how many of you think we will hit at least 12 blocks a month, in the medium term?
I'd be curious to do a survey of our pool's members on your guesses?
Currently 12 blocks in the next 30 days would put us over 100% luck as we should come in around 10.5 blocks in that time frame. Obviously the # of blocks expected changes as the hash rate changes so the numbers here are irrelevant as soon as I type them. With that said, we will get what we get. 12 to 15 blocks would not surprise me nor would 8.
There will be variance no matter where you mine. We have no control over that and guessing is just that, guessing.
I think we all need to look at all the reasons to mine. Most are mining to make money. We should also mine to support the network and keep it healthy. The large mining pools provide a somewhat consistent payout but take a bigger piece of the pie than t he smaller pools like Kano. The large pools do not help keep the hashing power distributed and the network secure. We need miners distributed across the network more evenly to support the network. This Bitcoin world is managed by miner decisions and with the recent influx we have a whole lot of people who do not understand that. My hope is that the mining world would smarten up a bit and that we do not self destruct.
Any miner that wants to continue mining into the future should be mining on a pool that has less than 10% of the network hash. At least it would be a good start.
Mine on.
What he said. MINE ON WITH KANO-SAN! Heard some rumors that a big boy or two will be moving back here in the next few weeks.