i don't doubt your experience, but when the boxes go for 500 bucks that has to get one's attention. Do they think this crypto card is going to go even higher!!?? The rookies for that year are ok, but there is no George Brett, right?
Please feel free to doubt my experience. I won't take offense. It's good to question. I've only been doing this as long as most of you. I just happen to be researching/buying/investing in many more baseball cards than just the A&G/Ginter cards. I've spent a lot of time learning about baseball cards, the brands, the market, the long-term investment aspect, and the cyclical selling/distribution of those cards. (I've got quite an impressive collection of Javier Baez rookie cards.) For example, it's common advice not to bother selling your baseball cards from after the post-season has ended until spring training has started. Those months are very slow for baseball card sales, and the prices fall dramatically. An exception is Christmas sales. Plus, sales go in short cycles depending on the release date of the next series released. For example, if Topps Chrome cards are released on July 1, then they will be the hot card to buy/flip/sell until the Bowman Chrome cards are released on September 1. At that time, most pro sellers are busy chasing the new releases, so they're less interested in the older releases. That's why interest seems to die off. The cards aren't all gone. They're simply being saved for later years in hopes that the cases will someday be worth a lot more money. It's a long-term investment strategy. (The hot rookie today may wash out tomorrow, and the so-so rookie today may become a superstar tomorrow. You never know what may happen, which is why pro collectors save cases for the future. It's a long-term investment.)
And I have to respectfully disagree about the rookies from 2018 being "ok." I've spoken with several pro collectors, and they all say the same thing: In any given year, you're lucky to get one really great rookie. However, the 2018 year was phenomenal, because it gave us MANY really great rookies — Ohtani, Acuna, Soto, Torres, Andujar, Albies... In fact, I'd wager that the wide assortment of future HOF players from the 2018 season is one of the biggest reasons why pro collectors are HODLing sealed cases. (That, and as I said above, they're simply focusing on the next/newest releases. After all, this is their business. They make a living on focusing on the newest releases and HODLing the older releases. Their business formula goes something like: Buy X number of cases, crack and flip Y of those for short-term profit, save the remaining Z for long-term investment.)
At least, that's the info that I've been given from pro baseball card investors.
Regards,
Chris