Hypothetical Question - page 5. | Bitcointalksearch.org

aioc

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Quote from: NAPK1NS_RA3 on August 28, 2023, 02:49:02 AM

If someone told you a guaranteed sports bet that had a 100% chance of winning, how much would you bet on it?

If you had a $10,000 bankroll, would you go all in? We’re talking 100% can’t lose bet.

Would you take out a loan? How would you go about acquiring a large sum of money if you didn’t have the capital.

To make sure that I will not lose I will ask for a loan from someone who told me about that 100% winning, with the deal that I will only pay him with interest if the bet is really true, now I'll know if he is not bluffing, it's hard to believe on something that is too good to be true.
I have been a victim of false or fake tips and false news, even the best tipster makes a mistake and you are left with a bad loan we should not be tempted to take things that are presented to us without investigating first.

bittraffic

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Quote from: Gozie51 on August 28, 2023, 08:26:12 AM

Quote from: Beparanf on August 28, 2023, 06:47:04 AM

I might add up some micro loan for this bet if I will experience this kind of golden opportunity. I knew this bet is only possible with fixed match but there’s no really a 100% can’t lose bet even on fixed match since there’s a chance that the match will be caught as fixed match and your bets will be confiscated for being involved.

I don't think adding a micro loan for such bet is reasonable. Taking a loan is like a leverage and that is risky, it is better to bet base on your capacity and not relying on what additional loan for it. Worse of it is that there is no guarantee that you will have the winning so why thinking of adding loan, some match are fixed which could be discovered. Like the example you gave, some times you see matches stopped on the way or suspended if the organizer believe there is fixing on it, so in such case you either lose your bet money or it is returned to you.

It's not actually a bad idea to take a loan for such a purpose, people who would do this I guess are more than 100% sure. While it is risky, he plans to make money out of thin air. I'm sure he'd enjoy it if the fixed fight is right.

I'd be tempted to do this as well if there is just someone who will lend some without collateral and hope it will return 2x at least to pay for the interest. However, it feels like the question is meant for us to dream a bit while it can't hardly be real.

Botnake

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Quote from: NAPK1NS_RA3 on August 28, 2023, 02:49:02 AM

If someone told you a guaranteed sports bet that had a 100% chance of winning, how much would you bet on it?

0, none, nada.

When someone offers something that is too good to be true, it usually is a scam.

That's basic, every gambler must know about that.

danherbias07

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If the source is legitimate then I might take it. But I still won't bet at that large sum especially if I don't know anything about the sport. Increase the chance even though they said it's 100% guaranteed by researching if it's really possible.
You cannot just blindly take the bet because someone said so. It's not different from those tipsters who always say their picks are guaranteed.
$10k is not a joke money. Better to just be in safety first by testing it out. If it wins, then good, but I won't go as far as taking a loan from the bank or borrowing from a friend just for this. What if it's a loss? Then, you just dug your own grave.

Gozie51

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Quote from: Beparanf on August 28, 2023, 06:47:04 AM

I might add up some micro loan for this bet if I will experience this kind of golden opportunity. I knew this bet is only possible with fixed match but there’s no really a 100% can’t lose bet even on fixed match since there’s a chance that the match will be caught as fixed match and your bets will be confiscated for being involved.

I don't think adding a micro loan for such bet is reasonable. Taking a loan is like a leverage and that is risky, it is better to bet base on your capacity and not relying on what additional loan for it. Worse of it is that there is no guarantee that you will have the winning so why thinking of adding loan, some match are fixed which could be discovered. Like the example you gave, some times you see matches stopped on the way or suspended if the organizer believe there is fixing on it, so in such case you either lose your bet money or it is returned to you.

robelneo

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Quote from: NAPK1NS_RA3 on August 28, 2023, 02:49:02 AM

If someone told you a guaranteed sports bet that had a 100% chance of winning, how much would you bet on it?

If you had a $10,000 bankroll, would you go all in? We’re talking 100% can’t lose bet.

Would you take out a loan? How would you go about acquiring a large sum of money if you didn’t have the capital.

Let’s say the match is starting 24 hours from now, what would be your plan to maximize your profit?

Asking for a friend Wink

Many lose everything they've had because of that someone and it is possible that the game is fixed and there's always a possibility of change of mind from players that they are not going to fix anymore.

I would like to do my own analysis for me to bet my $10k bankroll and I will never take a loan I will bet with an amount I'm comfortable with losing and I always maintain that it's still 50/50.
For gambling addicts, this is a big temptation that is hard to ignore because they are very greedy to make money and regain their losses, but not for a responsible gambler

Crypt0Gore

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Quote from: NAPK1NS_RA3 on August 28, 2023, 02:49:02 AM

If someone told you a guaranteed sports bet that had a 100% chance of winning, how much would you bet on it?

If you had a $10,000 bankroll, would you go all in? We’re talking 100% can’t lose bet.

Would you take out a loan? How would you go about acquiring a large sum of money if you didn’t have the capital.

Let’s say the match is starting 24 hours from now, what would be your plan to maximize your profit?

Asking for a friend Wink

There is no such thing, this is just a misuse of words and it's not safe, even if someone knows the best bet on a game there is still a chance that it is wrong, not until the game is over and you see the end result.

So I won't advice anyone to use big money they can't afford to lose to place a bet because they believe someone is a pro at prediction, the truth is it's still prediction.

Also even if that person is very good at prediction they won't always make the right decision, there will be times where they will be wrong, what happens if you use a large amount of money that you aren't ready to lose and that bet comes unlucky? That means you lose it all.

I do not believe that anyone is a professional gambler and they don't used to losing, the only way to be a professional gambler is to manage to stay safe.

YOSHIE

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Quote from: NAPK1NS_RA3 on August 28, 2023, 02:49:02 AM

If someone told you a guaranteed sports bet that had a 100% chance of winning, how much would you bet on it?

No, that's ridiculous, no one can guarantee that bets can win up to 100%, that's impossible. If that existed, we would see gamblers winning millions of dollars every day. did you see it, no.

You are asking questions in phenomena, scientific or theoretical terms, isn't that theory different in the field from the reality that actually happened, for me gambling is not based on a hypothesis, it's based solely on luck, you bet and win was luck and as good luck for you that day, you gamble today to win, tomorrow you may not necessarily suffer the same fate, for that in gambling there is no guarantee whatsoever for you to win, remember that.

rahmad2nd

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Quote from: NAPK1NS_RA3 on August 28, 2023, 02:49:02 AM

If someone told you a guaranteed sports bet that had a 100% chance of winning, how much would you bet on it?

If you had a $10,000 bankroll, would you go all in? We’re talking 100% can’t lose bet.

Would you take out a loan? How would you go about acquiring a large sum of money if you didn’t have the capital.

Let’s say the match is starting 24 hours from now, what would be your plan to maximize your profit?

Asking for a friend Wink

Fortunately this is a hypothetical question. in fact I will not believe, if there is someone who tells that he guarantees to have a 100% tip to win the chance of winning in betting. so you see, theoretically, in sports betting nothing is certain and therein lies the uniqueness of sports betting. in principle, if there is someone who claims he has a 100% winning tip for sure. i would say, if he is a liar. in theory, if that person has 100% accuracy of winning in his sports betting. why should he share it with others, he can keep it to himself.

Well, therefore, I can't answer what you are asking from this thread. anyway, this is a hypothetical question. in fact, we're talking only on an "IF" basis. I would like to ask otherwise, in case, if this someone just wants to set us up. and we gamble with all the money we have, then we are in trouble. but let's be honest, there is no gambler who doesn't want to win from his bet. but if someone claims to have a 100% tip to win the bet, then its legitimacy should be questioned.
on the other hand, if this tip is given from an unscrupulous athlete, coach, or management of a sports team, maybe we can consider it. but that way, automatically there is an arrangement that occurs in the match.

$crypto$

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Quote from: NAPK1NS_RA3 on August 28, 2023, 02:49:02 AM

If someone told you a guaranteed sports bet that had a 100% chance of winning, how much would you bet on it?
If you had a $10,000 bankroll, would you go all in? We’re talking 100% can’t lose bet.
Would you take out a loan? How would you go about acquiring a large sum of money if you didn’t have the capital.
Let’s say the match is starting 24 hours from now, what would be your plan to maximize your profit?

That means there is no loss, which means 0% chance of losing? Wouldn't bet on it I think the guarantee of nothing is accurate.
Don't understand why can't lose. I'm not a lot of money spending in gambling I won't do that.
Loan I don't think so. It's too risky to conclude on a loan when you don't have the capital to do it.
Looking for opportunities by looking at statistics, but it will not be 100% accurate.

Beparanf

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Quote from: NAPK1NS_RA3 on August 28, 2023, 02:49:02 AM

If someone told you a guaranteed sports bet that had a 100% chance of winning, how much would you bet on it?

If you had a $10,000 bankroll, would you go all in? We’re talking 100% can’t lose bet.

Since this is a hypothetical question. The correct answer is 100% of your bankroll assuming that the bankroll amount that you provide is just dedicated for gambling purposes and not a life savings or something that has an important use. We are talking about guaranteed 100% winning chance rate bet here.

I might add up some micro loan for this bet if I will experience this kind of golden opportunity. I knew this bet is only possible with fixed match but there’s no really a 100% can’t lose bet even on fixed match since there’s a chance that the match will be caught as fixed match and your bets will be confiscated for being involved.

Cookdata

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Quote from: NAPK1NS_RA3 on August 28, 2023, 02:49:02 AM

If someone told you a guaranteed sports bet that had a 100% chance of winning, how much would you bet on it?

If you had a $10,000 bankroll, would you go all in? We’re talking 100% can’t lose bet.

Would you take out a loan? How would you go about acquiring a large sum of money if you didn’t have the capital.

Let’s say the match is starting 24 hours from now, what would be your plan to maximize your profit?

Asking for a friend Wink

Wait, what? Is there anything like a 100% guarantee in sports betting, not even the sports bookies will tell me to go all in and will do that, the same way there are chances of winning so there are high chances of losing, and if you lose, you will have no one t blame but yourself, and you know what, whenever I have a bankroll on $10,000, I will never use that on a bet, life is not all about betting, I will take my chances on other aspects of life; Bettin $10k for a bet is not even fun to me, that's more like a stupid idea.

In a real clause, whenever I hear anyone say a bet is 100% guaranteed to win, I do ignore them but in this situation, I will give it a try with another shot at funds that I don't need that time, perhaps max is going to be $100 and if that happens, I will be giving it a shot when there is a called but I wouldn't raise my wager, better to play safe and win for tomorrow or wager all your capital and go home without any means of having another money to play the next day.

bitzizzix

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If it guarantees a 100% win, I'll do it, provided I do thorough research before doing it to make sure the odds are right and reasonable.
and besides that it depends on who informs the 100% chance of winning, and whether they are one of the organizers and also have influence on the sporting event, and that's all after I do research to make a decision. Because if I bet 10k it's not a small amount, so it really needs consideration and I have to be careful until I'm really sure and do it.

Gozie51

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In such situation what will come to my mind is no gambling stake has a 100% winning chance and no guarantee to that and I would reflect on the past incidence of such thing happening when someone beat his chest that it was a sure game but it never happened that way. So if someone is telling me that it is a 100% certainty, I will still bet reasonably. I won't go for loan because it is not advised, I won't empty my account either but I will put a bet to my satisfaction that if I lose it will be like the usual occurrence too.

coin-investor

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Is it really possible to have a 0% chance of losing I don't think so and if there is I don't think I can take a loan, I will check the credibility of that someone if he is someone who can guarantee what I will put in then I'll go for it.
I have seen people almost committing suicide because they trust a person to tell them that they cannot lose and they should put everything, they have put all their savings only to lose everything.

When it comes to we should always be on the safe side. There is no such thing as guaranteed winning in gambling, it's not gambling if it's guaranteed to win.

Hispo

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Obviously, at first I would be extremely skeptical of that option having a 100% of chance of being correct, but assuming I got convinced I think I would go in with about 25% of my capital or even up to 50% of it.

I would not go all in or take a loan to take advantage of such scenario, because I have seen and read so many cases online of how people end up losing everything to a bet which was an easy guess.

It does not matter how high the chances are in a bet, one is never supposed to take a loan or sell one's stuff to gamble or bet, there is always a tiny chance things won't go as intended, even in those so-called "fixed" matches. Always use common sense.

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Quote from: NAPK1NS_RA3 on August 28, 2023, 02:49:02 AM

If someone told you a guaranteed sports bet that had a 100% chance of winning, how much would you bet on it?

If you had a $10,000 bankroll, would you go all in? We’re talking 100% can’t lose bet.

No, I won't be tempted on the offer, I experience this kind of stuff when someone DM me on telegram giving me an offer to win 100% on some gambling platform. He said that all I need is to agree and he can even give me credit on the platform. The only condition is that I will give him half of the winnings. Although his offer is convincing, I did not accept the offer because of the possible trouble that lie ahead if I accept the deal.

Quote

Would you take out a loan? How would you go about acquiring a large sum of money if you didn’t have the capital.

No, I won't try to be greedy, what if the promise is just bait? Then I f*cked up big time.

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Let’s say the match is starting 24 hours from now, what would be your plan to maximize your profit?

Nothing, in a hypothetical situation everything is possible. Even conning the other party is also possible. So better not greedy to avoid any troubles.

inthelongrun

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So are you involved in fixed matches? Let's say you are directly in contact with the player or team, there is still no such thing as a 100% sure win. I heard about basketball-fixed matches in our local league here after a player made a confession. But there is still no 100% guarantee because not all of the players and coaches are part of the shameful acts. Fixed matchmaking is a little near 100% correct on individual sports since the player has 99% control over his own results.

If I have a $10k bankroll and I have direct connections with the player or the team itself then I'll go all in. But I will never take a loan or even withdraw all possible savings because educated bettors don't believe in a 100% sure win.

Sim_card

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Quote from: NAPK1NS_RA3 on August 28, 2023, 02:49:02 AM

If someone told you a guaranteed sports bet that had a 100% chance of winning, how much would you bet on it?

If you had a $10,000 bankroll, would you go all in? We’re talking 100% can’t lose bet.

Would you take out a loan? How would you go about acquiring a large sum of money if you didn’t have the capital.

Let’s say the match is starting 24 hours from now, what would be your plan to maximize your profit?

Asking for a friend Wink

I don't think that we can see such wins,for it to be 100% true. It is better that you gamble with the amount of money that you can afford to loss so that if the game doesn't turn out as expected,you have nothing to worry about. The answer to your question is that if I can get someone to lend me a good sum of money,I will do that, so that after the game is over and I have withdrawn my wins,I will payback the lender.

Fortify

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Quote from: NAPK1NS_RA3 on August 28, 2023, 02:49:02 AM

If someone told you a guaranteed sports bet that had a 100% chance of winning, how much would you bet on it?

If you had a $10,000 bankroll, would you go all in? We’re talking 100% can’t lose bet.

Would you take out a loan? How would you go about acquiring a large sum of money if you didn’t have the capital.

Let’s say the match is starting 24 hours from now, what would be your plan to maximize your profit?

Asking for a friend Wink

It's a bit of a nonsensical question really, because a bet would naturally involve some degree - even the tiniest fraction - of risk involved. Otherwise you're just carrying out a transaction, like getting paid an interest rate from a bank for storing money their for a certain time period. The answer would be yes to such a proposition, because as you state - a hundred percent chance of winning guaranteed, is a zero risk proposition. However, what you're really like to be asking is if you have a bet that has a 97% or even 99% chance of winning, would you take it? In which case the answer would be no, because from personal experience I have seen such bets fail several times and fortunately only had tiny amounts at stake.

Topic: Hypothetical Question - page 5. (Read 808 times)