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Topic: [HAVELOCK] PETAMINE - 1,150 TH/S HASH RATE (1GH/S per Unit) - page 96. (Read 565833 times)

full member
Activity: 174
Merit: 102
...
What's weird about it? Your argument is that you can't keep up with difficulty, meaning the investment will lose value, since mining yields less and less. Yet the shares gained value, way above 50%. ...

Dividends paid, shares gaining value...  Why would you want to mess with such a winning combination by issuing another IPO and cutting divs?

Higher dividends after and further increased value?


B.but the "value" was increasing before the IPO, and now it's ... decreasing Sad



Whahappened?

supply > demand happened. let's see what happens when the new dividend shows up on havelock and what that does to demand.
full member
Activity: 138
Merit: 100
...
What's weird about it? Your argument is that you can't keep up with difficulty, meaning the investment will lose value, since mining yields less and less. Yet the shares gained value, way above 50%. ...

Dividends paid, shares gaining value...  Why would you want to mess with such a winning combination by issuing another IPO and cutting divs?

Higher dividends after and further increased value?


B.but the "value" was increasing before the IPO, and now it's ... decreasing Sad



Whahappened?
full member
Activity: 174
Merit: 102
...
What's weird about it? Your argument is that you can't keep up with difficulty, meaning the investment will lose value, since mining yields less and less. Yet the shares gained value, way above 50%. ...

Dividends paid, shares gaining value...  Why would you want to mess with such a winning combination by issuing another IPO and cutting divs?

Higher dividends after and further increased value?
full member
Activity: 174
Merit: 102
At any point in the future? Only during (I)POs, you mean? (regarding reinvestment in cryptx)
You could just buy more existing shares at market price at any point, but indeed for peta to grow, they should simply issue new shares representing new hashrate regularly.

But then you don't know who's going to invest how much and how much hardware that buys. Then it becomes too risky to reinvest at all. Knowing upfront how much reinvestment we'll have is key to success?
sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 254
...
What's weird about it? Your argument is that you can't keep up with difficulty, meaning the investment will lose value, since mining yields less and less. Yet the shares gained value, way above 50%. ...

Dividends paid, shares gaining value...  Why would you want to mess with such a winning combination by issuing another IPO and cutting divs?  Or...

*Are you a wizard?
legendary
Activity: 1610
Merit: 1000
Well hello there!
50/50 safest bet imho as well.  Vote cast Smiley
full member
Activity: 174
Merit: 102
Well this should be interesting. Please bear in mind that trying to keep up with difficulty is impossible for the foreseeable future, vote for dividends, the mine will pay out more with 0% reinvestment than it ever would if we tried to keep it alive.

How do you reconcile that with the fact that we had a tenfold increase in difficulty since PETA-MINE started about 7 months ago (at least on havelock), yet the shareprice during that timeframe increased by more than 50% and is about to increase again with the recent deployment of new hardware?

edit: voted 50/50

You're linking share price and difficulty? Weird but ok, the share price went up because Cryptx bought new hardware. But this wasn't keeping up with the difficulty, if anything it is proof that we can't keep up. Our reinvestment fund didn't buy the new hardware, Cryptx loaned the money to Peta, we are in the red at the moment because we couldn't keep our network share with our reinvestment so we were forcefully lent money to try and stay in the game a bit longer.

What's weird about it? Your argument is that you can't keep up with difficulty, meaning the investment will lose value, since mining yields less and less. Yet the shares gained value, way above 50%. All the while dividends were paid. Yes, we are in the red, but after 2 weeks auf 100% reinvest (or rather payback) not by much, I guess? At least not compared to the hashing power we gained.

Anyone got numbers?
full member
Activity: 154
Merit: 100
I also voted 35/65 (35 Dividend / 65 Reinvest). I also think this ratio should be reviewed at least every couple of months. I would be open to a floating dividend/reinvestment ratio between 10/90 and 90/10. At least for me, the idea is to maintain a relatively constant dividend per share over time. If this does indeed become zero sum in the future (IE The BTC mined only pays for the electricity and hosting fees), then we would need to think about a vote on liquidating the assets.

Ultimately areas with low electricity costs will be more conducive to Bitcoin mining. As mining farms move to those areas I expect that it could actually cause the price of power to go up in those areas as huge BTC mines eat up surplus power. You can work out the details for yourself, but if hash rate continues to increase at 25 - 30% per month, by the time of the next block reward halving the Bitcoin network will be using the total power output of a medium sized nuclear power plant.  Shocked
legendary
Activity: 980
Merit: 1040
I'm very serious. I get, but don't accept your argument, simply because not everyone re-invests.

So what? The hypothetical doesnt work even if you are the only one reinvesting.

Quote
In fact your argument supports the empirical pattern we see in other high growth industries

Which other zero sum industries would that be?

Quote
PETA's game is to be one of those final few players.

And what do you think the odds are of a company that has to buy its hardware on the open market to unseat companies that produce their own hardware at cost? Bitfury, Cointerra, KnC, etc are all setting up their mega farms. They will sell their hardware to cryptx, then use the money to grow their own farm by a far larger amount. You dont win that sort of arms race unless you are an arms dealer.
member
Activity: 116
Merit: 10
Well this should be interesting. Please bear in mind that trying to keep up with difficulty is impossible for the foreseeable future, vote for dividends, the mine will pay out more with 0% reinvestment than it ever would if we tried to keep it alive.

How do you reconcile that with the fact that we had a tenfold increase in difficulty since PETA-MINE started about 7 months ago (at least on havelock), yet the shareprice during that timeframe increased by more than 50% and is about to increase again with the recent deployment of new hardware?

edit: voted 50/50

You're linking share price and difficulty? Weird but ok, the share price went up because Cryptx bought new hardware. But this wasn't keeping up with the difficulty, if anything it is proof that we can't keep up. Our reinvestment fund didn't buy the new hardware, Cryptx loaned the money to Peta, we are in the red at the moment because we couldn't keep our network share with our reinvestment so we were forcefully lent money to try and stay in the game a bit longer.
sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 254
... the empirical pattern we see in other high growth industries of consolidation to the point of only a few mega players being left (Pharma for example). PETA's game is to be one of those final few players.
...

Play your cards right, and you'll control 100% of the network. <==♬ And you'll sit and grin/the money will roll right in ♬
legendary
Activity: 980
Merit: 1040
At any point in the future? Only during (I)POs, you mean? (regarding reinvestment in cryptx)

You could just buy more existing shares at market price at any point, but indeed for peta to grow, they should simply issue new shares representing new hashrate regularly. "Reinvesting" is simply the equivalent of being forced to buy these new shares at prices you have no control over.
sr. member
Activity: 392
Merit: 250
Voted 35/65

it is possible to counter difficulty and grow, especially for a large operation
hero member
Activity: 574
Merit: 500
I'd be interested to see any mathematical or economic proof you can back that statement up with.

Not sure if serious.
IN case you are serious, assume reinvesting would somehow increase your share of the network. Keep doing that, see what happens. You would end up with >100% of the network. The same logic dictates that if several competing mining companies reinvest their revenue, on average, everyone loses. Well everyone except the network itself. Welcome to the zero sum game.
I'm very serious. I get, but don't accept your argument, simply because not everyone re-invests. In fact your argument supports the empirical pattern we see in other high growth industries of consolidation to the point of only a few mega players being left (Pharma for example). PETA's game is to be one of those final few players.

Edit: I voted 50/50 but would happily go up to 100% to play the long game and be in the final pack.
full member
Activity: 174
Merit: 102
Here is a hint: if you get 100% dividends you will have the choice at any point in the future to "reinvest" as much or as little of your dividend as you want. Be it in cryptx, be it whatever looks best at that point.
By voting for automatic reinvestement, you are simply depriving yourself of that choice.
At any point in the future? Only during (I)POs, you mean? (regarding reinvestment in cryptx)
full member
Activity: 174
Merit: 102
Well this should be interesting. Please bear in mind that trying to keep up with difficulty is impossible for the foreseeable future, vote for dividends, the mine will pay out more with 0% reinvestment than it ever would if we tried to keep it alive.

How do you reconcile that with the fact that we had a tenfold increase in difficulty since PETA-MINE started about 7 months ago (at least on havelock), yet the shareprice during that timeframe increased by more than 50% and is about to increase again with the recent deployment of new hardware?

edit: voted 50/50
legendary
Activity: 980
Merit: 1040
I'd be interested to see any mathematical or economic proof you can back that statement up with.

Not sure if serious.
IN case you are serious, assume reinvesting would somehow increase your share of the network. Keep doing that, see what happens. You would end up with >100% of the network. The same logic dictates that if several competing mining companies reinvest their revenue, on average, everyone loses. Well everyone except the network itself. Welcome to the zero sum game.
hero member
Activity: 588
Merit: 504
I voted 50/50, providing re-investments are transparent.

Anyone can keep an eye out to see if there is too much slippage with PETA's share of the pie relative to global hashrate. Actually it's attractive even operating on assumption they maintain even half of their projections in mid term. Although global hashrate increase shows no sign of slowing down anytime soon it's fairly obvious there are certain limits to production, distribution, hosting etc which will be reached eventually causing a bit of a plateu. (even temporarily)

The public vote should not be a one time thing,should be open for adjustment depending on market conditions
With the amount of hashpower this project has, 50% of mined earnings less hosting fees should allow cryptx good position to leverage with manufacturers, something which small scale home miners don't have the luxury of being able to do.

Ultimately it's a case of buying hardware at X BTC and looking to dig back X+ BTC. If this project did not re-invest it would of been dead long ago.It's come a long way considering the amount of shares that were sold at BTCT.co (just a fraction of what was intended)

 Most home miners are not re-investing, only seeking to make a positive ROI over time- they will be gradually relegated out of the game in the coming years, Cloud mining will become much larger, and we see a competition mostly between warehouses and datacentres. Definitely big money can go into the key players there-  who knows, perhaps there could be a big private injection of $ or outright buyout if the mining scene matures over time. PETA is starting early to represent itself as one of the few large scale expanding mining operations open for public investment and a quick cashout 100% dividend would kill the project off in no time

hero member
Activity: 574
Merit: 500
Quote
To have a better view about current unit holders dividend / reinvestment preference, we are opening a vote where every unit holder can submit their preferred ratio. The vote will only be valid for current unit holders and held until Thursday, June 5th 2014 - 12:00 GMT. Votes will be weighted based on the amount of units of each individual unit holder. Based on outcome, we will adapt reinvestment/dividend strategy.

AWESOME! Even though it may produce little to no effect, THIS IS TRANSPARENCY and we appreciate it.

For myself, I'm content with any reinvestment amount under 60%. I'll be voting to reinvest 50%, even as a vote of confidence, but also because it falls in my acceptable range.
To succeed PETA MUST grow faster than the difficulty. Now that may take more efficient kit and/or greater re-investment percentage or a host of other things, but if we do not outpace difficulty, we end up a forgotten footnote and a failed investment.

Reinvestment will never keep up with difficulty. It's a sad fact but its true. The sooner you get the divs out the better off investors are.

If I owned any shares, 65% divs would be ideal, it would prolong the project slightly and at the same time pay investors a good return. And all in all, when the projects lifetime starts to come to an end, you can just reIPO the remaining shares and buy new units then.

I'd be interested to see any mathematical or economic proof you can back that statement up with.
member
Activity: 113
Merit: 10
Perpetual optimism is a force multiplier.
50%/50%. A safe bet. Expansion is crucial to any investment and if they can pop out weekly increases of Hashing Power then I'm all for it. If they can't be trusted with the reinvestments then I would like to see it be 65/35 like before. However, I'm giving them all my trust that cryptx will deliver on the 50% reinvestment each week. Hoping for the best!
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