From first 2'000'000 users there are 1'443'323 "Brand New" and 417'536 "Newbie" users. Together these 2 positions amounts to
1'860'859 , this is
93% of all users !! This is huge amount and this information was seen already in my last posts*, where users started to speculate of possible reasons behind this huge new account number. Therefore I decided to take a closer look to these users. There are limited statistics which can be extracted from users profiles thus limited information what we can analyse.
Lets take a look at the biggest group of "users"or id's - "Brand New', term "users" does not seem right since almost all of them do not contribute to the forum in anyway. There are 1'443'323 "Brand New" users. The big question, why so many? My first instinct was to think that bitcointalk.org being an old ,influential domain which is highly ranked in search engines , is heavily abused for creating backlinks. I filtered those accounts which has backlinks in them and it turns out that they are not so many, but the number is notable 1,32% (19'051 Id's)
(1.Graph) of " Brand New's" have them in their profiles. While going trough data, I noticed that there are profiles which has last activity " Never" , I filtered them and it turns out that they are a lot -10,3%
(1.Graph) from all " Brand New's". I am not sure why these users have this kind of " Last Activity" in their profiles , my guess is that they are "nuked" by moderators .
Other stats that can be extracted from user profiles are: post count
(2.Graph) and last activity
(3.Graph). Most of these accounts have not made any posts , there is a small fraction that has made 1+ posts.
If we take a look at
(3.Graph) ,we can see " Brand New" account activity representation, I calculated the difference between last activity and registration date , grouped data and plotted it in respect to days.I excluded the 10,3% with last activity " Never" . We can see that about 76 percent of " Brand News" analysed last active where less then 5 days after registration.
I did similar analysis on " Newbie" accounts , Newbie accounts also has has some notable percentage of links in them, there are about 10 000 accounts with links in their profiles and most likely they are meant as back-links.
(Graph.4) If we take a look at the post count
(6.Graph), we can see that that about 32% of Newbies have made only one post and the rest have made more than 1 post. In the " Activity plot"
(5.Graph) we can see that 32,5% of all " Newbie" accounts are last used 10 days or less after registration.
In conclusion,there is 1,16 million users which have abandoned their accounts after 10 or less days. Small fraction of all Newbie and Brand New accounts have links in their accounts , in majority of them , they are with purpose to use power of this forum to increase google positions of other web-pages , there also is notable percentage of accounts which have status " Never" in Last Activity. The biggest part of inactive accounts are still not explained, some of them could be sleeping spam accounts. In my last posts* users suggested that inactive accounts are consequences of IP bans.
*last posts:
1)
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.419981962)
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.34863787
