Anybody know how many BTC from 19 million minted coin is in circulation and trading in almost three hundred exchanges?
You initially operate with an inaccurate figure of 19 million BTC. Immediately you need to subtract ~1 coins, which is stored on Satoshi's wallet. I can't tell if access to these facilities is lost forever or if it's just being stored, but at the moment, this BTC's don't participate in the circulation for sure. Next, you need to subtract the number of coins, access to which was lost forever. For example, due to a breakdown / disposal in the HDD trash or due to sending BTC to the wrong address, which also leads to their loss forever.
Therefore, it is almost impossible to estimate exactly how much BTC is circulating.
Of the originally conceived 21 million BTC, the world will end up with less than 21 million at its disposal. Also, I assume that over time this figure will decrease, due to future loss of bitcoins.
As far as I heard there are 60 to 63% with
hodlers or lost ( anyhow out of the market) and remaining
in circulation , it is very important since if hodlers start selling and change their strategy it will change the whole game!
I don't understand the whole question. Any Bitcoin is
still in circulation as it can be moved at any time, as long as someone still has the keys required for spending it. 'Hodlers' will eventually sell one day or buy something with their BTC, otherwise why have they bought it in the first place? Coins that haven't been moved for a long time could be moved an instant from now; historic information doesn't indicate what happens next. Satoshi's coins could move at any time, too; any assumptions that they won't are actually wrong unless there is proof he burned them. The only reliable such proof would be if he sent them to a burn address / OP_RETURN, because even someone burning a paper wallet could have backups of the seed or private keys everywhere.
I highlighted this fallacy in bold: only because someone properly handles their Bitcoin and 'withdraws it to cold storage', doesn't mean it's out of the market or out of circulation. That's just good habit and private key management.
Technically you are correct. All minted coins even the first block which is supposedly stuck could be moved with special software adjustments. So no coin is truly lost.
No coin is truly untouchable.
But many coins have not moved for more than 2 years.
The better question might be.
How many coins are frozen since 2009
How many coins are frozen since 2010
How many coins are frozen since 2011
How many coins are frozen since 2012
note first half ing was in 2012 so 10.5 mill coins are older than 2012.
how many have not moved since that time is knowable.
how of them will move is not knowable.
sames for
2013
2014
2015
2016. this is 5.25 million how many never moved is knowable
how many will move is also not possible to know.
at the 2009-2016 zone we have 15.75 mined do we know the ones that never moved yes.
do we know the stuck ones that will move no.