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Topic: Is the mempool being jammed solid for a few days now good or bad for the price? (Read 1989 times)

legendary
Activity: 1400
Merit: 1001
Pay the fee.

(right now, with 18,517 tx in wait, the 100% possibility for next block inclusion is 0,0005 BTC which is $0,341, versus the "usual" $0,0682).

Use an intelligent wallet, scanning the average fee atm, and no hold up. I have never been delayed, all my transactions went through to the first possible block. All this mempool backlog is an unnecessary FUD, anyone who pays the actual required fee gets in the first block.
I thought that basically every existing wallet is intelligent and has the ability to set the lowest yet the most suitable transaction fee.
Of course, I am talking about mainstream wallets - like all stuff listed on Bitcoin.org, in their section "Choose your wallet".
legendary
Activity: 1316
Merit: 1000
Si vis pacem, para bellum
Bitcoin is not and never has been suitable for everyone in the world to buy his coffee with....

It is crippled at the moment and it will be until the block size is dynamic but even then I don't know if it's suitable for microtxs....

I consider my bitcoins to be first and foremost a store of value, like gold bars in a vault and the vault is only secure as long as the hash rate is high (well paid miners)

Of course I would like free txs as much as the next man but if it costs 0.07 or 0.14 or 0.21 to make a transfer I will have to cope with that as a necessary evil....
legendary
Activity: 3990
Merit: 4460
You're never too old to think young.
>>> the price is rising because the mempool is overflowing<<<

Actually, isn't it the rising price that causes the mempool to overflow? (Ignoring partisan spamming, that is.)
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
If it isn't resolved in the next few days it will become a problem.
Bitcoin is a payment system first and foremost.

It is used as an investment because the full potential wasn't realized, and as user-base increased, so did the price of each coin.
But if it can't be used for its primary purpose, the value will be decreased.
Or at least stagnate.
legendary
Activity: 3430
Merit: 3071
How about this argument.


Increased fee competition increases the scarcity of Bitcoin transactions, and therefore of BTC itself. Shouldn't that be good for the price? Is there a money velocity argument against this argument? (can't see it, if anything the velocity is increasing, as a higher number of participants are competing for an unchanged transaction throughput)
legendary
Activity: 966
Merit: 1003
Here we go again.  Mempool clogged to hell and back.
legendary
Activity: 1120
Merit: 1009
Even with 1000s more copies, the cost of storage is so insanely cheap in comparison to the overall value of the system.  The cost of storage for paper bills and coins is something like 2-3% of the system, crypto is .004%..  Crypto's storage cost is basically zero.  Banks storage costs are not in the computer systems, its in the brick and mortar store fronts, the employee's to talk to customers, the handling of paper bills, the advertising costs to gain new customers, etc. etc.  Crypto has none of that bullshit, just transaction storage for virtually zero percent of the system.

It all scales together, people who have been following bitcoin since the beginning realize this.. The price used to be lower the blockchain used to be smaller... If bitcoin has a blockchain 100 times bigger, it has a price 100 times higher, and the percent of the system cost for storage is still the same.  ~.004%.

If btc is 100 times bigger, blockchain size = 7500 Gbyte,  price per coin= 70,000 USD, percent of system cost for storage ~.004%.

Back when I was mining in 2012 on gpu rigs the blockchain was like 5 gigs, and BTC were $5 each.  Now they are both bigger.  Storage just keeps getting cheaper (Moore's law), the blockchain keeps getting bigger and the value of BTC keeps getting higher.

There is a cap, I estimate a million peeps are using BTC on a regular basis, it can only get maybe 10,000 times bigger, (10 billion peeps using it *the whole planet*).  By the time we have the whole planet using BTC, I imagine Moore's law will have created big enough storage systems for cheap enough that we can have millions of copies of the blockchain.  

All this talk of storage, yet you seem to be forgetting the bandwidth required to keep all the peers on the same page.

The last time I rebooted my full node PC was May 26. Since then my node has uploaded over 500 GB of data to other peers on the network. That's probably already beyond the monthly cap of most top home tier internet services.

I'm not an altruist. I believe in the network and I run a full node because it helps the value of my coins. If you increase the amount of data I need to share without making optimizations, you are increasing my cost to run a full node. At some point, I will have to stop. I don't know about you, but I prefer a network with more nodes, not less. I'd rather err on the side of decentralization.

The blocks are full, but they are full of spam. If you simply increase the size, they will certainly fill right back up with more spam. That doesn't sound like a reasonable solution to me.

legendary
Activity: 1120
Merit: 1009
Then where has our low cost decentralized system gone? Sad

The cost of transaction security has always been subsidized by the block reward. While that's a nice way to boot strap the system (enticing both users and miners while infrastructure grows), it's not the end game. Early Bitcoiners were spoiled by these cheap/free transactions (I know I was). If we want secure transactions in the future, the days of cheap/free transactions have to come to a close and apparently we are going to have to drag the spoiled brats along kicking and screaming.

If you want free transactions forever, go ask Mike Heam to set up some network assurance contracts. Err wait... the poster child for free transactions forever pulled a whiny rage quit.

legendary
Activity: 966
Merit: 1003
Not buying it.  Visa,MC, traditional bank accounts can store the worlds transactions, but the blockchain can't?Huh

Yes, because they're not storing thousands of copies of the data and transferring all the transactions thousands of times. The blockchain is highly redundant.


We have ~7000 nodes atm.  75Gbyte each.  So each node needs a $50 dollar 1 Tbyte drive × 7000.  350,000 usd to store the data of a 10,000,000,000 usd system.  Thats um..  0.0035%    and your telling me its to expensive?

Yes, that's fine now, because it's not storing worldwide microtransactions in that 75 GB. Worldwide microtransactions would balloon that blockchain millions of times that size. Try storing 75 PB on 7000+ nodes and see how expensive that is.

Even with 1000s more copies, the cost of storage is so insanely cheap in comparison to the overall value of the system.  The cost of storage for paper bills and coins is something like 2-3% of the system, crypto is .004%..  Crypto's storage cost is basically zero.  Banks storage costs are not in the computer systems, its in the brick and mortar store fronts, the employee's to talk to customers, the handling of paper bills, the advertising costs to gain new customers, etc. etc.  Crypto has none of that bullshit, just transaction storage for virtually zero percent of the system.

It all scales together, people who have been following bitcoin since the beginning realize this.. The price used to be lower the blockchain used to be smaller... If bitcoin has a blockchain 100 times bigger, it has a price 100 times higher, and the percent of the system cost for storage is still the same.  ~.004%.

If btc is 100 times bigger, blockchain size = 7500 Gbyte,  price per coin= 70,000 USD, percent of system cost for storage ~.004%.

Back when I was mining in 2012 on gpu rigs the blockchain was like 5 gigs, and BTC were $5 each.  Now they are both bigger.  Storage just keeps getting cheaper (Moore's law), the blockchain keeps getting bigger and the value of BTC keeps getting higher.

There is a cap, I estimate a million peeps are using BTC on a regular basis, it can only get maybe 10,000 times bigger, (10 billion peeps using it *the whole planet*).  By the time we have the whole planet using BTC, I imagine Moore's law will have created big enough storage systems for cheap enough that we can have millions of copies of the blockchain. 


legendary
Activity: 2394
Merit: 1412
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
Since when was the blockchain only suitable for high value transactions?

Since day-1.

Some of the best use cases for BTC that have been bandied about over the years are microtransactions across the world

Only by people who don't understand bitcoin. Every full node stores every transaction back to the beginning of the time. That's a horrible design for a worldwide microtransaction system.

Someday the features may be added to bitcoin to support such transactions, but the current design is absolutely not appropriate. Until that day, bitcoin is designed for high-value transactions.

Not buying it.  Visa,MC, traditional bank accounts can store the worlds transactions, but the blockchain can't?Huh

We have ~7000 nodes atm.  75Gbyte each.  So each node needs a $50 dollar 1 Tbyte drive × 7000.  350,000 usd to store the data of a 10,000,000,000 usd system.  Thats um..  0.0035%    and your telling me its to expensive?
I don't think that those two should be compared so extensively. They're different by design.
legendary
Activity: 3878
Merit: 1193
Not buying it.  Visa,MC, traditional bank accounts can store the worlds transactions, but the blockchain can't?Huh

Yes, because they're not storing thousands of copies of the data and transferring all the transactions thousands of times. The blockchain is highly redundant.


We have ~7000 nodes atm.  75Gbyte each.  So each node needs a $50 dollar 1 Tbyte drive × 7000.  350,000 usd to store the data of a 10,000,000,000 usd system.  Thats um..  0.0035%    and your telling me its to expensive?

Yes, that's fine now, because it's not storing worldwide microtransactions in that 75 GB. Worldwide microtransactions would balloon that blockchain millions of times that size. Try storing 75 PB on 7000+ nodes and see how expensive that is.
legendary
Activity: 966
Merit: 1003
Since when was the blockchain only suitable for high value transactions?

Since day-1.

Some of the best use cases for BTC that have been bandied about over the years are microtransactions across the world

Only by people who don't understand bitcoin. Every full node stores every transaction back to the beginning of the time. That's a horrible design for a worldwide microtransaction system.

Someday the features may be added to bitcoin to support such transactions, but the current design is absolutely not appropriate. Until that day, bitcoin is designed for high-value transactions.

Not buying it.  Visa,MC, traditional bank accounts can store the worlds transactions, but the blockchain can't?Huh

We have ~7000 nodes atm.  75Gbyte each.  So each node needs a $50 dollar 1 Tbyte drive × 7000.  350,000 usd to store the data of a 10,000,000,000 usd system.  Thats um..  0.0035%    and your telling me its to expensive?
legendary
Activity: 3878
Merit: 1193
Since when was the blockchain only suitable for high value transactions?

Since day-1.

Some of the best use cases for BTC that have been bandied about over the years are microtransactions across the world

Only by people who don't understand bitcoin. Every full node stores every transaction back to the beginning of the time. That's a horrible design for a worldwide microtransaction system.

Someday the features may be added to bitcoin to support such transactions, but the current design is absolutely not appropriate. Until that day, bitcoin is designed for high-value transactions.
legendary
Activity: 966
Merit: 1003
Finally the logjam is over.  5+ days..  Yet the suggested price per kb is still 3x higher then before the logjam..  If everytime the price jumps we get a huge jam up of transactions and the suggested cost to get a transaction on the chain triples, the costs will be sky high in no time.  Then where has our low cost decentralized system gone? Sad
legendary
Activity: 966
Merit: 1003
legendary
Activity: 1638
Merit: 1001
₪``Campaign Manager´´₪
Bitcoin provides a means for censorship-proof value transfer. If you think the best use case for that is buying some coffee or gambling with a few satoshis, and you aren't willing to pay a decent fee, you can wait a few fucking blocks for your first confirmation, you cheap ass!

Bitcoin doesn't need fixed. People need to pick the best tool for the job.

All transactions do not need to be censorship-proof in a world where censorship-proof transactions exist. The possibility of censorship-proof transactions by itself will cut down on censorship because it will be seen as futile.
Just waiting a few blocks will not solve everything if the amount of high fee transactions keeps increasing...
And no, we don't need every transaction on earth to go onto the blockchain, but surely we want bitcoin to be maximally useful, no?
legendary
Activity: 966
Merit: 1003
This is all you need to know about the so called "mempool problem":

In any system with no minimum transaction fee, the blocks will always be full even if you raised block size to 10 gigs.  All that matters is what the price to get included in a block is, but no blockchain is suitable for microtransactions in the first place.  Even with 10 MB blocks, all small transactions would be pushed off-chain onto things like the shift card or second tier solutions like Lightning Network.  It will never be economical to do microtransactions (buying a pack of cigarettes) using a blockchain.  Blockchains are only suitable for high value transactions or settlement layer.

Since when was the blockchain only suitable for high value transactions?  Since big money has been invested to take over that part of bitcoin by for profit centralized companies?  Some of the best use cases for BTC that have been bandied about over the years are microtransactions across the world and to provide bank like services to 3rd world countries where getting a bank account is difficult.  Now because big business is telling us that they want that part, we just knuckle under and go along with it?  The dream of decentralized money for all is over?  
sr. member
Activity: 303
Merit: 250
Bitcoin doesn't need fixed. People need to pick the best tool for the job.

Haha dammit, I wish I could filter posts by joined date. This is all i was thinking while reading through the thread. Bravo!
legendary
Activity: 1120
Merit: 1009
My mempool is typically under 1MB and contains less than 1k transactions. Yes, including during the past few days. In fact, I just checked it again and it's right around half those numbers I just mentioned. My node has damn near 100% uptime and plenty of connections.

Why?

Because my node doesn't forward spam transactions (very low and no fee transactions)!

Bitcoin provides a means for censorship-proof value transfer. If you think the best use case for that is buying some coffee or gambling with a few satoshis, and you aren't willing to pay a decent fee, you can wait a few fucking blocks for your first confirmation, you cheap ass!

If you think requiring every full node to hold exponentially increasing spam transactions forever (increase block size to gain more tps) is a good idea, then you obviously care nothing for decentralization or censorship-proof transactions in the first place.

Bitcoin doesn't need fixed. People need to pick the best tool for the job.

All transactions do not need to be censorship-proof in a world where censorship-proof transactions exist. The possibility of censorship-proof transactions by itself will cut down on censorship because it will be seen as futile.
legendary
Activity: 1937
Merit: 1001
@r0ach

You speak many truths but you also keep ignoring big problems with bitcoin.

ETH being a scam is irrelevant to bitcoins problems.

If we want bitcoin to work we need to fix IT instead of bashing altcoins.
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