I would guess that there are no teams that would lead the league in a mathematically nearly impossible to lose like this that ended up losing. I wager that if Napoli ends up selling ALL their players and just field 18 year old or under kids for the rest of the games, they will still not lose the title.
Not because they would win a lot more games, but because I do not think that other teams would end up earning more than 18 point difference during the same period. This is done, this was done a long time ago, it is not just recently done, it has been pretty much guaranteed that they would win when the difference became over 12 points and this is just over at this point.
Topic: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) - page 2019. (Read 857175 times)
But that is extremely theoretical! 
Because it is based on the assumption that Napoli loses six games while the 2nd wins every single game that is to be played from now on. For every game that the teams behind Napoli lose, Napoli can also lose another game. Given how the table looks like right now, I would argue that even every draw is like a win for Napoli. Every single point helps them keep the distance even when the other teams win five games in a row. Also, there are a lot of games between the contenders as well. Roma is against Lazio and Inter is against Juventus this weekend. They will dropping points no matter what. Inter is actually facing every team from the top except for AC Milan. Sorry but there is no way this can still take a turn.
Considering how often teams from the top of the standings lose points, we can already congratulate Napoli on winning Serie A. 18 points is too big a gap, besides that Napoli are still in great shape and do not even show signs that they can drop points in Serie A. Well actually Inter don't have to play Juventus to lose points, they can do that with any team, Lazio and Milan are even less stable in this regard. Because it is based on the assumption that Napoli loses six games while the 2nd wins every single game that is to be played from now on. For every game that the teams behind Napoli lose, Napoli can also lose another game. Given how the table looks like right now, I would argue that even every draw is like a win for Napoli. Every single point helps them keep the distance even when the other teams win five games in a row. Also, there are a lot of games between the contenders as well. Roma is against Lazio and Inter is against Juventus this weekend. They will dropping points no matter what. Inter is actually facing every team from the top except for AC Milan. Sorry but there is no way this can still take a turn. Anyway, even though Napoli still have the chance to lose in the next few matches but still, Napoli's position is too difficult to catch. Because even though it is assumed that Napoli will lose, the defeats that are experienced will certainly not continue because in reality, Napoli still has good performance so far.
So, if the assumption is that Napoli will lose in a row then that is an incorrect assumption, because it is impossible as a team that is on fire to get consecutive defeats. Unless the assumption about getting a few defeats is still an assumption that can happen, although in the end Napoli will certainly maintain its good performance until the season ends.
Yes, it's true, in football nothing is impossible even though it is a very long distance, as long as there is a chance then it can happen, it's just that the difference is maybe the percentage of chances that other teams have to catch Napoli. But the bottom line is how Napoli rarely drop points this season, that's what makes them free to win the title early. I don't think defeat will make them panic with that big difference, just don't let it happen because they have to show that they are ready with the Scudetto title now.
Currently Napoli only need 6 more wins to lock in the Serie A title this season. If Napoli manage to do that in 6 match in a row then they will be sure to win the title regardless of what Inter's chances are. I will no longer hope that Inter will be able to get Napoli, 18 points is too big to chase.Napoli will seal their Scudetto sooner than any other team this season in any league, so ignore Inter's chances even if they also have hope mathematically. Inter, Lazio, Milan and Roma just need to focus on staying in the top 4 and fighting for a place in the Champions League next season. For the rest, Napoli will be safe.
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18 points is an impossible distance to cover in my opinion, and I think we can say that Napoli will win the Scudetto title this season without finishing until the end of the season. It took a few more points for them to be able to claim that they were truly champions. this week they will face Torino and it will be 3 points for them and add to their collection of points in the standings. Impressive what Napoli has shown this season.
Theoretically, nothing is impossible, even the 18 points. But the whole point about Napoli is they are performing better than you think and they are rarely losing any points, during this season they lost only two games while in most of the other matches, they had they usually won the game with good results that's the reason sot say they are not a team to lose this amount of points in the Serie A games with the current situation.While nothing is impossible in football, I think it is impossible for other teams to close the 18-point gap with Napoli this season. Firstly I would say Napoli is the most consistent team in Serie A. And since the beginning of the season, this team has been performing well in every match. And the performances of teams like Inter Milan, or Roma are erratic.
Secondly, I would say that the teams will probably play only 12 more matches. And it is impossible to close the gap of 18 points in just 12 matches. As Napoli is in good form. So it is very unlikely that they will lose 7/8 matches out of 12 matches.
18 points is an impossible distance to cover in my opinion, and I think we can say that Napoli will win the Scudetto title this season without finishing until the end of the season. It took a few more points for them to be able to claim that they were truly champions. this week they will face Torino and it will be 3 points for them and add to their collection of points in the standings. Impressive what Napoli has shown this season.
Theoretically, nothing is impossible, even the 18 points. But the whole point about Napoli is they are performing better than you think and they are rarely losing any points, during this season they lost only two games while in most of the other matches, they had they usually won the game with good results that's the reason sot say they are not a team to lose this amount of points in the Serie A games with the current situation.
Considering how often teams from the top of the standings lose points, we can already congratulate Napoli on winning Serie A. 18 points is too big a gap, besides that Napoli are still in great shape and do not even show signs that they can drop points in Serie A. Well actually Inter don't have to play Juventus to lose points, they can do that with any team, Lazio and Milan are even less stable in this regard.
18 points more than a second club and there are only 12 matches left in Serie A. Napoli only need to win 6 more matches or even just 5 more matches to take Scudetto because other clubs less likely will win next 5 or 6 matches. Therefore Napoli won't have to gain maximal points in next 5 to 6 matches to have Scudetto.They have a beauty season with strong performance and with sexy football. They are like another version of Netherlands storm in Serie A with totaalvoetbal. Like in a match with Frankfurt, at the first ball kick-off, Napoli only reserved two central defenders at their side and other players run quickly towards Frankfurt side.
Source image: 433 (Instagram)
Source data: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/soccer-predictions/serie-a/
Napoli's chances of becoming Serie A champions are >99% and it's true that there are only a few matches left to determine the scudetto trophy this season. Looking at Napoli's performance this season, maybe there are many clubs in Serie A who don't expect it and can even continue to be consistent to win. Coach Luciano Spalletti is the figure who has brought Napoli success so far and it seems that the Napoli management will have to extend his contract because the duration of his contract will end this season.
It's funny to see chances for all other clubs are at 1% and they are not different in eyes of bookmakers. They are all same weaker than Napoli in this season.
I wonder if there is a statistic available summarizing the biggest wastes of huge leads after tho thirds of the season or so. I can't recall and I also don't think that there was ever a team that gave away the title when they already led by 18 points after 26 games. I have tried to find something but it's hard to even phrase the question.
But this has never happened, I am sure about that. Everything would have to fail from now on for Napoli. If anyone knows anything about a spectacular comeback or failure of a leading team, would be nice if it's shared here.
Considering how often teams from the top of the standings lose points, we can already congratulate Napoli on winning Serie A. 18 points is too big a gap, besides that Napoli are still in great shape and do not even show signs that they can drop points in Serie A. Well actually Inter don't have to play Juventus to lose points, they can do that with any team, Lazio and Milan are even less stable in this regard.
18 points more than a second club and there are only 12 matches left in Serie A. Napoli only need to win 6 more matches or even just 5 more matches to take Scudetto because other clubs less likely will win next 5 or 6 matches. Therefore Napoli won't have to gain maximal points in next 5 to 6 matches to have Scudetto.They have a beauty season with strong performance and with sexy football. They are like another version of Netherlands storm in Serie A with totaalvoetbal. Like in a match with Frankfurt, at the first ball kick-off, Napoli only reserved two central defenders at their side and other players run quickly towards Frankfurt side.
Source image: 433 (Instagram)
Source data: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/soccer-predictions/serie-a/
Napoli's chances of becoming Serie A champions are >99% and it's true that there are only a few matches left to determine the scudetto trophy this season. Looking at Napoli's performance this season, maybe there are many clubs in Serie A who don't expect it and can even continue to be consistent to win. Coach Luciano Spalletti is the figure who has brought Napoli success so far and it seems that the Napoli management will have to extend his contract because the duration of his contract will end this season.
It's funny to see chances for all other clubs are at 1% and they are not different in eyes of bookmakers. They are all same weaker than Napoli in this season.
But that is extremely theoretical! Because it is based on the assumption that Napoli loses six games while the 2nd wins every single game that is to be played from now on. For every game that the teams behind Napoli lose, Napoli can also lose another game. Given how the table looks like right now, I would argue that even every draw is like a win for Napoli. Every single point helps them keep the distance even when the other teams win five games in a row. Also, there are a lot of games between the contenders as well. Roma is against Lazio and Inter is against Juventus this weekend. They will dropping points no matter what. Inter is actually facing every team from the top except for AC Milan. Sorry but there is no way this can still take a turn.
Considering how often teams from the top of the standings lose points, we can already congratulate Napoli on winning Serie A. 18 points is too big a gap, besides that Napoli are still in great shape and do not even show signs that they can drop points in Serie A. Well actually Inter don't have to play Juventus to lose points, they can do that with any team, Lazio and Milan are even less stable in this regard. Because it is based on the assumption that Napoli loses six games while the 2nd wins every single game that is to be played from now on. For every game that the teams behind Napoli lose, Napoli can also lose another game. Given how the table looks like right now, I would argue that even every draw is like a win for Napoli. Every single point helps them keep the distance even when the other teams win five games in a row. Also, there are a lot of games between the contenders as well. Roma is against Lazio and Inter is against Juventus this weekend. They will dropping points no matter what. Inter is actually facing every team from the top except for AC Milan. Sorry but there is no way this can still take a turn. But Serie A is still very competitive. Because several teams continue to fight to qualify for the Champions League. Roma, Atalanta, Milan, and Juventus are now fighting for fourth place in the table.
Surely no team can win the Seria A title other than Napoli, they have been waiting for 33 years, but very soon their 33 years wait for a Scudetto would be over. The top four challenge is where my interest is now, none of the teams challenging for it are consistent, so it is very hard to predict the other three teams that will join Napoli in the top four. Juventus have done very well since 15 points were deducted from them, but i don't think they can make it into the top four this season. But Juventus still has a chance of qualifying for the champions league, and that is if they are able to win the Europa league, that is the competition they have to focus on now.The way Juventus continued to perform well despite losing 15 points is admirable. AC Milan team is now fourth in the points table. And Juventus are only 10 points behind Milan. However, the performances of Milan, Roma, and Atalanta are now very erratic. And so Juventus has the potential to be in the top 4 of the table if they are able to continue their consistently good performances. But it won't be easy for Juventus. Because the Juventus team is also fighting to win the Europa League title. It is very difficult to sustain consistently good performance in both places.
Juventus has no other choice if they want to play in UCL next season except doing all their best in both Serie A to finish at top 4 and/or to win the UEL. I am not sure what is in Allegri's mind, which one he will be focused on. Is he focusing on both or he is choosing one of the 2 possible ways. If he is focusing on one only, which one he thinks is having better chance?
I think Serie A is much better in this comparison
There is Milan or even Lazio who could be eliminate from the top 4, but they have to compete with Roma who also have similar ambitions. Meanwhile in UEL, currently there are teams that are in their best performance, such as Arsenal, Man Utd, Union Berlin, and even AS Roma, this is inverse proportional to the situation of Juventus
18 points is an impossible distance to cover in my opinion, and I think we can say that Napoli will win the Scudetto title this season without finishing until the end of the season. It took a few more points for them to be able to claim that they were truly champions. this week they will face Torino and it will be 3 points for them and add to their collection of points in the standings. Impressive what Napoli has shown this season.
Naples is indeed very extraordinary. Even if Napoli continue their consistency this season until the end of the season, I think even next season Napoli will continue their positive trend. At least in the next player transfer season that will be a change for every team. And if Napoli can maintain the composition of the players they currently have, then I'm pretty sure even next season Napoli will return to lead at the top of the standings.Even though teams like Inter and Milan previously won the Scudetto, the reality is that they couldn't maintain their good performance in the following season. Especially about Napoli, I doubt their positive trend will continue in the next season because after all, there will always be reshuffles in their squad which of course these teams in Serie A will find it difficult to maintain the positive trend they currently have.
Indeed, in football anything can happen and for me, if Napoli can still play well in the next season, then I believe that it will be difficult for Napoli to get the consistency that is as good as it is at the moment. Therefore, even if for example Napoli can still play well next season, I'm sure Napoli will only be a team in the top four but not a strong candidate to win the Scudetto for the second time in a row.
18 points is an impossible distance to cover in my opinion, and I think we can say that Napoli will win the Scudetto title this season without finishing until the end of the season. It took a few more points for them to be able to claim that they were truly champions. this week they will face Torino and it will be 3 points for them and add to their collection of points in the standings. Impressive what Napoli has shown this season.
Source image: 433 (Instagram)
Source data: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/soccer-predictions/serie-a/
Napoli's chances of becoming Serie A champions are >99% and it's true that there are only a few matches left to determine the scudetto trophy this season. Looking at Napoli's performance this season, maybe there are many clubs in Serie A who don't expect it and can even continue to be consistent to win. Coach Luciano Spalletti is the figure who has brought Napoli success so far and it seems that the Napoli management will have to extend his contract because the duration of his contract will end this season.
18 points is an impossible distance to cover in my opinion, and I think we can say that Napoli will win the Scudetto title this season without finishing until the end of the season. It took a few more points for them to be able to claim that they were truly champions. this week they will face Torino and it will be 3 points for them and add to their collection of points in the standings. Impressive what Napoli has shown this season.
Theoretically, nothing is impossible, even the 18 points. But the whole point about Napoli is they are performing better than you think and they are rarely losing any points, during this season they lost only two games while in most of the other matches, they had they usually won the game with good results that's the reason sot say they are not a team to lose this amount of points in the Serie A games with the current situation.
But that is extremely theoretical!
Because it is based on the assumption that Napoli loses six games while the 2nd wins every single game that is to be played from now on. For every game that the teams behind Napoli lose, Napoli can also lose another game. Given how the table looks like right now, I would argue that even every draw is like a win for Napoli. Every single point helps them keep the distance even when the other teams win five games in a row. Also, there are a lot of games between the contenders as well. Roma is against Lazio and Inter is against Juventus this weekend. They will dropping points no matter what. Inter is actually facing every team from the top except for AC Milan. Sorry but there is no way this can still take a turn. 
But Serie A is still very competitive. Because several teams continue to fight to qualify for the Champions League. Roma, Atalanta, Milan, and Juventus are now fighting for fourth place in the table.
Surely no team can win the Seria A title other than Napoli, they have been waiting for 33 years, but very soon their 33 years wait for a Scudetto would be over. The top four challenge is where my interest is now, none of the teams challenging for it are consistent, so it is very hard to predict the other three teams that will join Napoli in the top four. Juventus have done very well since 15 points were deducted from them, but i don't think they can make it into the top four this season. But Juventus still has a chance of qualifying for the champions league, and that is if they are able to win the Europa league, that is the competition they have to focus on now.The way Juventus continued to perform well despite losing 15 points is admirable. AC Milan team is now fourth in the points table. And Juventus are only 10 points behind Milan. However, the performances of Milan, Roma, and Atalanta are now very erratic. And so Juventus has the potential to be in the top 4 of the table if they are able to continue their consistently good performances. But it won't be easy for Juventus. Because the Juventus team is also fighting to win the Europa League title. It is very difficult to sustain consistently good performance in both places.
Juventus has no other choice if they want to play in UCL next season except doing all their best in both Serie A to finish at top 4 and/or to win the UEL. I am not sure what is in Allegri's mind, which one he will be focused on. Is he focusing on both or he is choosing one of the 2 possible ways. If he is focusing on one only, which one he thinks is having better chance?
I think Serie A is much better in this comparison
There is Milan or even Lazio who could be eliminate from the top 4, but they have to compete with Roma who also have similar ambitions. Meanwhile in UEL, currently there are teams that are in their best performance, such as Arsenal, Man Utd, Union Berlin, and even AS Roma, this is inverse proportional to the situation of Juventus
This weekend we got a derby match between Lazio vs Roma and very interesting to watched because in the last 5 meetings there were no draw results between them which mean both of teams can defeated each other and if we talking about recent performance it showed Lazio is more consistent than Roma and these are the odds for them
Lazio @2.75
Roma @2.85
On the last matches surprisingly Roma lost from Sassuolo and Lazio conditions also not so different that they have to share points with Bologna and failed to overtake Inter position and Mourinho still unable to accompany Roma because of suspension and this is not good because very often Roma performing badly without Mounrinho and for this match too probably Lazio will be the winner of this match especially Roma had poor records while playing at Lazio home ground that they got 2 consecutive lose at that time
Of course, it will be interesting because both of them don't want to lose points in that game, so the odds given by bookie are also not too far from each other because in the current table their gap is also very close. But Lazio who will be playing at home will motivate them to win, also you're right about Lazio being consistent and better if compared with Roma. So in my opinion it is very possible this match will be won by the home team Lazio, hopefully. Lazio @2.75
Roma @2.85
On the last matches surprisingly Roma lost from Sassuolo and Lazio conditions also not so different that they have to share points with Bologna and failed to overtake Inter position and Mourinho still unable to accompany Roma because of suspension and this is not good because very often Roma performing badly without Mounrinho and for this match too probably Lazio will be the winner of this match especially Roma had poor records while playing at Lazio home ground that they got 2 consecutive lose at that time
18 points is an impossible distance to cover in my opinion, and I think we can say that Napoli will win the Scudetto title this season without finishing until the end of the season. It took a few more points for them to be able to claim that they were truly champions. this week they will face Torino and it will be 3 points for them and add to their collection of points in the standings. Impressive what Napoli has shown this season.
Theoretically, nothing is impossible, even the 18 points. But the whole point about Napoli is they are performing better than you think and they are rarely losing any points, during this season they lost only two games while in most of the other matches, they had they usually won the game with good results that's the reason sot say they are not a team to lose this amount of points in the Serie A games with the current situation.
18 points is an impossible distance to cover in my opinion, and I think we can say that Napoli will win the Scudetto title this season without finishing until the end of the season. It took a few more points for them to be able to claim that they were truly champions. this week they will face Torino and it will be 3 points for them and add to their collection of points in the standings. Impressive what Napoli has shown this season.
Naples is indeed very extraordinary. Even if Napoli continue their consistency this season until the end of the season, I think even next season Napoli will continue their positive trend. At least in the next player transfer season that will be a change for every team. And if Napoli can maintain the composition of the players they currently have, then I'm pretty sure even next season Napoli will return to lead at the top of the standings. 
18 points is an impossible distance to cover in my opinion, and I think we can say that Napoli will win the Scudetto title this season without finishing until the end of the season. It took a few more points for them to be able to claim that they were truly champions. this week they will face Torino and it will be 3 points for them and add to their collection of points in the standings. Impressive what Napoli has shown this season.
Yes, that is an impossible thing for the team under him, the more than 18 points collected until today is a distance that they might not have imagined they could get that far at the start of the season. Against Torino who are in 8th place I think it's quite easy to beat Torino for Napoli, Torino's last two wins are quite good but it looks like Napoli will stop their victory in their match. The last 11 weeks of all matches have of course become a natural claim for Napoli as the scudetto winner this season. Entering Napoli into parlay betting is a sure thing. But Serie A is still very competitive. Because several teams continue to fight to qualify for the Champions League. Roma, Atalanta, Milan, and Juventus are now fighting for fourth place in the table.
Surely no team can win the Seria A title other than Napoli, they have been waiting for 33 years, but very soon their 33 years wait for a Scudetto would be over. The top four challenge is where my interest is now, none of the teams challenging for it are consistent, so it is very hard to predict the other three teams that will join Napoli in the top four. Juventus have done very well since 15 points were deducted from them, but i don't think they can make it into the top four this season. But Juventus still has a chance of qualifying for the champions league, and that is if they are able to win the Europa league, that is the competition they have to focus on now.
18 points is an impossible distance to cover in my opinion, and I think we can say that Napoli will win the Scudetto title this season without finishing until the end of the season. It took a few more points for them to be able to claim that they were truly champions. this week they will face Torino and it will be 3 points for them and add to their collection of points in the standings. Impressive what Napoli has shown this season.
~snip~
Juventus have done very well since 15 points were deducted from them, but i don't think they can make it into the top four this season. But Juventus still has a chance of qualifying for the champions league, and that is if they are able to win the Europa league, that is the competition they have to focus on now.Juve has everything it takes, in my opinion, to finish in the top four. They've already proven they're able to persevere through adversity and emerge successful. Is there any reason they couldn't pull off a double by also taking home the Europa League trophy?
Nothing is ever completely impossible, but it won't be simple. However, Juventus is the type of team that has the courage to pull it off. They're a fearless bunch of players with championship aspirations.
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