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Topic: How will the next big recession affect the BTC price? - page 3. (Read 869 times)

legendary
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Merit: 7005
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a long-lasting global recession doesn't seem far off.
Really?  We just got done recovering from the 2008-09 disaster, which to me doesn't seem that long ago.  I'll admit that I don't exactly have my finger on the pulse of the global economy, but what signs are pointing to another recession?  The stock market has been due for a correction, and a lot of stocks have dropped quite a bit lately, but that's ultimately healthy for the market.  Stocks have been booming ever since 2009 and there hasn't been much in the way of a crash or correction.

The question of what happens with bitcoin if a "great recession" happens is an interesting one, since it hasn't been tested yet.  I have a feeling that if a global meltdown occurs and mass unemployment is a component of that, people are going to sell bitcoin en masse and the price will probably fall significantly--and all of the altcoins that people are now hoping to get rich on today?  They're going to fare even worse.

I don't see bitcoin as a safe-haven asset like gold or silver.  It's way too volatile for investors looking to preserve the value of their money when markets go haywire, and if we do get an economic disaster a-knockin' at our door my bet is that metals will start rising again.
hero member
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I think it will be largely unaffected. I don't think people who are in Bitcoin would move from Bitcoin to the stock market just because the stock market is low after a crash, because no matter how long the stock market crashes its upside is tiny compared to the next bitcoin bull run. Anyone invested in Bitcoin knows this. Fact is a bull run will likely be taking place at the same time the stock market tanks, so if anything it would make sense for people to move from stocks to bitcoin, and then perhaps in 2020 when the bull run is close to peaking sell bitcoin before the crash and buy back stocks low. So far Bitcoin has seen no significant correlation with stocks and the economy, it booms and busts according to its own cycle and events directly affecting the crypto space.

People pile on during bull runs, no matter the market. So people will not be leaving a bitcoin bull run to enter a bear stock market.
administrator
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US and global markets are looking shaky. Probably things will recover in the short-term, but a long-lasting global recession doesn't seem far off. There are good reasons to think that it might be even worse than the "great recession", though you never know. How will this affect the BTC price?

On one hand, a lot of people might want to sell their BTC and move back to traditional investments while they're low, especially if they got into BTC in the first place as a way of getting better return-on-investment vs already-peaked traditional investments. On the other hand, people might lose faith in the fiat economy entirely, especially those who have already taken the step of buying BTC.
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