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Topic: Is the US Moving Away from Capitalism and Free Market? (Read 327 times)

copper member
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I don't want to go to that direction mate, that there is some conspiracy to dilute the meaning of inflation. Because, in economics, we studied all of it, and take the best words to explain the phenomenon. As long as we agree that inflation is about "a general increase in prices and fall in the purchasing value of money." --according to the Oxford Dictionary. Then what causes the decrease in the value of money can be many things:
* Increases money supply;
* Loss in confidence on a particular government;
* Supply/demand shock.

For example, for the same reason, about better-explaining things, mainstream economists reject the objective theory and labor theory of value.
STT
legendary
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According to Bitcointalk school of economics?


Dictionary definitions prior to the Federal reserve act show inflation is expansion of the monetary base.   Since then politics eclipsed economics and we believe anything is possible, fundamentals  matter less then what we perceive hence prices are inflation now though that too has changed so we dont have any common reference over decades.
   We cant have peak FIAT occurring now if we arent fully committed to the castle in the sky, its real I can touch it and it'll probably fall or change significantly.   Imo its going to occur in my lifetime because the story started decades ago so its not some avant-garde prediction to expect an accumulation in effects that cause change.

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If someone can dig out an ancient text book and look it up that'd work too.
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inflation
Is the expansion of the monetary base.
According to Bitcointalk school of economics?

Neither the Austrian nor the mainstream said that inflation is solely about printing money.

The Austrian view is about the system as a whole, about the price changes due to the money supply changes, while the mainstream says that it is correct in the long run. Still, both said it's about price changes.

Without acknowledging such a simple term, people cannot learn more about inflation in mainstream (real-world) economics, e.g., core inflation, demand-pull, cost-push, wage push, etc. https://www.economicshelp.org/blog/2656/inflation/different-types-of-inflation/

So when people see the price increases inflation even after seasonality adjustment, it is not necessarily because of central banks playing with the money supply. Remember M v / Y = P, even if v and Y are pretty stable, it still can change (in the short run) due to various reasons.
https://www.economicshelp.org/macroeconomics/inflation/monetarist-theory-inflation/



Is it possible to achieve a price balance in the market through aggregate supply and aggregate demand?
Did you mean equilibrium? Well, in macroeconomics, when you plot AD and SRAS, you will get the equilibrium point. But this is not about one single price or price discovery like in microeconomics.

If it's about market equilibrium, then read about "Notes on equilibrium."
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/e/equilibrium.asp

If the free market system does not fail, of course, state intervention will not be used as a way to accelerate economic balance, which ends in a red carpet leading to the second world war.
The problem is the free market (laissez-faire) was never fully implemented, not even before the great depression. Like you said, maybe it is just a utopia since humans are bad, so the idea of the (humane) self-interest is irrational.

Anyway,

There are still lots of beers here. Anyone else cares to join the discussion? lol
legendary
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What is more efficient than the market mechanism?
From your question, I realize that it is not the market that is ineffective and inefficient but the normative values of trade that are violated by the culprit. The nature of free value, free value in a free market is less appropriate because economics is the subject's behavior, which is strongly influenced by the values and the environment that surrounds it. The behavior is not constant, but it is very dynamic and always changes according to the dynamics of the socio-economic order of society. The order of values of justice in the economic field is needed in order to support balance and equality.

Even though economic norms have been introduced, because basically human nature is never satisfied, and there are always good vs. bad, an honest, fair, and wise supervisor or regulator is needed. And the need to separate sectors related to the interests of the lives of many people so as not to be privatized.

Is it possible to achieve a price balance in the market through aggregate supply and aggregate demand?


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How the great depression is the evidence of the failure of the free market system? What happened in the great depression?
Simple answers to the early history of the role of the state began to be accepted again in the market mechanism is after the great depression. So I conclude that the free market system failed. If the free market system does not fail, of course, state intervention will not be used as a way to accelerate economic balance, which ends in a red carpet leading to the second world war.

Along with the development of the American industry in the aftermath of the first world war, there was a change in consumption lifestyle by means of credit which caused the production of luxury goods to increase. There was a lot of demand but not based on real money, this included over demand.

The stock market boom spurred, individuals and entrepreneurs aggressively invest their money in shares with the belief that buying shares is a guarantee of profits because of the relatively rising prices. Producers who want to get more money to invest ramp up, which in turn causes oversupply. Eventually, an imbalance occurs where the number of offers is higher than the amount of demand.

A free market plus a speculative boom in the stock market plus the practice of buying on margin plus a credit system with interest causes disaster.
legendary
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Austrian:
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when a government increases the quantity of paper money, the result is that the purchasing power of the monetary unit begins to drop, and so prices rise. This is called inflation.

Unfortunately, in the United States, as well as in other countries, some people prefer to attribute the cause of inflation not to an increase in the quantity of money but, rather, to the rise in prices.
Source: https://mises.org/library/inflation

Mainstream:
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In the long run, inflation is caused by growth in the money supply. Inflation, the rate of growth in the average level of prices, can vary over the short run for many reasons. Over the long run, however, the rate at which the central bank (the Federal Reserve System in the United States) causes the stock of money to grow determines what the inflation rate is.
Source: Williamson, Macroeconomics 6th ed, Pearson

I think Mises' view is more biased, or he wants to emphasize "printing money" in his lecture. The evidence why the mainstream definition of inflation is more accurate is in the short run, for example, on Islamic fasting month (in the Islamic majority country), inflation will be high not because of printing money stuff, but because an increase in demand since people tend to eat more quality/complete foods during that period.
https://journal.umy.ac.id/index.php/esp/article/view/6576

i'm only talking about the long run, and tbh these two quotes say the same thing to me---basically the monetary theory of inflation. it's pretty well accepted that all else equal increasing the money supply will eventually increase prices. the demand side economic view is that increasing the money supply is fine since we get adequate (if not equivalent) growth and thus stable/low price inflation. the austrian view is that this is only a temporary phenomenon before depressions wipe out all that growth.

i wasn't lobbying for one or the other, just distinguishing between the two schools of thought, and remarking that a predictably low and static emission rate may be a third approach. to bring up monero again---over the long term, its emission rate is firmly in between bitcoin's and the fed's target inflation rate. it seems like a good compromise between velocity (hoarding) and unchecked price inflation (increasing the money supply without equivalent growth).

the fundamental problem presently is that people are spending less money on goods and services, due to high unemployment and lack of confidence in the future.

we already have a problem of too much productivity. there is no demand for the current level of productivity, which is why there are so many layoffs happening. you can't get people to buy stuff they don't want just by making more of it.
Well, since economics is a social science, there's no such thing as binary yes or no, let's spin it shall we
Needs or wants are not equal to demand.

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Demand is an economic principle referring to a consumer's desire to purchase goods and services and willingness to pay a price for a specific good or service.
Source: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/d/demand.asp

As long as people are still alive and healthy, people will always need products and services, but they are unable or unwilling to pay at a particular price level. Hence, the idea is to keep producing because more supply will lower the price, with the hope that people can or willing to pay at the new price level.

that necessarily means businesses make less money. those with small margins already may become unprofitable entirely.

people with ample savings and continuing income will gladly scoop up discounted prices, but they are the people who haven't changed their spending habits. it's the unemployed/partially employed/failing business owners, who no longer have income to buy even at deflated prices, that are the issue. that's a huge chunk of the economy presently.

anyway, i'm just pointing out what i think could happen, not trying to predict doomsday or lobby for the austrian side. i'm both ambivalent and indifferent about deep monetary theory---too many unknowns for me to contemplate all that seriously. i simply don't know what's gonna happen re the current recession and future inflation either.
STT
legendary
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The mistake would be thinking this is something new, money has been devalued many times previous.   We're just repeating things here and the technology and some terms are new due to sophisticated markets but the base idea to create new money is not new and I presume all the effects will follow historical precedent also.

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inflation
Is the expansion of the monetary base.   Prices will always vary, by season and supply and demand but that does not reflect the value alteration of the dollar itself.   Problem is modern economics teaches many different things now, I'll just say the simplest you can get a rule the more likely it will be true.   So thats it for me, just that first sentence is enough to describe it.   Fractional reserve will alter the amount of currency in circulation according to monetary velocity I think so its a confusing subject, our view is not clear.    Statistics and hedonics will adjust raw price data to reflect inflation as measured and reported by government, technology does account for alot of why inflation has not been reported as a problem thus far.   

My take is we diverged from capitalism a long time ago and this is the tail end of that game perhaps this virus forcing a natural contraction has lit the touchpaper because you cant really fail to acknowledge that loss.   I dont know how long it'll take till we reach the end game and some kind of reset but hopefully not too long or it'll just add more waste.   
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there are two types of inflation---monetary inflation and price inflation.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monetary_inflation
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inflation
Still, the citation from Wikipedia is weak.
the fundamental problem presently is that people are spending less money on goods and services, due to high unemployment and lack of confidence in the future.

we already have a problem of too much productivity. there is no demand for the current level of productivity, which is why there are so many layoffs happening. you can't get people to buy stuff they don't want just by making more of it.
Well, since economics is a social science, there's no such thing as binary yes or no, let's spin it shall we
Needs or wants are not equal to demand.

Only now you noticed it?
Yes, "I'm an idiot sandwich."

On the flip side letting the market operate freely, would leave the economy stagnant for a period of time. Spendings would remain low and businesses would lose out, I can't tell how long it would take for the market to recover.
What if economics is like mother nature? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=emvV1rdzlwo

@fabiorem @gantez, a country that allows guns, is a Marlboro country.

When you help people, those people spend the money on companies and companies profit anyway. If you pay it to companies directly, they just pay themselves bonuses. So, at the end of the day america is still a big capitalist country, the biggest capitalist country in the world, and even if it doesn't work they are brainwashed and will continue to be one.
Ah I remember watching/reading this case somewhere, is it the 2008 bailouts?
legendary
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i suppose a 3rd idea would reinforce the notion that it isn't inflation per se that's the problem, but rather unpredictable and high inflation. i've heard convincing arguments that a 0.5% or 1% perpetual, but unquestionably stable/predictable inflation (like monero's tail emission) is superior to bitcoin's fixed supply dynamic.
Inflation != Increase money supply mate

there are two types of inflation---monetary inflation and price inflation.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monetary_inflation
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inflation

they are directly related:

Perhaps the focus should be to increase productivity (more goods and services), not to tweak the emission rates.

the fundamental problem presently is that people are spending less money on goods and services, due to high unemployment and lack of confidence in the future.

we already have a problem of too much productivity. there is no demand for the current level of productivity, which is why there are so many layoffs happening. you can't get people to buy stuff they don't want just by making more of it.
legendary
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This was done during a pandemic period and I doubt it would continue forever. But even in a pandemic situation they helped companies more than they helped people and we all have seen how useless that is. Trump actually has three tweets about how stock market moved above 25k, one in 2018, one in 2019 and one recently, he talked about how awesome stock markets are going by pointing out the three same levels and doesn't even realize it.

When you help people, those people spend the money on companies and companies profit anyway. If you pay it to companies directly, they just pay themselves bonuses. So, at the end of the day america is still a big capitalist country, the biggest capitalist country in the world, and even if it doesn't work they are brainwashed and will continue to be one.
full member
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Only now you noticed it?

The US is a socialist country for a long time already. Their government still allows people to have guns, though.

But I was thinking a country that allows for guns is more like a liberal country and not socialist  Grin

I have heard and read that US is a presidential system where there are checks and balances and not socialist that is centralized.
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The world economy is passing a crisis moment when most of the business men have locked their shutter and producers have stopped their production and there by they are losing huge profit. You should know that world's export and import have declined below 50%. So, the govt. and central banks are trying to up rise this declining economy by providing loan, incentives and subsidy etc. to the business men, producers etc. In such special moments, it is necessary of the govt. to interfere and regulate the market. All these steps are for the benefit of the free market economy, not for changing the capitalism system.  I think, when this pandemic situation will over, free-market will go freely and no question will be aroused on the existence of pure capitalism.       
legendary
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* What do you think? It seems like the US is moving closer to central planning since the government decides to interfere with the free-market.

The modern free market is not absolutely free, never been. Capitalism was never about absolute freedom in the market. It was about fair competition and equal opportunity for all. This freedom has always been within the bounds of laws, regulations, and other perimeters.  

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* At the time of this pandemic, should the government let the market regulate itself?

No, not absolutely. There is always what we call public interest. The capitalist market is profit-oriented. Somehow, the government has a responsibility to make sure that such a goal will not be to the detriment of the overall society.  

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* What is the rule of the government in this "new capitalist" system? Should it be called "pure capitalism?"

Of course, not. The "leave alone" preference of laissez-faire is simply impossible to implement. But this does not mean that the government will take over private firms. They will just intervene whenever necessary. After all, they have the largest stake in the society.  
legendary
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What if the interventions make the situation worse than let the economy free as is, and let the invisible hand regulate the economy?
Well, a government intervention would be through QE, providing stimulus for SMEs and support for major players etc. There are quite a number of downsides to this; Inflation notably. This would have a domino effect, the value of cash would be reduced and people who have them stashed up in savings' accounts gets poorer. Assets would also spike in price.
This could also create an unequal market, and create a design that would shortchange some businesses. These would further adversely affect the economy and the recovery process would be slow.

On the flip side letting the market operate freely, would leave the economy stagnant for a period of time. Spendings would remain low and businesses would lose out, I can't tell how long it would take for the market to recover.
sr. member
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Only now you noticed it?

The US is a socialist country for a long time already. Their government still allows people to have guns, though.
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^ Let me explain my opinion, every society has a different centralized political system. Decentralized governance can only be done at the lower levels of a government's political system but it cannot be at the high levels of the political system. Because this high-level political system can only handle public administration. What each society should do is establish a balanced and rational system of centralization and decentralized relationships in each society. Because we all know that the world is constantly changing and this is a process that we will never be able to stop.
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i suppose a 3rd idea would reinforce the notion that it isn't inflation per se that's the problem, but rather unpredictable and high inflation. i've heard convincing arguments that a 0.5% or 1% perpetual, but unquestionably stable/predictable inflation (like monero's tail emission) is superior to bitcoin's fixed supply dynamic.
Inflation != Increase money supply mate
Perhaps the focus should be to increase productivity (more goods and services), not to tweak the emission rates.

The rich are too rich, and the poor are faced with huge problems with both money and work during the coronavirus.
In a socialist country, the rich (the regime) will be filthy rich, and the poor (the ordinary people) will be so miserable. There's no way they can get out of that situation, unlike in capitalism, where everyone can try their luck as entrepreneurs.
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 actually, we should not be too important what it is, it is important that the US now needs to do everything to revive their economy. capitalism has made people really unable to survive this epidemic and what is certain is that the government must get involved. they need to adjust their economy so that people will not suffer badly in the coming months. maybe they will change many policies in Capitalism but only in the short term.
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Any society, despite the various political systems existing in them, is centralized. Decentralization of management is partially possible only at the local level, the higher this level, the greater the degree of centralization of public administration. The task of each society is to establish a reasonable balance between centralization and decentralization of social relations.
Of course, our world is constantly changing and this process is continuous. There is no alternative to the current social order. At the same time, we understand that they are already outdated and an update is needed.
hero member
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There will definitely not be centralized planning in the USA, but here I see the noticeable spread of certain features of socialism, personally, for sure. The rich are too rich, and the poor are faced with huge problems with both money and work during the coronavirus.
legendary
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Doubt it. Right now, they are so much divided that they even made wearing a mask a political thing. Think about it, there are people in USA right now who thinks if you wear a mask you are a liberal and vote for the democrat party. And they are not wrong neither, most of the non-mask people are republicans but there are tons of people who wear masks and vote for both parties as well.

You know why? Because, they are not idiots and they realize that if you do not wear the mask you may end up DEAD. So, when a country is divided about wearing a mask to stay safe or not wearing a mask and risking death how could you expect them to change anything as major as capitalism. That country doesn't even make health a social policy, like if you have money you can live but if you are poor and don't have money you might as well die.
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