I know as well as you do that me trying to talk my book gets nothing done in the grand scheme of things, so you can take your theory about me and shove it straight up your ass. I don't talk my agenda, I say what I believe is going to happen. As I said above, I have been long more than not, and the whole time still conveyed my views.
Have a nice day, douchebags!
I wasn't necessarily referring to you, RyNinDaCleM. Although I've certainly read highly questionable content from you before, but that's neither here nor there.
As far as labeling yourself bearish in your signature, that's HIGHLY suspect. Discounting mega flash-crashes or short-term corrections which are temporary in the grand scheme of things and can happen at any time, anyone mid-to-long-term bearish in bitcoin with all of the growth bicoin has achieved and two months prior to a supply halving that takes place once every four years either has an agenda or are a few fries short of a happy meal
I'll explain for anyone wondering, again.
Maybe this post should be pinned so that I'm not called a troll or shill (whatever the hell that means).
It should not be suspect that I have a bearish stance for a midterm time frame. I have had the same view (with minor alterations along the way) for 2 years. I had my thread where I forecasted lower low after lower low on the way down to $152. I then posted a chart that has made its way through a few posts and quoted by others which resembled this count and expected path. It has changed very little over the last year except as I said in an earlier post here, about the time it has taken.
That is what I would call a mid term outlook. Since $152, I was short-mid term bullish for the duration of my proposed (B) wave. Longer-mid term bearish, and since day one in 2011, Bullish long term on the ideas of Bitcoin. Bitcoin being number one, but never 100% convinced that it would be the final iteration of blockchain tech. Awesome if it is, but myspace was cool until it wasn't. We all know Bitcoin has its problems and I would be ecstatic if they were fixed so that an "altcoin" doesn't replace it.
My longer mid term PoV can still change, but NOTHING as of yet has me questioning my stance and projection for my proposed remainder of the correction since $1200. I could never be ranked with the likes of the falllling crowd or one of the multitude of 5 rand char users that grace this board daily with one liner OP's. I always (99% of the time) give thoughtful responses and rational reasoning to my views. Perhaps my definition of "rational" is different from yours, but as someone who has very little at risk in either direction we head next, I feel that I have an unbiased opinion. Granted it is often bearish for a long while now, but that is only because my analysis tells me so. I'm not bearish because I want to be, I am because it's what my experience tells me.
As far as halving, It is something that is a known, and has been since January 3, 2009 when Satoshi released the white paper. With 70%+ coins already having been mined, halving has no substantial bearing on anything except a speculation value and as proof of a slowing of inflation. Unless demand rises, halving makes no difference other than to those who make a profit on verifying transactions. Difficulty can drop too! Underwater miners is what can make that happen. I know the chart above isn't what anyone here wants to see, nor is it one they want to believe. It's my take, and halving isn't a guarantee that it won't happen just the same as I don't guarantee that my forecast will happen.
Sorry for the wall of text