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Topic: How to Identify a Ponzi - page 6. (Read 131731 times)

hero member
Activity: 532
Merit: 500
September 07, 2012, 03:46:56 PM
#47
Easy. If a thread in "lending" or "long-term offers," contains a business proposal, it's a ponzi.

Duh - what apart from ''business proposals'' would BE in lending?!

LOL. No shit. The "How to identify a ponzi" thread talks about the lack of a business proposal as a potential sign of a ponzi scheme.

Now, a business proposal confirms one. 

The average IQ continues to decrease on this forum. Currently the odds are 1:3 the avg IQ will reach 70 or below before the block reward halves.
newbie
Activity: 56
Merit: 0
September 07, 2012, 02:59:45 AM
#46
Easy. If a thread in "lending" or "long-term offers," contains a business proposal, it's a ponzi.

Duh - what apart from ''business proposals'' would BE in lending?!
legendary
Activity: 1870
Merit: 1023
September 05, 2012, 06:55:07 PM
#45
MMM used a decentralized system of offices in various towns in Russia - at least according to the website.  Similar to a pass-through.
legendary
Activity: 1596
Merit: 1012
Democracy is vulnerable to a 51% attack.
September 05, 2012, 06:43:58 PM
#44
I don't think this is generally applicable. Do you have any examples other than Pirate? An example of a legitimate pass-through is the GSDPT (Gamma satoshiDice pass through), which allows people using one exchange to invest in an asset listed on another exchange.
Madoff would be an example.

http://money.cnn.com/2010/12/09/news/companies/madoff_feeder_funds/index.htm?iid=EL
hero member
Activity: 575
Merit: 500
The North Remembers
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 500
September 05, 2012, 06:38:58 PM
#42

9. They have "Pass-Throughs".
Tentatively this seems like a good indicator. I don't think pass-throughs are typically used in regular project funding.  It increases the distance between the investor and the fund-owner and acts as a shield/distraction.  It is more indicative of money laundering.



I don't think this is generally applicable. Do you have any examples other than Pirate? An example of a legitimate pass-through is the GSDPT (Gamma satoshiDice pass through), which allows people using one exchange to invest in an asset listed on another exchange.
member
Activity: 70
Merit: 10
sealswithclubs.eu
September 04, 2012, 02:57:49 AM
#41
Easy. If a thread in "lending" or "long-term offers," contains a business proposal, it's a ponzi.
legendary
Activity: 1870
Merit: 1023
September 03, 2012, 03:15:50 PM
#40
Ponzis do not have to lie, though most of them mislead. The MMM (Russian) ponzi was honest about its ponzi identity.
legendary
Activity: 1596
Merit: 1012
Democracy is vulnerable to a 51% attack.
September 03, 2012, 08:14:03 AM
#39
The definition of Ponzi include lying to your cusotmers.
Correct.

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PPTs (I assume) don't lie.
It doesn't matter who does the lying, so long as the people whose money is used to make the interest payments have been lied to.

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Rather, they're being very open about their default conditions.
That's not the point. If someone hires me to find a hitman to kill their wife, and I do so, I'm still just as responsible for the murder as the hitman is. This is true even if I find the best and most reliable hitman and fully keep my agreement with the person who hired me.

Quote
Proxy or no proxy, they are not Ponzis. If I invested with one of them and Pirate defaulted, I would be angry (+ press charges) at Pirate, not at the one selling me the PPT.
They are Ponzis. The "interest payments" they make are actually the result of fraudulent transfers from other investors. If you invested in a PPT, you hired the PPT operator to make you the recipient of fraudulent transfers of money Pirate collected from "investors", just as people who invested directly in Pirate did.
hero member
Activity: 1078
Merit: 502
September 03, 2012, 08:01:32 AM
#38
I just noticed this at the top of each thread....
legendary
Activity: 1232
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FPV Drone Pilot
legendary
Activity: 1652
Merit: 2311
Chief Scientist
August 21, 2012, 10:21:57 PM
#36
From this very relevant article:
  "Megan McArdle on Arbitrage and Why We Love Being Conned"

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We are most vulnerable to Ponzi schemes and other confidence tricks when we start to believe that we can cheat the universe—that we can get something for nothing. The best con men succeed mostly because we are so desperate to believe them.
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
August 21, 2012, 10:10:16 AM
#35
This may be of interest. Please repost where appropriate:

http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2012/08/20/examining-the-ponzi-scheme-through-the-mind-of-the-con-artist/?pagewanted=print

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August 20, 2012, 5:13 pm
Examining the Ponzi Scheme Through the Mind of the Con Artist
By DIANA B. HENRIQUES

Maybe "Ponzi scheme" should have its own spot in the Dewey Decimal System. Along with biographies of the schemers, a growing stack of scholarly references, legal tomes and articles aims to collect knowledge about this age-old crime.

But the latest entry in the category, "The Ponzi Scheme Puzzle: A History and Analysis of Con Artists and Victims" by Tamar Frankel, takes a different approach. While Professor Frankel is a legal scholar who has been on the faculty of the Boston University Law School since 1968, her book explores the psychology of the financial criminals and what makes them tick. She was inspired by a colleague who referred to them as "those mimics of trustworthiness: con artists."

She spent more than a decade researching the book, analyzing more than a hundred Ponzi schemes. Among them: the Caritas scandal in Romania, an early 1990s fraud whose victims saw the mastermind as a saint in Robin Hood guise; the currency fraud run by J. David Dominelli, which collapsed in the mid-1980s and stung a host of San Diego's elite; and the Madoff scandal, history's largest Ponzi scheme, with paper losses of $64.8 billion and thousands of victims around the world.

Professor Frankel talked about the mind-set of the con artist, as well as the role that victims and society play. Her conclusions will not comfort Ponzi victims; she faults them for their gullibility and failing to "do their homework." She finds, too, that society has a profound ambivalence toward con artists despite the vicious nature of their crimes - which, she notes, on rare occasions have even included murder.

Q. Do you now feel that you better understand Ponzi schemes and the "mimics" of honesty who run them?

A. Yes. Especially, I understand better the impact of culture - a culture of risk-taking, the hope of making money, an insatiable appetite for more. These are all part of the culture in which Ponzi schemes arise and flourish.

Q. And yet, as you know, those traits are also part of the culture in which capitalism thrives and economies flourish. If no one trusted anyone, modern commerce - indeed, modern life - would be impossible. So where should we draw the line between trust and suspicion?

A. It's not so much a continuum as it is the proverbial slippery slope. It's very easy to slip down a slippery slope - and very hard to climb back up again. When people start doing one little wrong, it gets a little easier to do one more wrong.

Q. Will people buy that? That one step off the straight and narrow leads to corruption?

A. If you look at the history of successful human societies, two things are clear. One, you must have trust. Without it, society cannot succeed. At the same time, you must also be trustworthy.

Q. But it's not so simple, is it? Some victims of Mr. Madoff feel they justifiably placed their trust in a respected market veteran who knew far more about markets than they did. If I'm asked to vet a Madoff story, I know what to look for. But if my car mechanic tells me I need a new frambulator, I don't know enough about cars to assess his honesty; I'll have to trust him. So where is the line between justified trust and unreasonable gullibility? And won't it be different for different people?

A. Gullibility is the tendency to believe without reasonable evidence. Every culture draws a line between trust and gullibility. And in the financial arena, the line between trust and gullibility may have to be more tightly drawn. For example, as I note in my book, many con artists make it seem that they are limiting access to their investments, making them available only to a select few. Now, rationally, why would a money manager do that? Look around you and you see hedge funds, mutual funds, private equity funds and advisers all salivating for more clients. Yet, there are those who believe that the more unique and hard to get an investment is, the more valuable it is. That's gullibility - because it is not rational to believe that.

Q. Of course, Madoff had a seemingly plausible explanation for that: He managed money only as a sideline and he didn't want word to get around because he'd have to turn people away and that would cause hard feelings.

A. And Madoff was a well-known broker - in other words, it was his business. He was an expert trader. He said, "I have a secret way of doing something," and it may have seemed plausible that he did. You're quite right that he's different.

Q. Nor did Madoff promise sky-high returns - he just offered steady consistency. A fraud analyst named Pat Huddleston says of successful Ponzi schemers: "If it sounds too good to be true, you're dealing with an amateur." Don't you think future Ponzi schemers will take a page from Madoff's playbook and keep their returns relatively modest to avoid raising red flags?

A. I doubt it. People certainly are more concerned about risk than they were before the financial crisis. But con artists do not adjust their stories to the current culture and public feeling but rather focus on their potential targeted audiences. For example, a con artist who operated a charitable organization appealed to similar organizations with a story that an anonymous donor would match their investments. This story was convincing because the managers of charitable institutions have donors who seek to remain anonymous.

Q. Some critics may argue that your analysis of people who fall prey to Ponzi schemes skirts pretty close to "blaming the victim." Do you think Ponzi victims are responsible for their own fate?

A. That's a very difficult issue. "Blame" means an "assignment of responsibility for a fault or a wrong or an error." I think we would agree that a person who suffers from heart disease after years of overeating and smoking may bear some responsibility for his or her illness. I empathize with victims and I feel for them, even as I assign some responsibility to them.

Diana B. Henriques is author of "The Wizard of Lies: Bernie Madoff and the Death of Trust."
sr. member
Activity: 438
Merit: 291
August 21, 2012, 08:50:09 AM
#34
- Pass-through schemes are not ponzis ... they are very upfront about what they do. (That is, unless their issuer has a separate intention of disappearing/defaulting ... but if Pirate defaults, they are not Ponzis).

 - Insured accounts are most likely not ponzis (some are less likely than others).

If BullShit & Trust, is a ponzi: PPT's are effectively all ponzies as well.


Wrong.


The definition of Ponzi include lying to your cusotmers. PPTs (I assume) don't lie.
Rather, they're being very open about their default conditions.

Proxy or no proxy, they are not Ponzis. If I invested with one of them and Pirate defaulted, I would be angry (+ press charges) at Pirate, not at the one selling me the PPT.

I expect that some of the PPT's never had an account with Pirate. They were just paying the dividends out of the investors cash. So will now claim not have received any cash from him and pocket the remaining BTC's.
hero member
Activity: 868
Merit: 1000
August 20, 2012, 05:39:45 PM
#33
[... snip ...]

A few rules to live by:

- If it sounds too good to be true, it usually is.
- Also, no serious business would hesitate giving you information you need while doing some serious dd.
- Don't invest more than you can stand to lose.
legendary
Activity: 1870
Merit: 1023
August 18, 2012, 10:08:29 PM
#32
I'd appreciate it if people stayed on topic and didn't get into speculation about Pirate on this thread. 

Referring to Pirate's operation is on-topic if you are using it to identify common variables shared with other ponzis or non-ponzis.

Thanks!
zyk
full member
Activity: 224
Merit: 101
August 18, 2012, 06:57:37 PM
#31
Come on.......was ment as response to Vladimir of course  Wink

@Vandroi   are you german as well?  not anxious that pirate really earned a 8 % weekly profit on his borrowed capital?

if i work as whatever buying and selling stuff ( veterinarien medicaments in my case) which at the time always appreciated , of course markups of 30 % for a transaction are possible...don´t you think so?

suspicion of course is that he was so involved in BCST and vegas trips that i don´t know in what time he should  have earned the 8 % ROI


that you can go travelling with this bet in the back amzing as i can barely leave my comp. and bitcoin quotations:-)

Have a nice trip...

If you win the bet you should just form a new BCST ...this time run without Bitlane and as an at least 100 years enduring proper ponzi Wink Wink

Have a nice trip

Cheers Zyk



zyk
full member
Activity: 224
Merit: 101
August 18, 2012, 06:30:30 PM
#30
Come on, don´t dive down in your modestity Wink----you went so far out on a limp that it would amaze me if you felt comfortable when pirate is proven

a hero who only has been hindered in establishing a new world reserve currency by FUD and Bitlane ( do you know what he tackled?)

If you don´t, i´ll come up with a gravedigger:-)

Nor has he clarified from what kind of buiseness he made a profit of about 3300 % just as he got to nearly a year now, neither did he come up with a story to explain why its reasonable for the

community and the puplic as a whole to transfer  bitcoins and with them a good junk of power into his hands.

Given that, its unbelievable that all lenders will be made whole.

Still i find the man and his words very straightforward and in any discussion with Vandroi the one who took the crown and so he was rightfully the captain of bitcoinworld for this time.

Taking that into account, i don´t think he backs all up by himself with his famous actor abilities,  there is a ploy involved ,where some of the fat cats

nearer to him as the crowd are conspiring to unequally divide the loot.  All will be enveloped in some kind of force majeure.....
  
There seem to be heros who can´t await being gang raped i see Wink

If there is some community spirit  left, as it always should be, can´t we just work together and make at least a 3 % weekly growth of bitcoin usage possible......?

Which in my view is easily possible when promoting the bitcoin not as a ponzi scheme ( unluckily all interest bearing currencies are ponzi schemes ), a speculation realm,

a drug buying commodity or a mean to buy Butterflies in puppiestadium.....but as the one and only solution to take the power out of the hands of the Rothschild Federal Reserve -crony-

cartel - anarchy.....make them stop  extorting the working poeple the whole world over.

"The banks all gonna close if you don´t give us another billion to suck out of your children"

Bitcoin is free from all those schenanigans, can be transfered from cameroon ,to chile, to Afghanistan, to hollywood and to Somalia...without being taxed, comissioned, corrupted or diluted..

That is a worthwhile ponzi scheme to grow and where 3 % weekly profit is deserved for the poeple who put exchanges in place in all those places.......


to be continued:-)

Cheers Zyk

legendary
Activity: 1036
Merit: 1002
August 18, 2012, 06:24:48 PM
#29
zyk: I'm here, but just reading because there's nothing to do at this point. Lock is down, clock is ticking for days already.

If you ask me for a guess for the most likely case, we'll just see "delays" until the end of the month, then it's marked as defaulted and the story is over. So unless something strange happens, there won't be much of a show from here on.

I might not be online much when it's concluded, I'm going to be travelling at the time. I'll show up early September to settle the bets, and maybe occasionally in between.
hero member
Activity: 812
Merit: 1001
-
August 18, 2012, 05:05:21 PM
#28
I am just waiting for the culmination and climax. I, personally, hope that I was wrong all along, but know that chances of that are slim to none, unfortunately.

Whatever the pirate said means nothing but that we will know better soon.

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