Not to burst your bubble, but ROI on those machines will be way longer than 200 days, so yeah, I believe that is a bit too much...
+ new ASIC tech should come in the spring 2018, it might mean all today's tech would be obsolete...
My guessing on calcs with electric and a guess on difficulty at my winter rate of 12c kWh
Imho, you need a least $90 LTC or more, using that scrypt coin as an example to break even....and that may be low.
I'm including all electric use for 12 months and the bitmain PSU and shipping etc at the current $2040 rate.
Again, this is off the cuff and I used the
www.litecoinpool/calc for ease of use at 101% and no fee.
Likely, you would do 10-15% better on a multipool like Nicehash or Prohashing
So LTC needs to pump to $90 to $100 bucks or my KNC Titans may finally be 'doorstops' with the L3's soon after.
Feel free to correct me, if I'm being too optimistic or pessimistic on this. This is a 'seat of the pants' calc and guess.
Not to burst your bubble, but ROI on those machines will be way longer than 200 days, so yeah, I believe that is a bit too much...
+ new ASIC tech should come in the spring 2018, it might mean all today's tech would be obsolete...
curious to see what bitmain, can and hopefully some new entrants will have available early '18! maybe they can squeeze 25TH/s from an S11, and a few GHz of scrypt from an L5...
I can't even imagine Bitmain releasing an L5 with even more hashing power than the L3+. It would be a bloodbath, lol. They'll need to upgrade their servers again
Bitmain could release an L5+ or whatever. But again, imho, it would be to get better equip to their data hall first (3 months to us say) and
also for their hashnet of pow/scrypt and of course their bet that this would make sense also on a $90 to $100 buck LTC or equiv scrypt pow price.
But as a consumer product as the only consideration, they can just continue to run these out like toasters (S9 Bitmain BTC miner) and adjust price
up/down/sideways as prudent. Myself, I expect them to sell L3+'s into middle of 2018, at reduced prices sure....but they now control 80% or more, of all
ASIC manufacturing for sha-256 (BTC) scrypt-pow (LTC and majority of altcoins) and now x11 (dash)
so the question becomes, they have a 'captive audience' for mining equipment ..so why push new equipment, when the only alternative is the market
the share of 'old designs' you control?
anyway, I know zip.....just saying....