Topic: June 28th to July 12th Difficulty thread. Picks are closed!! - page 6. (Read 6696 times)

Might want to adjust the title if picks are closed.

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http://btc.blockr.io/charts

6-28-2015  145 blocks 144 is normal   but we were partial for sunday.

so  about 108 made  109 norm so >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>  -1

6-29-2015  132 blocks 144 is normal >>>>>>>>>>>>>>   -12    

6-30-2015  146 blocks  144 is normal >>>>>>>>>>>>>  +2
 
7- 1-2015   139 blocks  144 is normal >>>>>>>>>>>>>   -5

7-2-2015    153 blocks  144 is normal >>>>>>>>>>>>> +8
 
7-3-2015    158  blocks 144 is normal >>>>>>>>>>>>> +14

7-4-2015    154 blocks 144 is normal >>>>>>>>>>>>>  +10
total >>>  990  made  normal  976

 this is (+1.43%0

HALF WAY there

My guess is heat, breakdowns, cooling costs  power costs are still pushing diff lower.


http://ehash.com/product/avalon4-mini/   will release soon may do .4 watts a gh.

no word on antminer s-7  




https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

(+1.50%)


BTC/USD: 261---------------------------------  Greek fears will come to head with vote on Sunday  this could really take off if Greece  votes no Collapsing their economy

Adjust time:   After 1003 Blocks, About 6.8 days left.

picks now closed.  At Lboss you are the last pick:



-1.26% to -1.50% --------------------- Lboss
-1.01% to -1.25% --------------------- Philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00% --------------------- alh
-0.51% to -0.75% --------------------  Jamphone
-0.26% to -0.50% --------------------- tlhIlwI
-0.01% to -0.25% --------------------- sloopy
-------   0   ------------------------------ mavericklm
+0.01% to +0.25% ------------------- Finsky
+0.26% to +0.50% ------------------  wlefever
+0.51% to +0.75% ------------------- HerbPean
+0.76% to +1.00% ------------------  Last of The V8s
+1.01% to +1.25% ------------------- edonkey
+1.26% to +1.50% ------------------- ezminer --------------second choice as edonkey picked his first choice.
+1.51% to +1.75% ------------------- tss
+1.76% to +2.00% ------------------- Jonnybravo0311
+2.01% to +2.25% ------------------- Biodom
+2.26% to +2.50% ------------------- valkir
+2.51% to +2.75% ------------------- notlist3d
+2.76% to +3.00% ------------------- SunnyIgor
+3.01% to +3.25% ------------------- zebedee
+3.26% to +3.50% ------------------- wpt1wpt1
+3.51% to +3.75% ------------------- kenscho
+3.76% to +4.00% ------------------- Mikestang
+4.01% to +4.25% ------------------- EternalWingsofGod
+4.26% to +4.50% ------------------- Kexkey

+5.26% to +5.50%-------------------- Amph



All picks are above   we have perfect coverage  from -1.50%  up to +4.50%

Good luck to all.

I want to pick from -1.26% to -1.50%. No chance but just for fun

[]

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

6-28-2015  145 blocks 144 is normal   but we were partial for sunday.

so  about 108 made  109 norm so >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>  -1

6-29-2015  132 blocks 144 is normal >>>>>>>>>>>>>>   -12    

6-30-2015  146 blocks  144 is normal >>>>>>>>>>>>>  +2
 
7- 1-2015   139 blocks  144 is normal >>>>>>>>>>>>>   -5

7-2-2015    153 blocks  144 is normal >>>>>>>>>>>>> +8
 
7-3-2015    158  blocks 144 is normal >>>>>>>>>>>>> +14

total >>>  836  made  normal  832

 this is (+0.48%)

still very  early  …

My guess is heat, breakdowns, cooling costs  power costs are still pushing diff lower.


http://ehash.com/product/avalon4-mini/   will release soon may do .4 watts a gh.

no word on antminer s-7  




https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

(+0.24%)


BTC/USD: 252

Adjust time:   After 1162
 Blocks, About 8.0 days

Still early but bitwisdom slightly going up:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    49,402,014,931
Estimated Next Difficulty:    49,257,353,898 (-0.29%)
Adjust time:    After 1244 Blocks, About 8.7 days
Hashrate(?):    363,217,092 GH/s

Price around 254 slightly going up aswell so equals out

yeah it is pretty good.  I have been doing a thread in the hardware section on sp20's trying to figure out the % that have failed.

I think they are close to 95% alive and 5% dead.

here is a link:

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/been-reading-about-a-lot-of-dying-sp20s-1106042

nice to see that diff. going down :-)

my pick

+3.51% to +3.75%

[]

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

6-28-2015  145 blocks 144 is normal   but we were partial for sunday.

so  about 108 made  109 norm so >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>  -1

6-29-2015  132 blocks 144 is normal >>>>>>>>>>>>>>   -12    

6-30-2015  146 blocks  144 is normal >>>>>>>>>>>>>  +2
 
7- 1-2015   139 blocks  144 is normal >>>>>>>>>>>>>   -5

7-2-2015    153 blocks  144 is normal >>>>>>>>>>>>> +8
 

total >>>  678  made  normal  688

 this is (-1.453%)

still very  early  …

My guess is heat, breakdowns, cooling costs  power costs are still pushing diff lower.


http://ehash.com/product/avalon4-mini/   will release soon may do .4 watts a gh.

no word on antminer s-7  




https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

(-0.57%)


BTC/USD: 255.001

Adjust time:   After 1326
 Blocks, About 9.3 days

-1.26% to -1.50% --------------------- Lboss
-1.01% to -1.25% --------------------- Philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00% --------------------- alh
-0.51% to -0.75% --------------------  Jamphone
-0.26% to -0.50% --------------------- tlhIlwI
-0.01% to -0.25% --------------------- sloopy
-------   0   ------------------------------ mavericklm
+0.01% to +0.25% ------------------- Finsky
+0.26% to +0.50% ------------------  wlefever
+0.51% to +0.75% ------------------- HerbPean
+0.76% to +1.00% ------------------  Last of The V8s
+1.01% to +1.25% ------------------- edonkey
+1.26% to +1.50% ------------------- ezminer --------------second choice as edonkey picked his first choice.
+1.51% to +1.75% ------------------- tss
+1.76% to +2.00% ------------------- Jonnybravo0311
+2.01% to +2.25% ------------------- Biodom
+2.26% to +2.50% ------------------- valkir
+2.51% to +2.75% ------------------- notlist3d
+2.76% to +3.00% ------------------- SunnyIgor
+3.01% to +3.25% ------------------- zebedee
+3.26% to +3.50% ------------------- wpt1wpt1
+3.51% to +3.75% ------------------- kenscho
+3.76% to +4.00% ------------------- Mikestang
+4.01% to +4.25% ------------------- EternalWingsofGod
+4.26% to +4.50% ------------------- Kexkey

+5.26% to +5.50%-------------------- Amph

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty   (-0.42%)

 BTC/USD: 254

Adjust time:   After 1335 Blocks, About 9.3 days

-0.26% to -0.50% please.

I find this guess unlikely, but since I won the big one last week I decided to sit this one out until late in the guessing and choose whatever was available.  I actually expect a positive this time, but not a high one. 

With the price going up we will probably see difficulty going up (assuming the price sticks), but I would expect a little lag time before that kicks in.  I'm not sure exactly how large farms negotiate their power cost, but having consistent constant power demand (I can't remember what this is called off the top of my head) or at least a minimum usage might play a part.  If that is the case then an otherwise unprofitable farm would need to ensure at least a month of continuous operation before restarting.  Of course, I have no idea if this is actually the case or not.  I do know that around here there are discounted rates for exceeding some high amount of usage (though here isn't the cheap place to put a farm and options vary from place to place).  If that holds true elsewhere then there is more involved than the daily BTC price in deciding if it is profitable to restart a farm or not, thus why I expect some lag in the start/stop decisions. 

I'm quite enjoying the current diff situation.  When I bought my rig in January I expected to be reselling it in May.  It's now July on this rig and, unless diff really shoots up extra fast, I still have enough headroom for undervolting to make it through September and maybe even beyond.  If I can make it to winter then heating offset options are even available to squeeze out a few extra months.  I never thought that would ever be possible.  I may even ROI without selling the rig... imagine that!

-1.01% to -1.25% --------------------- Philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00% --------------------- alh
-0.51% to -0.75% --------------------  Jamphone
-0.01% to -0.25% --------------------- sloopy
-------   0   ------------------------------ mavericklm
+0.01% to +0.25% ------------------- Finsky
+0.26% to +0.50% ------------------  wlefever
+0.51% to +0.75% ------------------- HerbPean
+0.76% to +1.00% ------------------  Last of The V8s
+1.01% to +1.25% ------------------- edonkey
+1.26% to +1.50% ------------------- ezminer --------------second choice as edonkey picked his first choice.
+1.51% to +1.75% ------------------- tss
+1.76% to +2.00% ------------------- Jonnybravo0311
+2.01% to +2.25% ------------------- Biodom
+2.26% to +2.50% ------------------- valkir
+2.51% to +2.75% ------------------- notlist3d
+2.76% to +3.00% ------------------- SunnyIgor
+3.01% to +3.25% ------------------- zebedee
+3.26% to +3.50% ------------------- wpt1wpt1

+3.76% to +4.00% ------------------- Mikestang
+4.01% to +4.25% ------------------- EternalWingsofGod
+4.26% to +4.50% ------------------- Kexkey

+5.26% to +5.50%-------------------- Amph

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty   (-0.42%)

 BTC/USD: 254

Adjust time:   After 1335 Blocks, About 9.3 days

-0.01% to -0.25%

I think it is going to jump hard next round. Hopefully not! Has to soon though.
Seems as though BITMAIN would be hitting the test benches with new product right about now.

well yeah but so far so good.

I am doing a thread on gear right now it is an sp20 thread.  
I am trying to determine failure rates.

on the:

 sp20
 s-5
 s-4
 avalon4.1
 sp30
 sp31
 sp35
 sp4+

I think many miners say fuck this shit when a piece of gear dies.  and this contributes to downward diff pressure.
I bring it up here because the heat of the summer is going to be killing more gear.
I can see low diff for 2 months. with no real worries.
The underclockers of gear like myself may become big winners since they never kill gear. Well hardly ever.

So far so good, but summer is only 6 days old...

-1.01% to -1.25% --------------------- Philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00% --------------------- alh
-0.51% to -0.75% --------------------  Jamphone
-------   0   ------------------------------ mavericklm
+0.01% to +0.25% ------------------- Finsky
+0.26% to +0.50% ------------------  wlefever
+0.51% to +0.75% ------------------- HerbPean
+0.76% to +1.00% ------------------  Last of The V8s
+1.01% to +1.25% ------------------- edonkey
+1.26% to +1.50% ------------------- ezminer --------------second choice as edonkey picked his first choice.
+1.51% to +1.75% ------------------- tss
+1.76% to +2.00% ------------------- Jonnybravo0311
+2.01% to +2.25% ------------------- Biodom
+2.26% to +2.50% ------------------- valkir
+2.51% to +2.75% ------------------- notlist3d
+2.76% to +3.00% ------------------- SunnyIgor
+3.01% to +3.25% ------------------- zebedee
+3.26% to +3.50% ------------------- wpt1wpt1

+3.76% to +4.00% ------------------- Mikestang
+4.01% to +4.25% ------------------- EternalWingsofGod
+4.26% to +4.50% ------------------- Kexkey

+5.26% to +5.50%-------------------- Amph

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty   (-0.54%)

 BTC/USD: 255

-0.51 to -0.75% please

Bitwisdom:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    49,402,014,931
Estimated Next Difficulty:    49,063,094,300 (-0.69%)
Adjust time:    After 1389 Blocks, About 9.7 days
Hashrate(?):    350,499,303 GH/s

So still looking very good.   And with price around 255 I still say great summer for miners.

-1.01% to -1.25% --------------------- Philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00% --------------------- alh

-------   0   ----------------------------- mavericklm
+0.01% to +0.25% ------------------- Finsky
+0.26% to +0.50% ------------------  wlefever
+0.51% to +0.75% ------------------- HerbPean
+0.76% to +1.00% ------------------  Last of The V8s
+1.01% to +1.25% ------------------- edonkey
+1.26% to +1.50% ------------------- ezminer --------------second choice as edonkey picked his first choice.
+1.51% to +1.75% ------------------- tss
+1.76% to +2.00% ------------------- Jonnybravo0311
+2.01% to +2.25% ------------------- Biodom
+2.26% to +2.50% ------------------- valkir
+2.51% to +2.75% ------------------- notlist3d
+2.76% to +3.00% ------------------- SunnyIgor
+3.01% to +3.25% ------------------- zebedee
+3.26% to +3.50% ------------------- wpt1wpt1

+3.76% to +4.00% ------------------- Mikestang
+4.01% to +4.25% ------------------- EternalWingsofGod
+4.26% to +4.50% ------------------- Kexkey

+5.26% to +5.50%-------------------- Amph

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty   (-0.54%)

 BTC/USD: 255