So after reading over his comments I believe something's afoul. Not with the OP; but with the circumstances surrounding this market.
Unfortunately the OP is asking for payment for further information; that's not a donation and even though a donation may very well be deserved in this case there's a major difference between the two. It's amazing that he accurately predicted an unpredictable event and also predicted that it would be Gox responsible for igniting it. Nobody expected that to play out in this manner and in this moment so soon...
So he has credibility in his statements...
That's complete nonsense.
Multiple sources confirmed Monday would be a tough day
The price restored within 24 hours despite all the bad news
Bitcoin is getting stronger by the day.
It's not a factor of how quickly the price restored; it's the $100 claim. Obviously the price will correct itself insanely quickly in that type of arbitrage situation... The recovery was within a matter of minutes.
I wouldn't have thought $100 was a realistic number. That type of movement is unprecedented...
It's nonsense to think that type of trading is normal on a tough day...
Oh come on, someone simply dumped too many coins with a market order in a thin bid side on one exchange. Mistakes like that can happen sometimes especially with all those bots running wild. The OP claimed that MtGox would halt all trading indefinitely and that that would cause the price to drop to $100. That didn't even happen at all, MtGox just made up some crazy FUD about a bug in the bitcoin protocol and people started panicking like crazy. The price also didn't really drop to $100, a bot or a leveraged long just went awfully wrong on BTC-e. So, to summarize, OP is full of shit and just made a lucky guess about a huge plummet. I wouldn't even say it was lucky, a drop was to be expected if MtGox would come out and state that they would keep halting BTC withdrawals. And it wouldn't be a bad bet to make that MtGox would not resume BTC withdrawals this soon.
So lets look at our current situation...
This is fact:
- Gox is insolvent ever since the FBI grabbed 9 million USD.
- Gox price hovers far above other exchanges for USD withdrawal issues related to insolvency.
- Gox offers Gox Bux for withdrawals instead of USD.
- Gox halts all BTC withdrawals claiming a bug in the BTC protocol.
- Gox admits to knowing about the problem since 2011.
- Gox somehow re-enables USD withdrawals despite previous insolvency.
- Gox exchange prices plummet.
This is speculation:
- Gox was the source of the coins unloaded on other exchanges in an effort to gain fiat liquidity.
- Gox is allowing USD withdrawals because they expect the price to fall on their exchange as people cash out in fiat
- Gox can profit from the arbitrage as their members will sell BTC for relatively low USD amounts reducing the financial liability for Gox.
- Gox has no intentions of enabling BTC withdrawals but will allow users to cash out in fiat.
- Gox is using the Bitcoin protocol as a scapegoat to scam it's members by selling their coins at a profit through arbitrage.
Some additional info:
This "bug" is not actually a bug but rather a caveat that the exchanges are well aware of and have already designed their automated payout systems appropriately. The payout systems rely on wallet addresses and confirmations rather than TXID's to prevent this situation.
Gox enabled USD withdrawal the day after the major dumps on other exchanges.
You don't have to agree with my opinions on the speculation but if you look at the well known history and put the pieces together it really looks bad for Gox...