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Topic: How high will the difficulty be in 60 days? - page 2. (Read 3714 times)

hero member
Activity: 616
Merit: 500
If some of the bigger rigs come online as projected, I believe it's likely you'll see number similar to this for a worse case scenario:

78 End of August
212 End of September
613 Last week of October

Less than worse case scenario:

78 End of August
162 End of September
241 Last week of October

Network speed has risen dramatically over the past few months, but we're just beginning to enter the "actual" rise. Growth will be exponential for a short time period, I'd wager you'll see the Network speed line shooting "almost straight up" for a short while sometime in the near future.

Some math whizz's have said they expect network speed to double or quadruple in the next 120 days. Not sure if I can bite into that, but it's certainly plausible.
sr. member
Activity: 490
Merit: 255
My latest exponential projections put around ~85M for 30 days and ~150M for 60 days.  Though those I bet will be low estimates.
legendary
Activity: 2702
Merit: 1468
100 Aug
150 Sept 15
225 Sept 30
337.5 Oct 15


So look at 300M+  Avalon, BFLs, bitfury chips are coming
full member
Activity: 164
Merit: 100
132,000,000
hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 500
125,000,000

newbie
Activity: 31
Merit: 0
currently difficulty is at 37. and is estimated to jump to 50. which is %40 increase so, if this trend continues, we are talking %120 increase per month or %240 per 2 month

that is why I decided not to buy knc Jupiter at the moment, even if it is delivered in October as promised I still would not make ROI.

here is a better calculator http://mining.thegenesisblock.com/
even if you assume difficulty will increase %35 per 10 days and round it off to %100 per month the outlook is bleak
legendary
Activity: 952
Merit: 1000
currently difficulty is at 37. and is estimated to jump to 50. which is %40 increase so, if this trend continues, we are talking %120 increase per month or %240 per 2 month

that is why I decided not to buy knc Jupiter at the moment, even if it is delivered in October as promised I still would not make ROI.
We're not going to jump 40% every single diff recalc. August was supposted to be a big month for ASIC delivery, and I think the next 2-3 months will see sharp increases, and then it will somewhat level off.
newbie
Activity: 31
Merit: 0
currently difficulty is at 37. and is estimated to jump to 50. which is %40 increase so, if this trend continues, we are talking %120 increase per month or %240 per 2 month

that is why I decided not to buy knc Jupiter at the moment, even if it is delivered in October as promised I still would not make ROI.
newbie
Activity: 11
Merit: 0
If difficylty raise 20 -35%
93045167 < diff < 124200306 for an example, difficulty = 104043503 13-10-2013
legendary
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1006
100 satoshis -> ISO code
93,675,302
sr. member
Activity: 424
Merit: 250
Estimates anyone?
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