Unless you have reason to think these one or two people selling a lot of shares has insider information, then don't worry about why they are selling.
These events that have happened lately - like Bitfunder - are not changes in the basic fundamentals of Labrat.
what are the fundamentals of LRM? have you seen a balance sheet or income statement?
Here are the fundamentals (which aren't real fundamentals since this is based on LRM projections, not released data):
This hashrate per bond value is currently 81MH/s per bond.
Given a 75% difficulty increase per month, and no new hardware purchases: bonds are valued at
BTC0.015 minus 0.025 per account
hashrate of 400 MH/s per bond
Given a 75% increase per month, and no new hardware purchases
Hashing starting in november, bonds valued at
BTC0.042 minus 0.025 per account
hashrate of 700 MH/s per bond
Given a 75% increase per month, and no new hardware purchases
Hashing starting in november, bonds valued at
BTC0.074 minus 0.025 per account
hashrate of 700 MH/s per bond
Given a 50% difficulty increase per month, and no new hardware purchases
Hashing starting in november, bonds valued at
BTC0.11 minus 0.025 per account
to get to IPO prices, LRM has to 1) add hardware exceeding difficulty and exceeding 700 MH/s per bond with no dilution, 2) hope for < 75% per month difficulty increases, 3) drop extra dividend fees, and 4) get to full hashrate in < 1 month.
At this point, there is no evidence of these improvements happening. I'm not saying it won't happen, just that there is no evidence besides occasional "we're working on deals" comments.
This is why securities follow certain organizational rules and investors demand transparency.
I do not understand your calculation, I find it too optimistic. If I assume 75% increase in difficulty per month, that translates into 20% increase per 10-day period while diff. is constant. This means that if you had 1Ghash per bond now then it would be about 0.1btc that you would ever mine with that. Note that each one month delay would decrease that by 43%.
So a bond with 700Mhash now would mean 0.07btc and the same hash rate in mid November would be 0.04 btc. And this is not the actual value of the bond since all costs still have to be deducted and some risks factored in and there is still no profit in this calculation, just ROI.
Whether it is worth purchasing any gear at all depends a lot on what sort of a deal LR can get. But spending all the funds and getting 700Mhash/bond online in mid Nov. definitely won't cut it. I also strongly urge more transparency because everything depends on these details.