The performance is like that, they will always press the market to get the desired price. Yes, we only need to hold BTC for 2 years at least until the end of 2025 from now on, after that the story just starts again the massive sell-off occurs again at the beginning of next year.
I think the current conditions, especially if we have been in the market for a long time, this is not too confusing, but look at it and follow the pattern as an opportunity.
It's a good idea for you not to wait for the end of the year to sell your bitcoin holdings, but the goal is to get the profit you expect. The market can reverse direction whenever it wants, this is clearly due to demand and supply factors. Waiting 18 months after the halving is an initial plan that many investors might consider, but I wouldn't wait that long if my target was already achieved.