Topic: Martin Armstrong Discussion - page 52. (Read 647170 times)

Please try to understand the following:

The forecast array has 12 columns. For the sake of argument, if each column had a turning point, what would the predictive value of it?

Zero.

If on the other hand, a forecast array had only a single turning point in it, then that would be something. But it would still be of a low value because it can be interpreted as both a low or a high.

The fact is that forecast arrays typically have more than one turning point, in fact many turning points, so the predictive value is low due to the resulting ambiguity.

Why the Repo Report Must Remain Private

Translation:
You haven't bought the report? After you buy it, you will be smarter than everybody else on the planet. You don't know what is unfolding? Buy, buy, buy!...

I am asking everyone to please refrain from telling the world what is really taking place. Only the core people involved in high-level finance understand the risks and can see what is unfolding.

It is just that I am the only one who can speak right now. There are even central banks that are still grasping to comprehend this crisis. It is best to keep this private at this time. Otherwise, when the crisis hits, the government will blame me and you because they cannot admit they have created this nightmare.

We have been helping institutions to prepare in hopes of mitigating the serious implications which can take down many. We have to work on this quietly. So please do not even discuss this in social media. We must let it unfold FIRST, or run the risk of being blamed for creating a panic. It is not worth the risk. Just look after yourself right now. This is coming and nobody can stop it. So do not stand in the way as a target for they will desperately need scapegoats.

...
I have no idea what you mean about with extremes/highs/lows, post up a drawing like I did so we know what you're talking about...

That's the trouble, you can't do many samples because those arrays aren't available via Socrates......I ran into the same issue back in 2016. Only way to get those are to wait for him to post them online in his blog or take them out of a report.  Find me more current ones and I'll be happy to run tests galore.

...
I did a ton of testing on Socrates when it came out and all of it was basically junk but for some reason the arrays on his private system were significantly different and appeared to have some accuracy to them (I don't know why)...

I have to laugh. Why?

Look at these arrays. There are 12 columns in every array, right?

In this one, it has 6 extremes to pick from, right? 3 highs and 3 lows. 6 out of 12 that is 50%. Please note that in Armstrong speak, there is no difference between high and low, right?

So we have a probability of roughly 50% already that any attempt to fit any curve to this in the way that our Charlatan in Chief advises us to do, will actually be successful. Then you have the variation that these arrays are actually dynamic, so the highs and lows are not fixed while time moves on.

What does this mean? It means that for a curve fitting exercise (in hindsight) you can choose perhaps out of 4 different arrays the one that suits you best. At the end of the day, your success will always be 100%.

Now you think: hey, I have fitted the past with a great deal of cherry-picking, and therefore, the future will cooperate and follow the path of the array into the future? That is pure bullshit. Many people have tried this before. It never worked.

I posted this way back on page 319 and tried to use one of MA's arrays to predict a change in the GBPUSD pair as a way to see if there was anything worthwhile. I don't think it's conclusive by any means, but to me there appears to be more than just a coincidence that it did in fact show something (note the white lines I drew in using the info on the array) in both major direction changes on the currency. The presumption now from the array is that it will continue down at least until the end of the time frame shown. Now again this was just my interpretation not MA at all (personally I don't think he even knows how to read his own stuff). Anyway I thought I would share since it appears there might be something worth pursuing at least from a cycle perspective.

And for Armstrong saying "Apparently this has been the fastest selling book ever on Amazon" https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/products_services/products/manipulating-the-world-economy-coming-third-edition/

doesn't anyone think it's strange for the fastest selling book on Amazon to have only 11 reviews?

[...]
I guess there is no reason to ask yourself why is there NO REVIEWS AT ALL yet from people who bought the "fastest-selling book ever on Amazon", except the "reviews" which say "I can't believe I missed out on getting a copy.".

Do the same thing over many samples and report back, thanks. Cooincidence and confirmation bias is all it is.

He's too old to realize.

He also posted a clearly fake tweet of a Democrat politician like a year ago.

But hey, Marty also believes his own bullshit.

I hope Marty realizes his latest post features CGI.

Robot Soldiers

Categories: War
Tags: Cycle of War, video

Traxo, there is a problem. You desperately trying to spin that I believe in omniscient Socrates, yet I never claim such thing. Furthermore, I even stay away to comment on it, as I don't have much experience with it.
What is your problem with MA, idk, and I don't care. If it makes you happy to spew bs and hatred on MA, it's your choice. I'll go after the knowledge and understanding, which MA is willing to share.

We are lucky that he is sharing some of his knowledge publicly

What is even more ironic, you think that someone believes your spewing of bs and hatred.

And his cult member or paid shill who comes to tell us about it:  

I have Investor level for some time now, and yes, there was a change where regional subscriptions have been condensed to a single site membership. My original intention of subscribing was to be a small sign of gratitude for all the work that MA has done (and still doing), and more importantly, that he is willing to share it publicly. I learned (understand more importantly) so much about economics by reading his blog, and my starting point on economics was absolute beginner.

But this guy just doesn't stop to amaze me. I was following Socrates on irregular level, since I didn't understand much in the beginning. But in the same time, as time was allowing, I started to educate myself on the actual modelling that MA is doing. And it's not a trivial thing to understand. Lately I started to have a grasp of what MA is actually doing with his modelling, and I can start to imagine the amount of work that MA has put into it. And from my point of view, it's monumental.

From where I sit now, if I decide to put some money in trading, I wouldn't think twice to subscribe to the Trader level, which is still not available. I would love to put my hands on the information for the Reversals coupled with the Timing Arrays. Since one without the other, doesn't quite provide that much of a view.
If one by subscribing expects to receive straight forward guidance to buy, or sell, then forget about it. I wouldn't recommend to subscribe, since one can get disappointed, and maybe come back and bash on MA.
But, if one puts an effort in order to UNDERSTAND what MA and his modelling is about, then that will separate the men from the boys. Pls be aware though, it's not a trivial process, at least not for me, .

I'm assuming that information for the Reversals and the Timing Arrays are only available to MA's clients. Also I'm wondering, has maybe MA sometimes in the past published publicly the fixed frequencies of the transverse waves for some of the markets.