It's impossible to detect risk on everyday basis. We can only invest in the moment and hope the price rises. If the price falls, we must be patient until it rises again above the initial buying price. Otherwise, well we can't predict the future.
Topic: How to understand risk in crypto (Read 2551 times)
********************NEWEST UPDATE*********************
Ok bitcointalk! I have been hard at work over this last week. I have just put the finishing touches on my site!
I will be posting a new topic soon about how to identify pricing bottoms by utilizing the creation cost. It needs a couple more revisions, but it will be ready today or tomorrow.
Here is the link to my site again:
https://www.amsinger.org
As always I love your opinions and criticism. You need friction to make fire
Aaron
P.S. The next client research will be covering the price volatility increases when bitcoin is high above the creation cost.
*******************************************************
*****************UPDATE*******************
Thanks so much everyone for your opinions and views!
I am setting up a complete redesign of the site, and I will be back in around a week with all new research and probing bitcoin questions.
The site will be down while I make all the upgrades and rebalance the scales.
Bitcointalk is one of the few places where you can go to meet crypto people. I am honored to speak and share my data and views with you all!
Love and hard work,
Aaron
******************************************
Here is an overview of how to find and UNDERSTAND your risk while investing in crypto. If you want to see how it works click this link:
I have previous posts on here explaining an optimal entry point based on fundamentals on Feb 7. This is an explanation of May 2 to May 27.
Creation Cost - The variable cost it takes to create a bitcoin
On May 2 BTC risk hit its lowest since February. BTC was 15.1% above its price floor This is a rare and likely profitable situation. The price floor represents the price at which whales start buying due to the natural cash flow of cryptocurrency. It represents the point of strongest buying capability in the market.
On May 27, after the 59% price spike, the risk level increased to 55.5%. The price had virtually no support and due to the high price every miner and holder with any awareness of risk levels was selling and not holding.
I created fundamental analysis in order to provide my clients the information that they need to measure risk and understand the crypto market. With the fundamental price floor you know automatically if the price is low or high. $3000/BTC was INCREDIBLY high 4 years ago, $3000/BTC now is a mortgage-your-house steal. With price floor and cash flow analysis my clients know when the market is high and when it is low.
I truly hope that you find this information useful to you. I made this because of the pain I felt in Nov 2018. I needed to know why it didn't go to zero, and I found the price floor.
Aaron
Helpful Links:
information regarding risk in trading or even flat out buying bitcoins is timely, and I must say just like any trading schemes there is some form of risk into it. What matters most with bitcoin though is the fact that the intervals and the timings on when you should deposit or withdraw money makes the profit running, unlike regular tradingwhere you'd still need to do that along with more things to consider in order to gain revenue Ok bitcointalk! I have been hard at work over this last week. I have just put the finishing touches on my site!
I will be posting a new topic soon about how to identify pricing bottoms by utilizing the creation cost. It needs a couple more revisions, but it will be ready today or tomorrow.
Here is the link to my site again:
https://www.amsinger.org
As always I love your opinions and criticism. You need friction to make fire
Aaron
P.S. The next client research will be covering the price volatility increases when bitcoin is high above the creation cost.
*******************************************************
*****************UPDATE*******************
Thanks so much everyone for your opinions and views!
I am setting up a complete redesign of the site, and I will be back in around a week with all new research and probing bitcoin questions.
The site will be down while I make all the upgrades and rebalance the scales.
Bitcointalk is one of the few places where you can go to meet crypto people. I am honored to speak and share my data and views with you all!
Love and hard work,
Aaron
******************************************
Here is an overview of how to find and UNDERSTAND your risk while investing in crypto. If you want to see how it works click this link:
I have previous posts on here explaining an optimal entry point based on fundamentals on Feb 7. This is an explanation of May 2 to May 27.
Creation Cost - The variable cost it takes to create a bitcoin
On May 2 BTC risk hit its lowest since February. BTC was 15.1% above its price floor This is a rare and likely profitable situation. The price floor represents the price at which whales start buying due to the natural cash flow of cryptocurrency. It represents the point of strongest buying capability in the market.
On May 27, after the 59% price spike, the risk level increased to 55.5%. The price had virtually no support and due to the high price every miner and holder with any awareness of risk levels was selling and not holding.
I created fundamental analysis in order to provide my clients the information that they need to measure risk and understand the crypto market. With the fundamental price floor you know automatically if the price is low or high. $3000/BTC was INCREDIBLY high 4 years ago, $3000/BTC now is a mortgage-your-house steal. With price floor and cash flow analysis my clients know when the market is high and when it is low.
I truly hope that you find this information useful to you. I made this because of the pain I felt in Nov 2018. I needed to know why it didn't go to zero, and I found the price floor.
Aaron
Helpful Links:
The risk in cryptocurrency is when you invest in a particular project and thereby receive risks from the investment. Most often, high-profitable projects that fall under such risks, which offer investors a profit of 120% or maybe even more.
That's right 
here in crypto world you're just like playing gambling, you have to take all the risk, you have to invest money and spend your time and effort here in all circumstances although we dont have any assurance whether we are going to be successful or unfortunately not. But as long as we gain benefits here all we have to do is to be patient and invest all the best we can.
The risk in cryptocurrency is when you invest in a particular project and thereby receive risks from the investment. Most often, high-profitable projects that fall under such risks, which offer investors a profit of 120% or maybe even more.
How we learn driving and understand risk associated with it? Few by taking classes at police learning centers and remaining by driving our self. Same for crpto trading, you can learn some risks by study (charts, technical analysis, news etc) and remaining by trading yourself. That's the best combination.
Indeed, by studying the market we will be able to understand its risk and its potential. Actually these two things are the most important as people coming here to invest and they should consider the risk and reward ratio for them to know if investing in crypto is really a good decision.
If an investor is one sided, meaning, aware of the rewards only and not the risk, then for sure he will not survive when the market struggles, like what's happening now.
How we learn driving and understand risk associated with it? Few by taking classes at police learning centers and remaining by driving our self. Same for crpto trading, you can learn some risks by study (charts, technical analysis, news etc) and remaining by trading yourself. That's the best combination.
I think the easiest way is to try opening a chart of any other altcoin or bitcoin and tracking the change for a short period of 1 hour to 1 day. No property has changed its value so quickly. Going up and down very fast, the stock market or forex can't change that fast. Bitcoin or altcoin is difficult to use value analysis models to apply.
That will help you to understand the volatility of the market but that is not going to necessarily help you to understand the risk, the risk that you are taking when investing in the market of cryptocurrencies has to do with how much money you are investing in it and where is your stop loss, if you are using a very tight stop loss then it doesn't matter that the market moves a lot you are only going to lose a very small amount of money with each trade that you make and your risk for each trade will be low. To really understand it then it comes with experience that you can accumulate through time in your stay in the cryptoworld. Though sometimes we made mistakes but that is a part of the process for us to learn and be better. When you come to a point that you had acquired the ability to not panic when the price started to fall big time as high as the price it had risen which I think is one of the biggest risk that is existing in cryptoworld but not permanent as the market volume became massive so as well as the volatility would lessen.
If you commited mistakes, it is not mean that you are a failure. You commit mistakes because it makes us human, it only means that we need to improve something. It is part of the learning process where we can use the lesson that we got from our past mistakes to become a better trader or a better investor.Let's now worry too much, making mistakes is really a good thing for us, as it will be a lesson that we will gonna learn in our life, so it is fine for as long as we are charging it to our experience and doing something for us to be able to learn more and just taking risk all the time without doing something if what we are doing is fine or not.
To really understand it then it comes with experience that you can accumulate through time in your stay in the cryptoworld. Though sometimes we made mistakes but that is a part of the process for us to learn and be better. When you come to a point that you had acquired the ability to not panic when the price started to fall big time as high as the price it had risen which I think is one of the biggest risk that is existing in cryptoworld but not permanent as the market volume became massive so as well as the volatility would lessen.
If you commited mistakes, it is not mean that you are a failure. You commit mistakes because it makes us human, it only means that we need to improve something. It is part of the learning process where we can use the lesson that we got from our past mistakes to become a better trader or a better investor.We all known that Bitcoin Price is not only rising price so that if we invest we have to choice only to get some profit if the bitcoin falls down you need to hold it remember that bitcoin is imposible to hit $0 and the secondone you have a target price if bitcoin reaches your target price you can sell it. That's why you are always 50/50 investing in Bitcoin. But if you want to get it free you can work here at bitcointalk by promoting projects here and get some rewards.
It is very hard to understand crypto risking especially if you don't know what crypto is all about and how crypto is running all throughout the world right? According on what you have been said, bitcoin is impossible to reach for about $0? Maybe yes maybe no, we definitely don't know what would happen on the next few years if bitcoin will still be having a very large amount or value in the market so we must better to understand what investing in crypto really meansin order for us to know what is the feeling of having a risk in crypto. What is the feeling when bitcoin is dumping or pumping those people who did not yet try to invest will never feel or understand the true meaning of risking on crypto.
We all known that Bitcoin Price is not only rising price so that if we invest we have to choice only to get some profit if the bitcoin falls down you need to hold it remember that bitcoin is imposible to hit $0 and the secondone you have a target price if bitcoin reaches your target price you can sell it. That's why you are always 50/50 investing in Bitcoin. But if you want to get it free you can work here at bitcointalk by promoting projects here and get some rewards.
It is very hard to understand crypto risking especially if you don't know what crypto is all about and how crypto is running all throughout the world right? According on what you have been said, bitcoin is impossible to reach for about $0? Maybe yes maybe no, we definitely don't know what would happen on the next few years if bitcoin will still be having a very large amount or value in the market so we must better to understand what investing in crypto really meansin order for us to know what is the feeling of having a risk in crypto. What is the feeling when bitcoin is dumping or pumping those people who did not yet try to invest will never feel or understand the true meaning of risking on crypto. 
To really understand it then it comes with experience that you can accumulate through time in your stay in the cryptoworld. Though sometimes we made mistakes but that is a part of the process for us to learn and be better. When you come to a point that you had acquired the ability to not panic when the price started to fall big time as high as the price it had risen which I think is one of the biggest risk that is existing in cryptoworld but not permanent as the market volume became massive so as well as the volatility would lessen.
If you commited mistakes, it is not mean that you are a failure. You commit mistakes because it makes us human, it only means that we need to improve something. It is part of the learning process where we can use the lesson that we got from our past mistakes to become a better trader or a better investor.Just like you can't swim unless you jump into the water, you cant learn risk associated with bitcoin and cryptocurrency until you start investing in it. Bitcoin market risks are very different then other markets and can only be learned if you have bitcoin holdings and you go through up/down market.
Risk comes from not knowing what you're doing. - Warren Buffett
We know that bitcoin price is not stable if invest in bitcoin you have only 2 ways if you want to earn Hold- if the value drops and hold until you get profit , Sell- if the value goes up and you are contented with your profit. But there are ways to earn free Bitcoin without concern about the risk you can do Bounty and many more to earn it free here.
in investing not only hold and also sell but these things are done in a structured way. we cannot buy it without going through the research process and we also cannot sell it with satisfaction because there are some people who have no satisfaction limit. You need to research early to solve problems when investing
We know that bitcoin price is not stable if invest in bitcoin you have only 2 ways if you want to earn Hold- if the value drops and hold until you get profit , Sell- if the value goes up and you are contented with your profit. But there are ways to earn free Bitcoin without concern about the risk you can do Bounty and many more to earn it free here.
To really understand it then it comes with experience that you can accumulate through time in your stay in the cryptoworld. Though sometimes we made mistakes but that is a part of the process for us to learn and be better. When you come to a point that you had acquired the ability to not panic when the price started to fall big time as high as the price it had risen which I think is one of the biggest risk that is existing in cryptoworld but not permanent as the market volume became massive so as well as the volatility would lessen.
If you commited mistakes, it is not mean that you are a failure. You commit mistakes because it makes us human, it only means that we need to improve something. It is part of the learning process where we can use the lesson that we got from our past mistakes to become a better trader or a better investor.
And for me my another opinion you don't need to understand the risk you can work here and you don't need to spend money in bitcoin, you can earn here by taking Bounties etc. You can earn without understanding the risk in crypto.
I think the easiest way is to try opening a chart of any other altcoin or bitcoin and tracking the change for a short period of 1 hour to 1 day. No property has changed its value so quickly. Going up and down very fast, the stock market or forex can't change that fast. Bitcoin or altcoin is difficult to use value analysis models to apply.
To really understand it then it comes with experience that you can accumulate through time in your stay in the cryptoworld. Though sometimes we made mistakes but that is a part of the process for us to learn and be better. When you come to a point that you had acquired the ability to not panic when the price started to fall big time as high as the price it had risen which I think is one of the biggest risk that is existing in cryptoworld but not permanent as the market volume became massive so as well as the volatility would lessen.
If you commited mistakes, it is not mean that you are a failure. You commit mistakes because it makes us human, it only means that we need to improve something. It is part of the learning process where we can use the lesson that we got from our past mistakes to become a better trader or a better investor. 
To really understand it then it comes with experience that you can accumulate through time in your stay in the cryptoworld. Though sometimes we made mistakes but that is a part of the process for us to learn and be better. When you come to a point that you had acquired the ability to not panic when the price started to fall big time as high as the price it had risen which I think is one of the biggest risk that is existing in cryptoworld but not permanent as the market volume became massive so as well as the volatility would lessen.
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