Is ever this possible to happen? And how many forks we need to have to get to this block size?
I think the fork system to correct the block size problem for transactions is in the wrong way. We all know that bitcoin was not creating to replace every day payment and we cant to do this unless we drop it decentralized system. Only with a big central database bitcoin can handle so many every day transactions.
This is like asking how many roads you need to build for cars to have the same passenger traffic capacity as subway. You will have layers and layers of road in the city that you barely can see the sun
Similar to driving license, you must have enough IT expertise and security knowledge to directly use the blockchain to do transaction, and you must have enough money to buy a car and pay for the gas (only large transactions is feasible), so there will not be so many people use blockchain directly, they will rely on experts handle this for them
Yes
Similarly I could say this: USA have the widest highways on earth, but they also have the biggest cars and trucks plus they have the worst drivers in the world. Come on they use bumpers to avoid car accidents at parking lots!
Anyway, in other countries those roads will be too much but in the US they are not enough. So what's the matter?
The HUMAN part is the problem.