Topic: Is it possible to calculate how much the price of BTC? (Read 775 times)

There is no way you can rightly calculate its price even if you are born a mathematician or an expert bitcoin analyst since everything relies on the bitcoin supply and demand, and relevant news and events that greatly affect the price of bitcoin. The only thing that is certain is that bitcoin price may pump or dump, or even move sideways particularly if there are sudden events that affect its price. But to think that we can calculate it easily and predict its future price correctly, maybe there are less chances or unfortunately, no chances at all. The reason why everything in bitcoin is risky as all of its movement are unpredictable.

This is a very difficult question for which many investors would like to get an answer. Unfortunately there is no clear answer for your question. Potentially bitcoins has no upper price limit, the price could rise to 100,000 USD or 1m USD in the next 10 years. As long as there are investors willing to pay that price it's going to rise. The easiest calculation you could do would be to look how much the Bitcoin price increased in the last 10 years, and then use that number for a linear projection for the next 10 years. This is not so realistic of course because the price is trading so much higher now. It would be better to only look at the past few years instead and use the growth number after Bitcoin reached 10,000 USD. You can also only look at the halving process and take the price increase in the 6-12 months after the last 2 halvings and use that extrapolate for the next halving. In the end these predictions are not really accurate because it always comes down the general economic recession, if there is a recession or not going to happen again within the next 10 years.

Nah, it's just the same as guessing the price so why bother to calculate though?
No one can do it even if you say a super robot do the equation but their problem lies on who will gonna buy or who're gonna sell?
This is because demand and supply is not a given number it rely on people and a lot of of factors such as mining, halving and traders.

It's best to just focus on the present than thinking what's coming since we all don't know what's in the future.

No man or human does have the ability on knowing the future unless if you are God. 

There's no way that we could really predict on where prices would be going.We can make out some price predictions and presumptions via those indicators or tools that we do currently have
but it doesnt really indicate that it could really able to make precise predictions towards on where we do go.
It all matters on the demand and come to mind off that there are lots of factors which could really make out some effects on overall market condition
which it is really that hard to make conclusions but its better to make some analysis rather than making steps without any basis.

You can calculate it but you will not get any correct answer, because no one can accurately predict the price of Bitcoin tomorrow or for the next 10 years. The only thing that is gonna happen for sure is the new coming All Time High after the next halving, if I'm not mistaken. Technical analysis could help you a little to get a hint on what price to buy and to sell.

Yes, that's how cryptocurrencies are where market movements are also influenced by news,
but for now maybe we need to be patient first to be able to see the price of Bitcoin go up because of the current unsupportive conditions,
Of course we all hope there will be good news and let's see later

Yes, it is impossible to have an accurate assessment of price prediction. We all know that Bitcoin price is unpredictable, the price trend can change in a short time. If in the near future there is good news, the price will increase gradually. But if there is bad news, the price may decrease a lot. The hard thing is that we cannot predict what the issue to spread in the future. It naturally happens, no one has the ability to know it.

No accurate prediction can be made by certain individual since for saying that the market is unpredictable it tells all with that. Maybe there are some cases that traders use some analysis base on current events or even the chart they had but still it will never be accurate. If newbies want to learn something to get more knowledge about this much better if they learn trading thru their personal experiences, consistency is the only one they need.

I would say that losing money during bear period shouldn't discourage you from making these mistakes. You should learn from them, you did a mistake and that’s understandable, but what did you learn while making these mistakes, that’s the important part.

I personally lost a lot of money during my time in crypto world as well, but I didn't end up losing a lot of money neither, it was a period where I caused a lot of problems with the situation at hand and got better thanks to it, that trouble I caused eventually lead me to understand what was wrong with my understanding of what trading was. This is why we should be focusing a bit more towards why, and not what.

Probably the same feelings are experienced by investors who, after buying bitcoin at the high of 2017, continue to hold coins. And obviously they are dissatisfied when they see the same price 5 years later, after they have made their purchases. But if we assume that the bear market is coming to an end, then we can see another ATH.

Whale groups of course already know what to do when the market is in a bearish moment like now, they already have their own guidelines. Making some manipulations and some FUD will certainly be an option to get even cheaper prices. Whales may not have the full power to influence the market, but they have enough effort and effort to influence the psychology of small traders like us.
The future price of bitcoin can only be predicted and it will also not be accurate. The predictions made only provide a clue and may or may not happen.

sorry but isn't 21 million max bitcoin to be mined? and not Billions?

You can't I believe, though looking at the 13 years History then there will be some guidance for what you wanted to know.

but just buy and keep it hold .

You have a point, whales without a doubt are powerful enough to move the market, however they have to be opportunistic on their moves, for example if whales tried to create a bullish trend now I think they will fail as there is still a lot of fear in the market and many investors which are trapped and losing money will use an increase in the price to sell their coins, and as such whales will fail in their attempt to pump the price, so even whales need the help from small traders in order for their manipulations to succeed.

This is the reason why I believe the whales are not in the position to manipulate the market anymore but if we're talking about humpback whales which the user didn't mention they can do some manipulative on the market.
Yes, it is hard to tell what will be actually market price since the market is volatile but with the help of the 4years cycle, people can still predict the market to always make new ATH prices.

first it is 21 million cap mate and not billion , but calculating how much this will value?
this is impossible to happen mate and this is not really going to happen.

you cant mate, but you can speculate only , there is no math towards this because it is always impossible .

that is why the price of bitcoin can never be calculated in the future. some who try to do so, only speculate by doing analysis and predictions. no one will get accurate results.
even if by chance the prophecy was correct. it's just a prediction of the future. instead of finding the actual way to find the facts of the future.
we can learn from the Bull run cycle that occurs several times in the market. it shows how the demand and supply of bitcoin in the market are experiencing high spikes.

The future is diabolical, so the future of Bitcoin cannot be measured or being calculated to know what should will happen in the next year, the market of cryptocurrency are the one that determine the future of Bitcoin price through the investor's who enroll who come to cryptocurrency, i believe that the volume of Bitcoin in the market is determine through the qualitative of the demand and the supply in the market, so with that, it's when bitcoin will increase.

Trying to look back into those earlier years then it cant really be denied that manipulative actions of whales do really make out significant impact on the market but it is indeed the market now isnt really something

monopolized where the community is been composed by huge numbers where manipulative actions cant really be something that be done easily.You would need tons of billions for you to move on the market.

Making out conclusions about on where price could actually go then its actually hard and we know that this had been mainly the questions been asked on where we are going
and would be reaching on years to come.

Yes, the whales can influence the Bitcoin market but after the institutional investors have joined the Bitcoin market the level of the whale's influence in the market reduce.
A single whale can not influence the market like what we used to see back in the year 2017- 2020. If you follow the whales alert you'll see a lot of whales movement which shows no significant effect on the market.
Back to the OP question, it is hard to predict the price of BTC in 1-10years but if you're good with using the BTC 4years cycle you can have a good guess.

So many people owns btc but if there are people who owns large quantities of it then I think it's possible for them to influence the price if they will sell it. They can be called as a whale. Many of us only want's to earn so we buy more btc and then hodl it but there will always be whales which are against with what we are planning. It's kind suck though.

Other than the whales, there is also bear market but I think this one is mostly natural though I think a whale can interfere with it making the bear moves un naturally or making the duration more longer like on what we are experiencing now. They say it was only a 4 year cycle but I don't believe on it.

I bought some altcoins last month and I'm around $300 now it's a loss to $185 even though I only traded spot it sucks. So I have anxiety to check the market every day but still nothing has changed. But I shouldn't have done that but since it happened, so be it.

I'm so bored everyday open the market app on my phone and the price is the same as last week no change. Even so the market volume is still quite good, at least that's what I can expect. As for the new project, I hope they bring something different and interesting for next year because it can get more people to come.

Yes, exactly, things are as it says, but we must not lose faith, because at any moment the market can emerge in a great way, but when we see that the market can make this growth, we must know that at any time moment we can be prepared to be able to buy and more and invest, because the times that we are in now are ideal for buying, the only thing that I always advise buying is Bitcoin, not another thing, because it is very likely that due to the sudden changes in the market you can go against and lose, the purchase of tokens or something like that, I do not recommend it for those reasons.

This is impossible to do, we must remember that the price is an aggregate of what everyone in the market is thinking about the price of bitcoin, this means it is not controlled by a single person or indicator but by millions of people all of which have contradictory beliefs, needs and wants, so predicting accurately what the price will be over the long term is not something that can be done, you could make some calculations which could give you a range, but that is as far you will be able to go in your quest.

Speculate the Bitcoin price is okay, but don't trust it. Honestly, I am not interested to speculate the price even if for the next 10 years, 20 years, or more. I think it is just wasting effort, speculating Bitcoin price with too big time gap will be almost no accuracy. I prefer to speculate on the Bitcoin price for the next months or the next year, it still makes sense.

Anyway, surely speculation has no certain mathematical calculation, it is just like a guess.

Similarly, there is no way to calculate the future price of bitcoin due to its volatility. Price is basically not a problem, it really depends on supply and demand but one thing you have to understand is that bitcoin is not a ponzi scheme that will easily become 0.

Halving has an important role in the positive trend of bitcoin, usually people will be very bullish when the halving will occur and it makes the price often go up. The OP doesn't have to worry about the price because basically it will always go up and down. Just understand how the market works, you will know that it is this volatility that makes holders take profits and suffer losses.

No it's not possible to calculate btc price for its high volatility.

I think it is to difficult to calculate the price of BTC. Whole Crypto Market will follow the price of Bitcoin. In my experience, its is unpredictable and no one can't calculate the price of BTC in the future.

No it is not possible to calculate the price when the 21 billion cap is reached. The price might be the same, it might go up or it might drop. Supply doesn't always determine the price. There might be limited supply, but if there is no or less demand (that is no or less people are willing to buy bitcoin) for some reason, the price will be less. For some reason if bitcoin fails, then the price will drop to almost zero. If there were people that could find out the price, they would all be a billionaires by now.

Ain't no doubt that they already realized that their assumptions are wrong. Yet, we can't still stop people from thinking negatively despite all the changes we have seen with Bitcoin, some people are still worried about the future of Bitcoin. Though we can't just ignore the possibility that one day this may reach an end, however, I was not thinking about it because I believe that 10 years from this still exist and remain profitable.

It is unpredictable and it remains unpredictable forever. We can never change this thing.

Many thought that this is scam before that's why other skeptical people are now thinking that they waste their precious opportunity to buy bitcoin before. But since it pump so big for sure those people realize that bitcoin is truly worth it. But even though we see how big the price of bitcoin at the moment no one can predict even those who claim they are expert on this they cannot tell any accurate price on bitcoin at any time. Maybe for now try to learn doing some price analysis since this is the only one which can help you if you want to trade bitcoin.

That's why crypto is hard to predict and we all won't know what Bitcoin will be like 10 years from now,
no one even thought that the price of Bitcoin could get this far,
it's better to just keep following the progress from time to time while doing analysis

You can speculate the price of Bitcoin 10 years from now but no way you can calculate it. There is no such mathematical calculation that will send you exactly 10 years from now, not like we solve common mathematics problems. It is better for you to speculate then rather than bother your mind thinking about what will happen a few years from now because you will just fail. You can't project where it stops and how far it reached, even Satoshi can't make it.
 

That is a good approach, not really thinking that you would be making a good profit no matter what is the key to this. There are too many people who are ending up with something like an idea of what bitcoin will do at certain point in time, but the reality is that they have no idea bitcoin would do, I am guessing that the best thing to do would be making sure that bitcoin could be anything by the time it reaches there and the general economy of the world will also matter into this.

I hope that we can realize this soon enough and not really go overboard with it too much. If we know what we are doing then it should be fine in the long term, just don't take too much of a risk and think you know it all.

You could really able to know those numbers involved like total supply, current supply,currently mined,total cap etc. but one thing that we cant actually able to do so or calculate which on what would be
its future price.No one knows on this market on where it would be dropping or on what extent it could reached out possible price because it would really be depending on certain or different factors.
Specially which "DEMAND" will really be the first thing to consider.If we do see that there's an influx of demand and recognition then expect something like increase of price
because this is how supply and demand works.Nothing cant be determined or having able to make conclusions towards possible price points.

No way to calculate the price in the future, it purely depends on the demand. While the demand is determined by many factors that make it complicated to measure. BTC supply isn't the ultimate factor that influences the price, don't forget that issues/news related crypto and Bitcoin sometimes have a bigger influence. They even can trigger the BTC price to move significantly in a short time. And, there are other factors such as inflation, that can contribute to influencing the price of BTC as well.

You can not calculate the price of Bitcoin in the future, I have never found anyone who can calculate the movement of the price of Bitcoin in the next 5-10 years, there is only Bitcoin price predictions for the next 10 years., and even then it could be wrong or close, mostly taken in terms of experience from year to year.

My understanding of Bitcoin, if you are serious about trading Bitcoin at least you can learn on the internet about Analysis, predictions, history, charts and ask some crypto experts, for you to learn.

Bitcoin is hard to count, Bitcoin is not as we guessed it, in minutes Bitcoin changes can happen in hours it can change suddenly and the Crypto market can be excited because of Bitcoin's actions, for that learn and do as you have in mind youabout Bitcoins, That's the basis that many people say Bitcoin trading & investing is risky, all actions and decisions, only you can determine the clockwise direction of Bitcoin for the next 5-10 years.

The only reason why the price of any commodity, including bitcoin, changes is determined by supply and demand. And if buyers refuse to buy bitcoin at the price of 70 thousand dollars, then sellers will reduce the price until this price satisfies the other side. Therefore, it is impossible to accurately predict the value of bitcoin without knowing the general state of the economy by the time BTC reaches Max Supply.

First, How we could calculate the price in an unpredictable market? Guess what, only we have is assumption and price speculation and it all is uncertain. So, accept the thing that no matter what we do or whatever calculation we have made, all of them are not reliable - that is the reality in crypto. Many experts make their own market views and price speculation but never think they are right as for sure they are wrong. That is why if you are investing in Bitcoin never expect of earning a huge amount if you were not able to hold long-term and are not able to wait for the Bull season.

In the case of the assumption it might be possible, because people can see the amount of bitcoin circulating in the exchange of exchanges, as well as making rough estimates. But unable to present a definite amount.

Bitcoin is not only for predictions, I mean the presence of Bitcoin has shown how great it is in the development process to reach the current price. Predictions will make it difficult for people to make choices, considering that there will be a risk of fluctuating prices, but it is better to take a direct role, because Bitcoin is the best investment and assets at this time.

Any Mathematical calculation for the future price of Bitcoin in my opinion would just be base on probality,  because those Mathematical calculation did not put into account the effect of supply and demand side which is unexpected events that could occur in the future,  precisely government ban or adoption which can either be a catalyst and favour the price of BTC or deter the price movement from reaching the expected price and hence will alter the overall future mathematical price prediction for Bitcoin.

I totally hear what you are saying and don't want to disagree cos I believe the same opinion too but I am a bit confused here looking at this Bitcoin Rainbow Price Chart (Log Scale)
This first image shows just about the exact price amount of Bitcoin at the time of making this post


And this second Image is telling us that (IF) Bitcoin gets to that point on 23.04.2023, its price would be $38,528.89



But I get the argument will be, will Bitcoin be in that point, above it, or below that point on that particular day hence my concern of, is this, not some sought of Calculation into the future? Because if you put your cursor everywhere within that Bitcoin Rainbow Price Chart, a price will pop up meaning there has been some price calculation into the future regardless of where Bitcoin price ends up. ^{Just trying to understand it.}

 

Especially if this cryptocurrency is very easy to manage and has a very high volatility. If the bear market is comfortable for the whales, they will do it, if they need growth, they will do it too. Because it's their benefit.

I say good luck finding that out.
Many have tried but all of them failed. If you see someone who did it correctly, he could just be a lucky guy who predicted it right once in his lifetime.
It's like bruteforcing a password containing every special character, letter, and number. It will take time, and once you are done the password was already changed, or in Bitcoin's market perspective, the price already changed.
It's easy to buy Bitcoin and even a kid can do it now unlike other assets and investments. That's why. Demand could go soaring in an instant.

I think it is definitely impossible to determine absolutely with accuracy the price of BTC in the market. There are several factors that drive its price, which is mostly dependent upon supply and demand. Given that BTC is also volatile in nature, its value changes at least almost every single minute or second of the day.

Many have attempted to at least forecast the price of BTC in the following days by considering both intrinsic and extrinsic factors. When you put them into consideration, it can yield to to you some signs and factors that can somehow determine whether to invest or not.

If Bitcoin won't die, it will be accepted more globally. And if it continues its existence and expands its adoption, with each halving its price will be boosted to a new higher all time high.

I can not give you predictions about future price because it depends on so many parameters and many of them I can not control.

However, if you want to get something about current and near future vision, you can use the Realized price chart from Lookintobitcoin.com. Currently we are in a good price range to accumulate and DCA Bitcoin. You can wait for a bit lower price but don't bet on too lower price, you might miss a train.

• Is Bitcoin bottom there yet? Fear & Greed, Pi Cycle Top / Bottom
• Weekly RSI leaving oversold conditions

You can have all the calculations you want, but it won’t give you a fixed and precise amount of price for bitcoin since it’s price never fails to fluctuates from time to time. And you cannot tell exactly how high or low its demand 5-10 years from now as its price greatly depends on its supply and demand factor. Also, bitcoin is too much volatile, that you can expect it to have a roller coaster price movement most of the time.

I would like to have that magic formula, but I prefer to think that bitcoin will go up a lot next year, it is the most likely thing I see, I am guided by the projection that the S2F model has, many say that it has already failed, but it is not like that, It is the most approximate and real model that I see for bitcoin, here in the forum there are many guys who are PRO -S2F and few who are against it, but since such extreme things are happening in the world, it is the reason why it does not go up bitcoin like foam, there are many who do not believe that it will rise, that when it reached 70,000 dollars I thought it would reach more than 100,000 dollars, but the whales did not think so.

there is no mathematical formula to determine the price of bitcoin for certain period of time. that is right, we have no idea what will happen next. if btc will continue to expand in the market, and the demand will progress throughout these years, high probability of increasing its price. however, if something new will be introduced that we don't know yet, then, that's the trouble here.
right now, what we can do is just speculate what will happen to this market few years from now. experts, self-proclaimed ones and others are just doing their predictions. no one can guarantee what will happen in the next couple of years, or 10 years from now. so big NO, no one can calculate the price of btc as the factors also vary from time to time.

You can't calculate, you can only estimate, the same way you can't calculate the price of Tesla stock in 10 years. Maybe they will disappear by then or Musk dies and the new CEO bankrupts the company.

All I can tell you is that if bitcoin continues to exist it will be worth more in 10 years than it is today. Will that be 50k or 500k USD, we'll know in 10 years.
In short time frame like 1 year, it's possible its price will be lower but the value is around 20k so if the spot price goes below the current level don't be alarmed.

No one will be able to predict the price of bitcoin in the future, analyzing does not mean being able to know about the price of bitcoin. We can see now, who can analyze what the bitcoin price will be in the future? I don't think so. But the analysis of the bright future of bitcoin in the future is something that can be predicted, because it does not say what the exact price will be, maybe 100k, 200k or more than that.
We don't need to argue about this, because everyone has a different opinion. One thing is certain, the future of bitcoin is bright.

Exactly. You will never know it’s price until you see it with your own two eyes it’s high demand from its users and investors. The higher the demand, the bigger the price, while it’s supply will become lessen. So most probably, you can freely predict its price 5-10 years from now, but you can never tell if you can hit the exact price since the demand varies depending on the crypto market condition. However, I would say that the price of bitcoin will keep on growing and increasing as years pass by, as many people have start to experience bitcoin more than fiat.

Your first calculation is wrong. Where did you get your 21 billion  caps? In mathematics if you mis-insert one figure with another or miss-express the sum then every other calculation is wrong. Because the first formula determine the answer. The total bitcoin created by Satoshi was 21 Million caps and not 21 billion caps. Its like you manufacture your own bitcoins. I do not think, it is possible for one to calculate the unit of BTC that will go up and come down in the market. Because BTC is in the market and the total number of users buying and selling at the same time is differ. You can only predict the movement of the market. That is to say, btc can go up in the next 3 days based the news. Please do not stress yourself to calculate the price of btc in the 10 years. Though I am not a mathematician but I don't think you can do it,

It is hardly possible to predict what the price of bitcoin or other cryptocurrency will be in about ten years from now. In addition to purely mathematical calculations, the price of a cryptocurrency is greatly influenced by economic and political events that occur daily in the world. These events are impossible to predict. But it is they who will influence the ratio of supply and demand, which directly form the price of the cryptocurrency.

No matter what everyone says. The Moral and the last answer is NO. No one can calculate or Give you the Exact ETA of Bitcoin Price for the future. Some people were saying Bitcoin won't touch 100K again. The last ATH was because of the Covid 19. While I partially agreed, I don't think we handled the previous ATH because of the Covid 19. Back in 2017, We didn't have Covid 19. How did it reach the 20K mark back then? It depends on demands and popularity. Spread the positivity of Bitcoin. Own your money with security and anonymously. Don't give access to others to handle your money. It's your asset.

It's not a matter of complicated maths, it's a matter of how high the demand will be in the future, and that isn't something that can be calculated. The only maths calculations we can, IMO, make are related to the global economy's value, estimating how big it'll be in a few years (there are estimates for that) and trying to reasonably predict which percentage from the global economy Bitcoin market can take. But it'll just give rough estimates of how high it can possibly go, not what the price will actually be.

It is possible to calculate how much btc will cost when the last coin out of 21,000,000 is mined, but it is impossible to say whether this figure will be true. We can say with confidence that the price will be many times higher than the current one. This is based on past growth rates and if inflation is taken into account. Also, the influence of many factors may change the estimated cost bitcoin in the future. If you define btc as a commodity, then the standard market laws will apply to the coin. If bitcoin is in demand by that time, then the price will be correspondingly high. I believe that at such long distances, the price prediction of bitcoin will have very large errors.

1-10 years is easier to predict due to the growth bitcoin's cycle, which repeats itself after about 4 years. There is an opinion that by 2024-2025 btc will cost more than $100,000. No one will name the exact figure, but this level must be completed.

I don't see a threat of the underlying asset being banned. But banning it's generation and its coming to life through PoW mining activities is surely something many would love to see getting banned or restricted. That would kill the bitcoin we know without restricting people from using it. 

The code has been out there for so long. It's been reviewed and thoroughly checked by both honest and malicious actors. One should never say never, but I think we are a long way from someone finding and taking advantage of a serious vulnerability or a bug in the codebase. 

We can only make assumptions based on the current time period but don't know what will be the scene in future like the demand and use of bitcoin at that time.We can be speculative at this time but these can totally be wrong so you can't say that according to this supply the price will be this because it's dependant on demand at that time.

the amount of coins in circulation has nothing to do with the number of coins on a market

normal high school economics tells you less coins in circulation means higher price.. and so using dumb high school economics when bitcoin had 11mill coins in 2012 the price should have been higher than now  19m coins.

so forget high school economics

price discovery is based on the coins on the market. not coins custodian on exchanges. but actual coins being put onto market orders

you cannot predict the sentiments/whims of peoples decisions to guess the price

however there is one fundamental that you can work out.. the window in which the price will wiggle within

think of it this way

if everyone one the planet can mine bitcoin for less than X no one will happily buy bitcoin for much more then X because everyone can get bitcoin cheaper by other means.

so there is always a top X level of a price window

also if no one can mine bitcoin below Y no one would be foolish to acquire bitcoin for more and then sell for less.. so there is a limit of the bottom window of Y

right now Y=$15k and X=$95K
and he price will wiggle within this window due to random sentiment

when bitcoins mining costs increase due to the competition of hashrate or the reward halving. this widow values will increase meaning the price within the window will increase.

so calculate out the cost of mining on the next gen asics releasing in early 2023. and a reasonable increase of hashrate in 1 years time. do the maths on the lowest mining cost with cheapest electric and then most expensive electric and you will see how much the window increases by which can then help calculate possible future growth


in short last year X was ~$75k. which is why the sentiment of the speculative price only wiggled up to the $70k ATH

this year if there was enough emotion and sntiment to push the price up. it would max out at ~$90k

the more costly it is to mine the more people would be willing to just buy it

Bitcoin will never be certain, as it may be bearish today but the next day it will start to be bullish, so no one gets to calculate its price right. And there may be big news in the future that will bring big changes in the market positively, or the other way around, bitcoin will always have negative news coming in that will make its price to fall even more. So everything is very unpredictable with bitcoin, even if you see yourself as an expert to it, you would still fail how to predict its market price movement and its future price 5-10 years from now.

It's not that Mathematics fails, it's just impossible to predict. There are ways you could estimate, but that would be so broad, and full of speculation that it would probably be rather pointless. You'd use Math to get to that conclusion though even if it was broad.

If you knew every single factor from here to the point where every Bitcoin has been mined, you'd have a good chance at predicting it. However, since you can't know everything that's going to happen during that time, you can't. It's as simple as that, to do Math you need the input to get the output, which is something we don't have, and won't ever happen until that day comes.

You can however, calculate the risk. At the moment, I'd probably go out on a limb, and say the only immediate threat that I see would be global bans of Bitcoin. However, I still think that's rather unlikely. The other things that could push the value significantly down would be vulnerabilities discovered, but hopefully we won't have too many of those in the future as that can definitely drag consumer confidence down.

No one can do that because not only that the market is very unpredictable, but also you will not know how many of those would want to buy and would want to sell. So it still fall on demand and supply. And you can’t even correctly predict when will bitcoin end up being bearish or starts to be bullish, the reason why everyone only end up in wild but educational guesses.

I am pretty sure OP is talking about price calculation. Not prediction. We don't need anything to predict the Bitcoin price, we can just share it from our own experience and knowledge. But we have seen a lot of stupid predictions as well like Bitcoin will be zero and so on. We just need to be realistic and predict based on past history and experience. The calculation isn't possible at all.

And maybe the OP is confused with calculating and predicting.  Obviously both are not possible, we will just have our rough estimates base on several factors like supply and demand, our best guestimate.

And we have seen that it could be a a hit or miss, which then goes to show that no one here can exactly tell us how big the price will be in the future.

This would be pure speculation, and I saw many models that predict prices from $100k  to $1 million, but with ever increasing inflation (that will most likely switch to hyperinflation) that isn't really so important.
Value for dollar and other fiat currencies is going down every day, they print a ton of money and this messes up with all price predictions.
Everyone probably heard about PlanB predictions, but here is one even more optimistic prediction Bitcoin rainbow chart:
https://www.blockchaincenter.net/en/bitcoin-rainbow-chart/

You can't calculate this, you can only make prediction like for everything else in future, unless you have a time machine.

Mathematics fails where Bitcoin is. Because you can't do that even a supercomputer can't calculate at all. It's like we can't forecast our future, Bitcoin price totally depends on supply and demand. We don't know if big investors leave Bitcoin near future which would dump or we don't know if we will get new big investors which would pump a couple of x Bitcoin prices. So forget about price calculation. If you are a risk taker then accumulate.

The price of bitcoin on each exchange is determined by the most recent bitcoin transaction on exchange.

However, the truth is that BTC is so unpredictable because no one is certain of its precise value in terms of money.

Millions, not billions. Precisely, it's 19,171,998.41915050 BTC as of block 757553. A few thousands of them are provably non-spendable and another few just lost.

No, because demand, oppositely to supply, isn't fixed.

There's nothing complicated. Someone is willing to give some amount of dollars for a bitcoin. Another might offer more than that. A miner will accept selling to the latter. That's about how the price is determined.

The total supply of Bitcoin is 21 million and it can't be said how much Bitcoin price will go up because a lot of numbers of Crypto Whales manipulating crypto market. And it's also very volatile so no one can exactly say how much the price will go up and when will go up in the next 5 to 10 years.

You are totally wrong with this statement of yours, because the total supply of Bitcoin is 21million and not 21billion, of which the 19million which is in circulation, Satoshi owns 1million BTC, while others lost in a wallet that can't be accessed. So there is actually no parameters to calculate how much Bitcoin will be in the next 5 to 10yrs, as it's value always fluctuate with respect to market demand and supply.

You really can't — simply because supply is one thing, but demand is the second major factor whereas you can't really know how much demand an asset has until you see it. Bitcoin can literally be at the 21 million supply cap right now but if not much people are buying it and lots more people are selling, the price will drop regardless if bitcoin already has zero inflation.

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/l/law-of-supply-demand.asp

The price is related to block reward (halving every ~4 years), mining difficulty (rising with more and more powerful miners getting plugged in) and also quite a hefty speculative component. Maybe other things too. Altogether I don't think that anybody could "calculate" the future price.
I expected the worldwide rise of electricity price will also matter, but for now it doesn't give any sign to do so.
Overall increase in bitcoin popularity makes more invest / hold and this increases the speculative component...

So yeah, people throwing this or that price in the news just make worthless speculation. Nobody has a crystal ball and math doesn't help here.

BTC's circulating supply is now 19 billion out of the 21 billion caps.

Is it possible to calculate how much the price of BTC will go up until it hits the 21 billion cap?

I know there is some complicated math you can do about circulating supply, market cap, price etc, it's all connected,

How can I calculate the price potential of BTC within the next 1-10 years?