Newcastle had a bad spell in the autumn, but then they were able to overcome their draw tendencies and went on a long winning streak. Now it looks like history has repeated itself - they survived the recession and began to churn out victories. In such conditions, Tottenham (which have played one game more, while they have 3 points less) has no chance to break into the fight for the top 4. Not to mention the clubs that are even lower.
What seems to become clearer to people now has already been clear to me right from time? I have always maintained that Newcastle United will remain at the top four of the English Premier League till the end of this year's season.
Why I said so is because I evaluated the team and I saw the level of motivation and teamwork that is among the Players.
Even when a very Star Player is not available for play others will cover up and Newcastle will still perform optimally in that very much.
Apart from the above, Newcastle does not have any European competition to play so they have enough time to practice and they would not be affected by fatigue.
So, their major concern currently is the English Premier League top four and they will not jeopardize that
I'm glad that the reality matches your conclusions, but it could have been different - there is a lot of competition in the Premier League and if not for the failure of Chelsea and Liverpool, all the factors you listed might not work.
On the other hand, when you look at their battle conditions in the remaining matches it's clear that this will be a little more complicated for them. Week 4 of this month will really be a little difficult for them to live because indeed in the last week of April there are Newcastle, Manchester United who are currently competing with Tottenham and there is Liverpool even though for the last few matches Liverpool seem to have returned to their bad phase .
This is a stumbling block that is difficult to return to for Tottenham if they want to try to force a top 4 position.
Newcastle have three really tough games before the end of the season: Tottenham, Arsenal, Chelsea. Tottenham also have three: United, Newcastle, Liverpool. And for Tottenham, difficult games go in a row. I think, given the handicap of Newcastle and United, Tottenham has no chance.