Topic: Is statistical analysis enough to make an informed prediction in soccer betting? - page 3. (Read 428 times)

I think statistical analysis is more than enough, with this we can draw basic conclusions even though in reality our predictions could be wrong. For example, what Inter Milan did in their last friendly match, they lost to Al-Ittihad with an absurd score, they couldn't even score a single goal. The other data you mentioned could strengthen our analysis, but what? do you go into that much detail to even know the players personal lives?

If you're trying to achieve 100% win rate, these information aren't enough, you must become an employee of the team you want to bet because you will know how to value your team against other team. These information are secret, never blown up on the medias.

These personal thing are mostly start from a rumor and it will be confirmed after few weeks or months, and these dramas are easily blown up on many medias because people always like to hear gossip.

the only way to get such inside news is to follow strictly the team/players you want bet in. This include not only conventional mass media but also social networks. By the way I don't think this could be something useful for a prediction, if not only very few cases.
I have just found one time a "bug" where a bet was offered even if a team (due a lawsuit) was already considered as a loss one.

The data's are statistical data from the past and may not actually be able to predict future outcomes because sometimes a team that statistically has been predicted to win or should win a game may end up losing the game because there's a factor called luck and chance in football where even a team that has never won a game can end up defeating a team that has been on a winning run.

The statisticians would have been the best gamblers if statistical analysis assured a 100% winning rate in gambling, but unfortunately it does not, and just like other gamblers, after a prediction has been made, even with statistics, it is left in the hands of chance/luck for us to see if it happens the way we predict.

The problem here is that all these statistics are available too for the sportsbook, and it's algorithm calculates the chances and offers you their odds. Si, even if you "knew" that it was three times easier for a team to win, you will only get 1.33 for your bet, so you'll have to win three times to double your initial skate, at the risk of losing it at anytime if the unexpected happens.

On the other hand, answering to your question, I don't think any kind of analysis is enough to make an "accurate" prediction in soccer, as there is always certain degree of uncertainty in an event as complex as a footbal match. We can't be deterministic there. So much better, IMO, to follow your guts, bet little amounts without expecting any profits, and enjoy the match.

I do not care about football player history, lawsuits, scandals and fight with teammates in my analyses. I can not even think in that direction because it has nothing to do with the outcome of a match. All I go for is not beyond the fitness of the player and if the player would be available in the match that I want to bet on.

Statistical analysis is very important before making your selections in soccer betting, but a lot of times these analysis fail due to some uncontrollable and unforseen circumstances... Analysis isn't enough in some cases and my reason for saying this is because there are some changes that might occur right before the game starts or probably when it' Starts that might alter the predictions that you have made so far, watching sports channels and keeping up with daily news and informations about players should also be part of your research

Football is a team sport where 11 players participate. What this mean is that if a single player has been involved in a lot of law suits scandals, fight with teammates and absence from training, it will not affect the performance of the team in general especially when there are other competent players in the squad. And I believe that the club manager would make the right decision not to file in that player during that match until they have been able to sort themself out and be in top form again. It would be like shooting yourself in the foot if you allow such people player in the match. So as a gambler I would not consider this detail. I look at the overall performance of the team and not a single player.

I agree that using different tools for statistical analysis would help you increase your chances of winning. For example, tools like ESPN with sports, social media pages that could distribute or publish reports on current happenings, and forums like BitcoinTalk.

I believe this could enhance your chances of winning and ensure that you get the prediction right.

If I may understand correctly players personal life does not have anything to do with their overall performance in the club they are or the team they are playing for, that is to say if player have any lawsuit or absence from training, fight or whatever it does not also affect their overall performance or skill in football what matters most is if they are healthy I think this aspect is what mostly affect players overall performance in football but however if  if the club notice such lapses in a player they wouldn't allow him play for the season or for the period of illness maybe after fully recovery he can play in the next season.

So, such player would be replaced that is why most of the clubs today always assign new player due to lapses from any of the player it could be they are due for retirement or they are weak in the wings they play. So therefore to me while doing my prediction or analysis what I consider most is first how they play in the last season it could be 2 to 3 years ago or 4 years ago with their previous team played together if the goals they scored between those previous matches are what reasonable then I don't mind using same pattern to analyze the present match so this also help me to secure some few winnings, and again other thing I look at is their past matches for example the goal they scored in the previous matches also help me in making my analysis to secure winning.

Well I think that if as a gambler that specialized on football betting and you want to bet on a team winning, it's very much logical that when analyzing the game on who might carry the day, the first thing I mostly looks out for is their head too head record, like who have the upper hand between the two teams, how frequently do both teams score's any time they meet and most importantly, their present form, like the performance of both teams in their past five five match, are they on a winning streak or a losing streak, these are the major things I look up to before making a decision when betting on football matches.

Though I believe that their are gamblers out there that doesn't look into all these I made mentioned, they just bet base on the team they feels is stronger, but I think that it's definitely a wrong way to go about it, that my own opinion though.

I believe the importance of using stats to enhance soccer betting is 100% beneficial for both beginners and experts. But are there any metrics more valuable than others? Well, league tables, goal statistics, possession, shot accuracy are some of the most useful ones.
This type of data highlights a better understanding of the opponent's strength and weakness. I think there are more details to consider, of course, and they vary to each player's strategy
However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction? If yes, how can I collect this news daily?