on our side and a new ATH will be created.

No one could be able to predict the future and there's no way we could really make out assurance that halving event could kick out the bull run but well as we do able to see into those previous years.You cant
really ignore on how Bitcoin did really behave or the entire market did really end up when halving effects kicked in. We cant be sure though if this would really be happening on upcoming ones.
This is why better prepare yourself for this upcoming event, now is the time to make some accumulations of coins specially Bitcoin and do make out some bags with some altcoins too.

You wont really be able to see yourself to progress if you wont really be making out some wise move or doesnt really move or make action at all. Halving effects could neither
be evident on this upcoming halving or wouldnt really be having no effect at all. There's no way on telling it out because we are just
all speculators on here.

fuguebtc

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Quote from: benalexis12 on May 06, 2023, 10:16:32 AM

Quote from: libert19 on May 03, 2023, 12:19:06 AM

Every 4 years, we expect bull market just because of halving. What do you think when is this chain is going to broken? Ie, halving no longer equals that bull market is coming.

No one can answer exactly what you say, and no one knows what will happen in the future. So what are you looking for to answer your question?
Everything everyone says here is based on their own opinion or speculation, which means let's just wait or wait for what will actually happen when Bitcoin's halving is already there and it's happening until it's over.

Of course, that's just a personal guess as no one has a crystal ball to see into the future. But there is nothing wrong with people believing that history will repeat itself because it has happened 3 times in the past, and there is no obstacle. We can't do anything but wait, but always keep an optimistic spirit, believe in bitcoin and your choice. As investors, we need to have faith and an optimistic mindset rather than pessimism. I still believe that history will be on our side and a new ATH will be created.

Don Pedro Dinero

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I would expect the effects of halving to reduce as the mining progresses. If there are fewer and fewer bitcoins left to be mined, and the trend is towards a higher price and higher market cap, the effect on the price is likely to gradually diminish.

Quote from: KiaKia on May 05, 2023, 10:13:18 AM

After the halving do not expect a sky rocket take off, it's just an indicator that the next bull market is just starting, it'd a good time for whales to start dropping millions into the market again.

Normally the big pump happens about a year after the halving, but this does not necessarily happen every time and even if it does, it is normal for the pump to be lower as more halvings have passed and there are fewer bitcoins left to be mined.

Semar Mesem

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Halving day is a moment that creates panic to buy immediately because mining stock will be reduced, this makes mining even more difficult, I used to have a friend who was mining bitcoin with 5 S7 units, after a few months I could get RoI because in 2016 there was a halving day which made an increase fantastic, unfortunately the mining level is also getting more difficult so at the beginning of 2018 he sold everything.

benalexis12

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Quote from: libert19 on May 03, 2023, 12:19:06 AM

Every 4 years, we expect bull market just because of halving. What do you think when is this chain is going to broken? Ie, halving no longer equals that bull market is coming.

No one can answer exactly what you say, and no one knows what will happen in the future. So what are you looking for to answer your question?
Everything everyone says here is based on their own opinion or speculation, which means let's just wait or wait for what will actually happen when Bitcoin's halving is already there and it's happening until it's over.

fzkto

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Quote from: AmoreJaz on May 04, 2023, 07:31:02 PM

Quote from: Reid on May 04, 2023, 06:43:17 PM

FOMO will happen so expect a before and after fluctuating effects. Also, do monitor the FUD that will come out because I doubt they will keep silent once the halving is near. They will try to manipulate the market by spreading false news and some investors with soft hands will bite it and panic sell expecting what was predicted can happen.
2 months before and 2 months after, be wary of those days because any day, hours, or minutes a change in price could happen. Those who have seen it will know what to do. In my case, I am now investing with lots of coffees in my stock room. Cheesy

but for those who will heavily invest, don't expect too much that you will get profit from this. feel the sentiments of the market. you will get hints on what may possibly happen in the market if you will get acquainted of what's going on. so for now, we are more on the speculations side. but as it nears, we will get the pulse of the community and how it may influence in the market prices.

So far, the halving effect has worked 100% of the time. I think there will be another increase in 2024. Only each time the rise is smaller. I don't know where the bottom will be for bitcoin and if it was at 14k. But if we assume there was, then after the next halving we can expect a price above 100K per bitcoin, which is not much from the current price. If the bottom is still ahead, then the profit after the halving could be big.

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Quote from: libert19 on May 03, 2023, 12:19:06 AM

Every 4 years, we expect bull market just because of halving. What do you think when is this chain is going to broken? Ie, halving no longer equals that bull market is coming.

Yes, the halving expectations are often fever pitch. We find this influence on price both in pre and post halving situations. A year before halving sees price rallying up and then its crescendo is in the post halving that produces fresh ATHs for every circle.

Quote from: LoyceV on May 03, 2023, 04:05:16 AM

My personal expectation (based on the price history, so no guarantees): we'll see a new ATH a year after the next halving.

It's a Deja Vu. We saw this same pattern in 2017 (after halving in 2016) and 2021 (after halving in 2020), expectedly next one will be in 2025 (after halving in 2024). I started with 2017 because that's when I started following Bitcoin happenings.

KiaKia

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Quote from: libert19 on May 03, 2023, 12:19:06 AM

Every 4 years, we expect bull market just because of halving. What do you think when is this chain is going to broken? Ie, halving no longer equals that bull market is coming.

Bitcoin halving is just part of reasons to be bullish about Bitcoin, the reward of Bitcoin miners goes lower and that helps with it's scarcity, this isn't the only reason why we go into Bull run every 4years.

The truth about the future bull market has everything to do with what the chart is saying, it's all in the chart if Bitcoin bull are returning or not. If you are a good Bitcoin trader that understands price action you will be able to understand what I am talking about.

After the halving do not expect a sky rocket take off, it's just an indicator that the next bull market is just starting, it'd a good time for whales to start dropping millions into the market again.

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Quote from: Hypnosis00 on May 05, 2023, 09:09:33 AM

We're sure about it but wait, we should also not be confident enough that everything will rise, not these shitcoins.
We are expecting that it will bring the market to another level of hype again and assume that Bitcoin will able to reach another price record in crypto history. In fact, people are waiting for the halving because they believe that this is their chance to make a huge profit and be rewarded for their long time waiting. And this can be possible if the majority are able to hold their coins, instead of dumping them upon seeing short pumps.

They dump it at the short pump because they don't have a goal for the long term and just want instant profits.
Even though our main goal is still quite far away, Whales are still even targeting the new ATH for Bitcoin and continue to hold it.

As we approach the halving period the crypto market starts to get volatile and surely the price of Bitcoin will be higher than it is today.
We all have the same goal, to hold until the ATh is reached after the halving occurs.

The halving effect will probably last for a while, but then it will drop slowly due to some FUD or when the market gets saturated.
But there will be some events that keep Bitcoin afloat, and the supply of Bitcoin to mine is also getting smaller.

Hypnosis00

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Quote from: Sir Legend on May 04, 2023, 09:47:52 PM

If the previous halving succeeded in making the price rise then I have no doubt that the halving that will occur in a year will also make the price explode, especially if this year can be closed with a price of at least $ 60k then when the price halving will be easy to reach $ 100k, the mining process increasingly difficult to make the price will continue to increase because the stock is very limited.

We're sure about it but wait, we should also not be confident enough that everything will rise, not these shitcoins.
We are expecting that it will bring the market to another level of hype again and assume that Bitcoin will able to reach another price record in crypto history. In fact, people are waiting for the halving because they believe that this is their chance to make a huge profit and be rewarded for their long time waiting. And this can be possible if the majority are able to hold their coins, instead of dumping them upon seeing short pumps.

Sir Legend

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If the previous halving succeeded in making the price rise then I have no doubt that the halving that will occur in a year will also make the price explode, especially if this year can be closed with a price of at least $ 60k then when the price halving will be easy to reach $ 100k, the mining process increasingly difficult to make the price will continue to increase because the stock is very limited.

JeffBrad12

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I honestly have no high expectation in this regard, halving usually only massive around when the rumour spreads and then went downhill after that, there have been several of such similar case in which halving didn't have any effect but I guess the effect is going after certain time has passed that's when the market realized that there are fewer and fewer bitcoin mined.
but honestly though just don't put too much high expectation in this event, there are many more other thing that might make the bitcoin rises even more like being invested heavily by large corporation.
but for the sake of not missing chance and opportunity just be ready to accumulate some of the bitcoin maybe things will be different this time around after all, what is not possible in cryptocurrency market in general.

AmoreJaz

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Quote from: Reid on May 04, 2023, 06:43:17 PM

FOMO will happen so expect a before and after fluctuating effects. Also, do monitor the FUD that will come out because I doubt they will keep silent once the halving is near. They will try to manipulate the market by spreading false news and some investors with soft hands will bite it and panic sell expecting what was predicted can happen.
2 months before and 2 months after, be wary of those days because any day, hours, or minutes a change in price could happen. Those who have seen it will know what to do. In my case, I am now investing with lots of coffees in my stock room. Cheesy

but for those who will heavily invest, don't expect too much that you will get profit from this. feel the sentiments of the market. you will get hints on what may possibly happen in the market if you will get acquainted of what's going on. so for now, we are more on the speculations side. but as it nears, we will get the pulse of the community and how it may influence in the market prices.

Reid

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FOMO will happen so expect a before and after fluctuating effects. Also, do monitor the FUD that will come out because I doubt they will keep silent once the halving is near. They will try to manipulate the market by spreading false news and some investors with soft hands will bite it and panic sell expecting what was predicted can happen.
2 months before and 2 months after, be wary of those days because any day, hours, or minutes a change in price could happen. Those who have seen it will know what to do. In my case, I am now investing with lots of coffees in my stock room. Cheesy

GeorgeJohn

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Quote from: libert19 on May 03, 2023, 12:19:06 AM

Every 4 years, we expect bull market just because of halving. What do you think when is this chain is going to broken? Ie, halving no longer equals that bull market is coming.

Some of us just believe on mere speculation, and I we believe the speculation of people that we are about to venture into bullrun, whosoever that want to give us hope entering bullrun soon should give us his method of observation or analysis so that we can as well understand exactly what the problem is all about concerning the bearish and bullrun, but none of the people can give a cogent reason or point while we are expecting or about to go into a bullrun. I believe that that the brain behind a bullrun is "very visible to the blind" because it's understandable that bullrun comes as result of multiple demands of cryptocurrency or we emphasis particularly to bitcoin, when the gravity of demands in bitcoin if is absolutely higher than the supply in the marketcap, it shows that their is every tendency that bitcoin market will become bearish, so let us do not depends on previous occurrence of bitcoin, and have the mindset that it's rotational or a continuous process in bitcoin acceleration.

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Quote from: libert19 on May 03, 2023, 12:19:06 AM

Every 4 years, we expect bull market just because of halving. What do you think when is this chain is going to broken? Ie, halving no longer equals that bull market is coming.

Well they already said that the chain is going to be broken after our last bull run, their theory is that we will have a super cycle. However, if we won't see a new all time high this year (prior to the halving), then chain is not broken.

Which means that post-halving, we might still some good price movement and then the bubble is going to be burst in 2025, just like what we have seen in the past. Yeah, past performance is not indicative of future success, but so far the bear/bull cycle is in effect every 4 years in bitcoin market. So for me, at least at this point, bitcoin halving is the catalyst for a eventual bull run.

ItsCrafty

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Yes it's true that halving occurs after four years but as everyone knows very well that next moment of crypto market is unpredictable so we don't have exact information about the halving. It is according to the estimation that halving will take place in 2024 but when it is not possible to predict.

The hopes of crypto enthusiasts are sustain and they think that halving will occur because from previous years it occurs regularly so whenever the halving occurs price changes from negative towards positive. Halving will occurs in next year but its not 100 percent sure so just focus on investment if unfortunately having doesn't take place so bitcoin is a type of coin which doesn't go more in dip.

Topic: Halving effects, how long they will last? - page 5. (Read 913 times)