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Topic: If They Solve the BTC Scaling Problem (Soon and Correctly), How High Do We Go? (Read 1255 times)

legendary
Activity: 1232
Merit: 1000
I foresee this thread getting replies for the next 3 years.  Grin
If there is a solution (some improvement at least) to the scaling problem, then I think that the price could double.
We could see $5000 levels soon.
copper member
Activity: 2828
Merit: 4065
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Right.... and what causes this delusion that this will happen any time soon or even at all?
We've been promised a solution since 2012 and were told not to worry.... 5 years later the fees are theough the roof, the network can't handle the transaction volume and a solution is nowhere even close to being implemented.

It's true, however it's best keeping to be optimistic about it. I really wish something done about it, no matter as long i don't have to wait another round of 5 years. Because honestly, I start to be tired about this problems, and in a near future I may swipe my love with bitcoin and only speculate with altcoins
You tell to people: "it's good to use Bitcoin, Cheap fees, bla bla bla" Then when they try they tell you "Is it what you call cheap fees Shocked"
legendary
Activity: 1937
Merit: 1001
Right.... and what causes this delusion that this will happen any time soon or even at all?
We've been promised a solution since 2012 and were told not to worry.... 5 years later the fees are theough the roof, the network can't handle the transaction volume and a solution is nowhere even close to being implemented.
sr. member
Activity: 504
Merit: 250
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They won't solve the blocksize/scaling debate any time soon - we have been at this three years and the sides are still as far apart as ever.
Of course they won't there's too much on the line to just make a fast decision that would make one side or another almost broke. The only way we can do something about it is support the uasf that would actually implement segwit on the demand of the bitcoin users, what would make bitcoin even more decentralized. Then I wouldn't be surprised if bitcoin pumped to like 5k dollars each because that would give it tons of potential.
hero member
Activity: 1176
Merit: 501
It depends on when that good solution is achieved. If this happened in the next two months the price would surpass the $3000 for sure and possibly would end up near the $4000, it would even surpass that mark, at least in the Asian markets. If I had to say a figure I would say anyone between $ 3500 and $ 4000.

it also depends if there will be a chain split or two coins and stuff like that, because getting 2x bitcoin will not sure be helpful to have a higher value, there will be a dump and the value will tank at least at first


Sure. In my speculation I imagined a scenario where there is no split or two bitcoins. That other scenario would be very different, with two bitcoins coexisting as the case of Ethereum I think neither would end the year above 800 dollars.
legendary
Activity: 2590
Merit: 3014
Welt Am Draht
But not most miners are going with Segwit, https://coin.dance/blocks

That's because the recent proposal hasn't been coded yet. The Segwit that is being signalled there requires 95% of miners before it activates. That'll never happen. It'll need a new version.
member
Activity: 119
Merit: 10
They won't solve the blocksize/scaling debate any time soon - we have been at this three years and the sides are still as far apart as ever.

Pretty much everyone is now going for Segwit, though how it arrives is still the same old smokescreen for power grabs. I don't think ultimately any of it was anything to do with Bitcoin's actual scaling.

But not most miners are going with Segwit, https://coin.dance/blocks
I'm kinda agree this is an endless debate and will not end anytime soon.


Anyway, my optimistic prediction will be around $4400.
legendary
Activity: 2590
Merit: 3014
Welt Am Draht
They won't solve the blocksize/scaling debate any time soon - we have been at this three years and the sides are still as far apart as ever.

Pretty much everyone is now going for Segwit, though how it arrives is still the same old smokescreen for power grabs. I don't think ultimately any of it was anything to do with Bitcoin's actual scaling.
hero member
Activity: 703
Merit: 502
They won't solve the blocksize/scaling debate any time soon - we have been at this three years and the sides are still as far apart as ever.
hero member
Activity: 1792
Merit: 534
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...

Eeek!  Reading all of the above price predictions is triggering my "Sell BTC Now" fingers...!  Not really, but when sentiment is SO BULLISH, ("It's different this time"), I get antsy.  (Though I did predicate this thread with saying the SW / block size debate would get resolved, should it not, well.....)

But my *guess* would be $3000 - $5000 if everything goes well.  Note that I am a LOUSY SPECULATOR, so makes that guess worth ZERO.  I have profound doubts that ANYONE can predict the future, except for a very few who know something.

Nonetheless, I thank you all for you observations and thoughts.  They are going into my hopper...  Should we get lucky and reach, say, $3500 - $4500, I will sell another tranche of BTC for gold.
It's likely that a split (which is seeming increasingly likely now), would be confusing for most people and wouldn't be quite as smooth as we like.

Personally, I'd expect a bullish sentiment leading up to the solution, and a dip in Ether, but when the split actually happens, far more bearish.

Once the actual situation is behind Bitcoin for a week or two and transactions start getting back to normal on the majority chain, that's when we go for the moon.
legendary
Activity: 2590
Merit: 3014
Welt Am Draht
I often wonder how many people are holding back in the expectation of something being implemented. I'm not sure it's all that many people myself. It's something that'll pay future dividends rather than a vast explosion right now. Definitely a boost. Maybe not a life changing one immediately.
legendary
Activity: 1372
Merit: 1032
All I know is that I know nothing.
the problem is that you are using a big if in your speculation/guess or whatever Smiley

but in reality a lot of things go wrong or against expectations. if the solution locks in we may even expect a big dump before the real thing because of a lot of FUD that always comes with these things from the opportunists in the market!
and then the launch will begin.
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 501
If everything working perfectly then my prediction is 4000$ in the end of the year and it will be stable, I cant predict too high because alt coin also got a good rising this year so I expect some bitcoin investor will save some of their investment in alt coin
legendary
Activity: 3206
Merit: 1069
It depends on when that good solution is achieved. If this happened in the next two months the price would surpass the $3000 for sure and possibly would end up near the $4000, it would even surpass that mark, at least in the Asian markets. If I had to say a figure I would say anyone between $ 3500 and $ 4000.

it also depends if there will be a chain split or two coins and stuff like that, because getting 2x bitcoin will not sure be helpful to have a higher value, there will be a dump and the value will tank at least at first

Block size is not an issue, stop spreading FUD.

this if you think that the current value would not be higher if the block limit was already solved, while i agree that the majority who trade don't really care, the average joe who buy a few amount and send small amount here and there do care about this
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 1025
It depends on when that good solution is achieved. If this happened in the next two months the price would surpass the $3000 for sure and possibly would end up near the $4000, it would even surpass that mark, at least in the Asian markets. If I had to say a figure I would say anyone between $ 3500 and $ 4000.
I guess there will be no reasons which will be stopping bitcoin prices under $4000 levels. I am expecting one or two more countries to join Japan for legalizing bitcoin usage and scalability issue to be solved perfectly in 2017 so that we will be having prices around $10k levels.

I know no one could predict accurately well in advance still I feel around $10k seems a logically physiological levels where the pumpers may stop temporarily for 2017  Cheesy
hero member
Activity: 1176
Merit: 501
It depends on when that good solution is achieved. If this happened in the next two months the price would surpass the $3000 for sure and possibly would end up near the $4000, it would even surpass that mark, at least in the Asian markets. If I had to say a figure I would say anyone between $ 3500 and $ 4000.
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 1014
It's hard to say imo. It all depends how things will develop in august. With a chain split, even if it's just for a short time there will be some turmoil and price at the end of the year may be around $2000, hopefully.
If all should go smooth and the other side will accept the fact, that SegWit is coming as the majority wants it, no matter what they think about it, we could see a price of around $3000 to $5000.
legendary
Activity: 1526
Merit: 1179
Should we get lucky and reach, say, $3500 - $4500, I will sell another tranche of BTC for gold.
Everyone is free to do what he pleases, but may I know what you see in gold that you find it worthy cashing out your coins for?

Since you say that you're a speculator, isn't it a much better plan to ride the market waves to increase your Bitcoin holdings that way? Bitcoin has far more room for potential growth than is the case with gold.
hero member
Activity: 770
Merit: 500
Bazinga!
if and only if we fix the scaling debate with a high amount of support, or consensus without any chain split or even risk of it, then we can see a big price rise of at least $500 in short term because we still need adoption for bigger rise.
but that would be the start, when the issue is solved there is no more altcoin hype, all of them will die and get dumped, a huge amount of money will come in bitcoin which means another $500-$1000 rise.
and in long term obviously the real adoption happens more easily and we can finally see the $5000 price and aim for $10,000
legendary
Activity: 2912
Merit: 1852
...

Eeek!  Reading all of the above price predictions is triggering my "Sell BTC Now" fingers...!  Not really, but when sentiment is SO BULLISH, ("It's different this time"), I get antsy.  (Though I did predicate this thread with saying the SW / block size debate would get resolved, should it not, well.....)

But my *guess* would be $3000 - $5000 if everything goes well.  Note that I am a LOUSY SPECULATOR, so makes that guess worth ZERO.  I have profound doubts that ANYONE can predict the future, except for a very few who know something.

Nonetheless, I thank you all for you observations and thoughts.  They are going into my hopper...  Should we get lucky and reach, say, $3500 - $4500, I will sell another tranche of BTC for gold.
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