"If I'm right in the thesis, what do I get?"
"But on the other hand, if I am wrong, what is the maximum I lose?"
With these two bezels on your head, it's easy to size and risk your bet.
The risk is huge and so we must scale very well the amount we have to lose, not to fall into the fallacy of trying to solve life with a single shot.
In crypto world, nothing we can say or predict previously. I can't make a judge whether or not your decision will go right or wrong, because just the final result reflect your decition actually. If you are right, you will gain a huge fruits. And on contrary, if you're wrong, you will lose dramatically. Crypto market is inherently risky, and when you bet all in bitcoin, you are too risky guy. Wish you can get a huge profits. Anyway, crypto market gives us many chances, so if you have ill fortune, always you can go back to the drawing board.