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Topic: [HAVELOCK] PETAMINE - 1,150 TH/S HASH RATE (1GH/S per Unit) - page 48. (Read 565829 times)

legendary
Activity: 980
Merit: 1040
Recent difficulty spike is related to KNC miner.
They are shipping their Neptunes now.

I choose not to panic.

In the case of the Bitcoin network exponential growth won't last forever.

And after KnC is done shipping Neptunes, they will deploy them in their second private mega mine. And then the next rise will be caused by a flood of asicminer gear, then one caused by 28nm Antminers, then one caused by 28nm Bitfiry's, etc, etc. Its not gonna stop anytime soon, and by the time exponential growth does stop, your crytpx shares will look as worthless as a 200MH/s FPGA today.

Quote
This project will continue to be around. Let's see where we are in 24 months.

Lol. Make that "2-4 months".

full member
Activity: 136
Merit: 100
So Puppet, I'm curious, what in your opinion is a good investment? Crypto related or otherwise.

I consider Bitcoin itself a risky but potentially very lucrative investment that makes sense.

Im not aware of any bitcoin investments that Id call good. And that should surprise no one, there are millions of bitcoins in wallets with owners looking to grow their stash and willing to invest in anything that moves, and there is precious little available for the public to invest in. That alone drives up prices, creates bubbles, with no way to short sell them to deflate the bubbles and should make you think twice.

Here  is the kicker though, no matter how wise everyone would invest, the bitcoin economy does not create more bitcoins, other than the ones that are mined, and those are mined anyhow. So it should be clear that on average, no one wins. The overall gain is in the increase of the value of the bitcoins themselves.  Add to that the fact that a large portion of these "investment opportunities" are plain scams, and therefore profitable for the scammer, and its mathematical certainty that the average investor will make a BTC denominated loss. This is very different from the fiat economy, where new money is actually created through good investments, and the loss is the  devaluation of the currency for everyone who keeps theirs under their mattress.

TL:DR: invest your fiat in whatever fiat denominated asset you think makes sense or invest in bitcoins that you keep in cold storage. Trying to do both by investing in bitcoin securities, generally is stupid. Just ask yourself: where would your BTC denominated profit come from? Who is paying for it? Unlike fiat, bitcoins can not be created from thin air and your profit is not gonna come from my cold wallet either.
Good post, thank you Puppet.
hero member
Activity: 938
Merit: 502
Recent difficulty spike is related to KNC miner.
They are shipping their Neptunes now.

I choose not to panic.

In the case of the Bitcoin network exponential growth won't last forever.
This project will continue to be around. Let's see where we are in 24 months.



Haha, you don't realize that while yes, exponential growth won't last forever, the tech that's on its way within the coming years, particularly the 14nm (currently in engineering for mass production by Intel for its i-however-many-cores-this-time processor) and 10nm architectures (which Samsung demoed in 2012) will make everything from BFLs to ASICMINER Gen 3's mine like CPUs within a fortnight of their eventual release.

The only thing that's currently stopping this tech from happening in SHA256d ASICs is scalability - Intel and Samsung can't stay profitable in a niche market such as BTC mining by producing such cutting-edge tech.  The current mining companies don't have all the intellectual capital built up that these two tech giants do, but believe me, its only a matter of time before some senior engineer quits, their non-compete runs out, and they jump into the mining chip space.  Think what impact that'll have on the difficulty, assuming even that the number of people mining doesn't grow at all.
hero member
Activity: 938
Merit: 502
Canadian company Vault of Satoshi launches Divcoin
https://www.vaultofsatoshi.com/divcoin
(~$50/month 10 gh/s)
The initial price per Divcoin is $5.00 CAD (USD/BTC equivalent). Fees are 0.00028 per Divcoin, per day, which will be automatically removed before payout.

I read it over and it sounds simply like a theoretical miner in which you are paying $5.00 for 1 GH/sec. You could simply buy B.MINE in which each share represents 5 GH/sec. One share of B.MINE (on Havelock) currently sells for a dollar equivalent of $10.54, so you would be paying only $2.10 for 1 GH/sec. You can sell your B.MINE shares at any time also.

IMHO there are too many hidden details for Divcoin. Vault of Satoshi volume has dropped since CaVirtEx has lowered its fees. I suppose VOS is trying to drum up business. In Canada I have used CaVirtex for just under 3 years now and I have found them to be reputable and trustworthy in all my dealings with them. CaVirtex is a Bitcoin/Litecoin exchange.

I've mentioned this before to...

Let's say you wanted to buy a 15 GH/s miner.  You could buy a physical piece of hardware (very unlikely to hold resale value), buy a share of PETA (weekly divs/compounding for large quantity), or buy 3 shares of B.MINE.  PETA will supposedly grow (after their financials are done getting brutalized by Lord-knows-what-interest-rate-and-no-I'm not-bothering-to-ever-look-at-that-sad-deception-of-a-prospectus-again-to find-out-what-it-is) in the long, long term, but by that point you will have been better off just holding the BTC and buying in after they've reinvested in cheaper, more efficient chips.  B.MINE has no maintenance fee or interest payments as a derivative and is priced at >1% return (right now, at least until difficulty bumps).

Personally, I own ~45 GH/s of mining equipment, but all the coin that's generated is going into B.SELL (the shorting mechanism of 2070's fund).  I'm disclosing this because with difficulty set to increase by ~25% this period (with droves of ASIC's being shipped probably as I type), its just a safer investment (and pays ~3-4x more than B.MINE for the same period).  That being said, one of the major strategies with BDD seems to be to hold B.MINE starting early/mid-difficulty period, collecting as many daily divs as your risk appetite can handle, and then selling off and buying B.SELL before the bid line drops.
full member
Activity: 154
Merit: 100
Canadian company Vault of Satoshi launches Divcoin
https://www.vaultofsatoshi.com/divcoin
(~$50/month 10 gh/s)
The initial price per Divcoin is $5.00 CAD (USD/BTC equivalent). Fees are 0.00028 per Divcoin, per day, which will be automatically removed before payout.

I read it over and it sounds simply like a theoretical miner in which you are paying $5.00 for 1 GH/sec. You could simply buy B.MINE in which each share represents 5 GH/sec. One share of B.MINE (on Havelock) currently sells for a dollar equivalent of $10.54, so you would be paying only $2.10 for 1 GH/sec. You can sell your B.MINE shares at any time also.

IMHO there are too many hidden details for Divcoin. Vault of Satoshi volume has dropped since CaVirtEx has lowered its fees. I suppose VOS is trying to drum up business. In Canada I have used CaVirtex for just under 3 years now and I have found them to be reputable and trustworthy in all my dealings with them. CaVirtex is a Bitcoin/Litecoin exchange.
legendary
Activity: 980
Merit: 1040
Wouldn't there be some sale of assets after mining ends?

I would hope so. However, the value of the mining equipment drops roughly proportionally to difficulty too. Once that equipment is no longer even operationally profitable for cryptx, dont expect to get much for it anymore.
legendary
Activity: 1610
Merit: 1000
Well hello there!
Recent difficulty spike is related to KNC miner.
They are shipping their Neptunes now.

I choose not to panic.

In the case of the Bitcoin network exponential growth won't last forever.
This project will continue to be around. Let's see where we are in 24 months.


True enough...but with shares at current price, 50% to pay off loan, and huge hosting/admin fee's it only needs to go on for 3 maybe 4 months max sadly.  That's the problem.
newbie
Activity: 49
Merit: 0
Recent difficulty spike is related to KNC miner.
They are shipping their Neptunes now.

I choose not to panic.

In the case of the Bitcoin network exponential growth won't last forever.
This project will continue to be around. Let's see where we are in 24 months.

sr. member
Activity: 285
Merit: 250
Canadian company Vault of Satoshi launches Divcoin
https://www.vaultofsatoshi.com/divcoin
(~$50/month 10 gh/s)
The initial price per Divcoin is $5.00 CAD (USD/BTC equivalent). Fees are 0.00028 per Divcoin, per day, which will be automatically removed before payout.
sr. member
Activity: 285
Merit: 250
Not sure what you are saying. You just calculated a total return of 0.011 which is in line with the optimistic estimates Ive been making for some time. What that means is that a 0.011 BTC share price would seem reasonable (though that assumes a rapid deceleration of network growth. We may well hit 7% or lower, but not likely in the next few weeks which matter most). Its still trading around 0.03. The bubble is deflating, it hasnt popped yet.



Wouldn't there be some sale of assets after mining ends?
full member
Activity: 154
Merit: 100
In this case Puppet and NotLambchop convinced me to accept my losses and get out. The numbers just don't look good. In 3 months time the increase in hash rate will make it such that the Bitcoins mined only cover the hosting fee. Unless the reinvestment ratio is changed to at least 95/5 the loan will not be paid out till mid August. That only leaves one months time for a small reinvestment fund to build up. Like I said in some of my earlier posts, Bitcoin Mining is like a dog chasing its tail.

Good luck to all of you who are in this project. Let's hope that Bitcoin rises to the $1000's so that mining will again become profitable.
newbie
Activity: 27
Merit: 0
This ship is sinking fast!

10:1 tell's me I'm not going to love the cryptx post much despite the moving to p2pool (which I think ultimately is a good thing).
I think the price will recover (temporarily) when he announces that. I have noticed that on the Bitcoin subreddit people blindly investing when he made previous announcements.
legendary
Activity: 1610
Merit: 1000
Well hello there!
This ship is sinking fast!

10:1 tell's me I'm not going to love the cryptx post much despite the moving to p2pool (which I think ultimately is a good thing).
legendary
Activity: 980
Merit: 1040
hey, I don't understand why it tanks every day. I own some shares but feel unhappy these days.

See this chart:
https://blockchain.info/charts/hash-rate

?

Your dividend is the reciprocal of that curve. In fact,its even worse than that. The price is tanking because some people are finally doing some math and finding out what this is really worth.
legendary
Activity: 980
Merit: 1040
@Puppet:  I'm simply pointing out that the supply/demand feedback loop that usually controls the supply has a huge time lag in it.  The bets that dictate the hashrate increase in the near future were made a long time ago, and no choices made now could significantly change the amount of hashrate going online in the next few month.  That's all.
As far as profitability goes, HashFast's bankruptcy and weird ASICMINER rumors at least hint that it's possible for ASIC makers to lose money.  I don't really know.

HF is a case of gross mismanagement and under capitalization.  They are sitting on a huge pile of chips (60K or something? If I remember that right, thats >40PH) but they dont have the money for the PCBs and the rest.
AM, I wouldnt worry. The rumor that they are selling at cost is most likely a misunderstanding, if not deliberate misinformation, and is about AM delivering chips to franchising partners in return for mining revenue.
legendary
Activity: 980
Merit: 1040
My calculations: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/12mylwGbqNWwFr_zspNhWg8RYjWlDJJCg16U38YOI8Yo/edit?usp=sharing (feel free to make a copy and plug in your own numbers)

At 7% DIFFICULTY INCREASE per week, and 0.027 share price we will end up earning 43% of our money back in the next 19 weeks, by which it will not be profitable to run any longer.  So from what I can see, even if the price drops another 50%, its still break even.




Not sure what you are saying. You just calculated a total return of 0.011 which is in line with the optimistic estimates Ive been making for some time. What that means is that a 0.011 BTC share price would seem reasonable (though that assumes a rapid deceleration of network growth. We may well hit 7% or lower, but not likely in the next few weeks which matter most). Its still trading around 0.03. The bubble is deflating, it hasnt popped yet.

sr. member
Activity: 285
Merit: 250
My calculations: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/12mylwGbqNWwFr_zspNhWg8RYjWlDJJCg16U38YOI8Yo/edit?usp=sharing (feel free to make a copy and plug in your own numbers)

At 7% DIFFICULTY INCREASE per week, and 0.027 share price we will end up earning 43% of our money back in the next 19 weeks, by which it will not be profitable to run any longer.  So from what I can see, even if the price drops another 50%, its still break even.

member
Activity: 116
Merit: 10
hey, I don't understand why it tanks every day. I own some shares but feel unhappy these days.
member
Activity: 71
Merit: 10
Alright, I dont have the courage or the patience to trade on the gaps anymore. This was another interesting adventure and I am leaving Havelock today to explore other parts of the bitcoin trading world.

Thanks to everyone who to care of the FUD and made profits possible.

And remember, there is always a way to win even if everyone else is losing.
full member
Activity: 144
Merit: 100
Reminds me of the Lecture of Al Bartlett where he famously says:

The tragedy of the human race is that it cannot comprehend the exponential function in mathematics.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_v4NU0StM0M
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