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Topic: Hufflepuff Making 2k BTC On PrimeDice Nov 2014. March 2015 Update: He Cheated - page 21. (Read 50027 times)

member
Activity: 71
Merit: 10
He should withdraw his winnings and never return. He's just going to end up giving them back.

You don't win 2,000 BTC with that kind of mentality haha.  Grin
sr. member
Activity: 395
Merit: 264
Dooglus, stop wasting your time calculating obscure statistics no one cares about and re-open your dice site already.

Much love.

Stunna just lost 2000 BTC in a few days and must be stressing about it. "Is there an exploit? Is he cheating? Is he going to bust me? Should I reduce the max bet to prevent further losses, or would that just prevent him losing his gains back to the site?"

I remember having all those worries whenever anyone got lucky on JD, and don't miss them.

Mwaaaah.

That's the beauty of a site with investors... you do not have to worry about big losses nearly as much. The community really needs you to come back after getting scammed repeatedly, at the very least as an escrow of cold-wallet funds for a site. I'm sure you have a plethora of options available to you that would include significantly less work than before. I know you have said previously you didn't do JD for the money, but it had to be nice.
legendary
Activity: 966
Merit: 1001
Hufflepuff crossing 1000 Bitcoin profit on PrimeDice, watched it live and recorded the moment (vid below), so sick.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uALj-u-BvOc&list=UUYT9hwCLb2qhv8wnCGWmw9w

Part 2: Hufflepuff Continues And Makes 2000 Bitcoin Profit

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lSLXv5Tz1ZY&list=UUYT9hwCLb2qhv8wnCGWmw9w&index=1

Will we see a third video tomorrow showing Hufflepuff winning over 3000 btc from PD lol?  Grin
sr. member
Activity: 342
Merit: 250
Who is Hufflepuff? How old is he?..
The only clue I found,
Hufflepuff values hard work, patience, justice, and loyalty. The house mascot is the badger, and canary yellow and black are its colours. The Head of this house http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hogwarts
 Huh Huh
full member
Activity: 197
Merit: 100
We are not worthy

HUFFLEPUFF THE ROBIN HOOD OF OUR TIMES WTFG BRO!
legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1333
Dooglus, stop wasting your time calculating obscure statistics no one cares about and re-open your dice site already.

Much love.

Stunna just lost 2000 BTC in a few days and must be stressing about it. "Is there an exploit? Is he cheating? Is he going to bust me? Should I reduce the max bet to prevent further losses, or would that just prevent him losing his gains back to the site?"

I remember having all those worries whenever anyone got lucky on JD, and don't miss them.

Mwaaaah.
member
Activity: 62
Merit: 10
I would be even happy with 1 btc or more lol

Anyway, nice happenings on pd3 over there...

Never had that luck, just lost my hard worked 0.6 BTC :/
legendary
Activity: 1834
Merit: 1009
He probably is at the local brothel spending his hard earned bitcoins.

At least I would not bother to visit forums or gamble online for some long time  if I was the winner of 1k Bitcoins
sr. member
Activity: 395
Merit: 264
That is why his luck % of 104.23 after 7,292 rolls is so high.

Do we know how PD calculates the luck statistic?

I just made a new account ('dooglus2') and played 24 times at 3x (33%), noting wins, losses, and luck:

Quote

wins    losses  luck
0       0       NaN
        1       0
1               202.94
        2       101.47 *
        3       67.65
        4       50.73
        5       40.59
        6       33.82
        7       28.99
        8       25.37
        9       22.55
        10      20.29
2               40.59
3               60.88
4               81.18
5               101.47 *
        11      92.24
        12      84.56
6               101.47 *
7               118.38
        13      109.27
        14      101.47 *
        15      94.7
8               108.23
        16      101.47 *

I can't immediately come up with the formula they're using.

When I had won 1 and lost 1, my luck was 202.94%. I had bet twice at 33%, so my expected number of wins was 0.66 and my actual number of wins was 1. How do I get 202.94% from that?

Note that my #wins was exactly double my #losses 5 times (not counting the starting 0,0 case) and each time it was, my luck was 101.47%.

Edit: this fits pretty well:

    (0.6697 / 0.33) * (wins / losses)

I don't know why 0.6697 though, when my chance of losing is 0.67

Dooglus, stop wasting your time calculating obscure statistics no one cares about and re-open your dice site already.

Much love.
legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1333
That is why his luck % of 104.23 after 7,292 rolls is so high.

Do we know how PD calculates the luck statistic?

I just made a new account ('dooglus2') and played 24 times at 3x (33%), noting wins, losses, and luck:

Quote

wins    losses  luck
0       0       NaN
        1       0
1               202.94
        2       101.47 *
        3       67.65
        4       50.73
        5       40.59
        6       33.82
        7       28.99
        8       25.37
        9       22.55
        10      20.29
2               40.59
3               60.88
4               81.18
5               101.47 *
        11      92.24
        12      84.56
6               101.47 *
7               118.38
        13      109.27
        14      101.47 *
        15      94.7
8               108.23
        16      101.47 *

I can't immediately come up with the formula they're using.

When I had won 1 and lost 1, my luck was 202.94%. I had bet twice at 33%, so my expected number of wins was 0.66 and my actual number of wins was 1. How do I get 202.94% from that?

Note that my #wins was exactly double my #losses 5 times (not counting the starting 0,0 case) and each time it was, my luck was 101.47%.

Edit: this fits pretty well:

   (0.6697 / 0.33) * (wins / losses)

I don't know why 0.6697 though, when my chance of losing is 0.67

Edit2: I think this tells us that hufflepuff played at least some rolls at a different multiplier. Because winning 2865 times and losing 4427 times at 3x would give a luck of around 131.33%, but his luck was "only" 104.23% at that point.
legendary
Activity: 2884
Merit: 1117
I think the world goes like that, some has a giant luck, and some others hasn't
m19
full member
Activity: 186
Merit: 100
Plus when PrimeDice still had public stats, this is months ago if not last year PrimeDice already had 4000+ profit. That is at least a billion bets ago.

Are you sure PrimeDice ever had public stats?

I remember they used to show the number of bets and the total amount wagered, but I don't think they ever showed their profit.

They stopped publishing the amount wagered about a month ago:

I'm not sure anymore. It could be the bankroll instead of profit like shown on this picture I found googling. I'm pretty sure some number on there, either bankroll or profit, was around 4000.
legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1333
dooglus knows a lot and i mean alot about server seed Wink

It's funny because "server seed" can also mean "waiter cum".

I'm not sure why omahapoker is commenting on this; the manner in which I chose to "tip" my servants is entirely between me and them.
legendary
Activity: 2072
Merit: 1049
┴puoʎǝq ʞool┴
If this truly is a different person than Stunna, then I think Stunna is close to 0 house profit again. (2000BTC having to be paid out) He must behoping he'll continue to come back and lose eventually.
full member
Activity: 225
Merit: 100
What a disaster ! This user is the most luckiest people that I've ever heard  since I'm in the bitcoin world.
full member
Activity: 229
Merit: 100
Plus when PrimeDice still had public stats, this is months ago if not last year PrimeDice already had 4000+ profit. That is at least a billion bets ago.

Are you sure PrimeDice ever had public stats?

I remember they used to show the number of bets and the total amount wagered, but I don't think they ever showed their profit.

They stopped publishing the amount wagered about a month ago:

He probably figured a way to determine when the middle part that loses either way, above 33.0 and below 66.99, has passed its cycle and just bounce between <33.0 and >66.99 depending which one is going into positive variance.

According to Wikipedia:



The squared term means that variance is always non-negative. So what is "positive variance"?



Yeah I'm pretty positive there was a time in 2013 when they showed the house profit
legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1333
Plus when PrimeDice still had public stats, this is months ago if not last year PrimeDice already had 4000+ profit. That is at least a billion bets ago.

Are you sure PrimeDice ever had public stats?

I remember they used to show the number of bets and the total amount wagered, but I don't think they ever showed their profit.

They stopped publishing the amount wagered about a month ago:

He probably figured a way to determine when the middle part that loses either way, above 33.0 and below 66.99, has passed its cycle and just bounce between <33.0 and >66.99 depending which one is going into positive variance.

According to Wikipedia:



The squared term means that variance is always non-negative. So what is "positive variance"?

legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1333
http://prntscr.com/52kipm Just another example of how Stunna is a scam artist. I don't know how Primedice has survived this long with Stunna scamming Hufflepuff 1/3 of a penny every time he wins $8,000...

I made a typo. It's more like 4 pennies not 1/3 of a penny:



It's still a small percentage error. My point is that such errors shouldn't happen.
full member
Activity: 120
Merit: 100
I hope that Hufflepuff will stop to bet in primedice and go at an other part or try to have fun with its money, because this isn't absolutely a good thing for primedice  Undecided
hero member
Activity: 868
Merit: 1000
dooglus knows a lot and i mean alot about server seed Wink
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