The investment is serving as a hedge to the dollar so the investment would be serving that purpose whether it is in profits or at a loss.
Say what? Bitcoin isn't much of a hedge against the dollar if it drops below the dollar value you bought it at--does that make sense or am I missing something?
My understanding of hedging is a long term thing, so it is based on differing concepts. So for example, historically gold has been considered as a hedge against the dollar in terms of sound money principles, but surely gold has not been performing very well as a hedge because partly it has been manipulated a lot in terms of almost converting it into a dollar product - but if shit hit the fan with Armageddon, and the only means of currency was various hard assets, then gold could well ending as a very decent medium of exchange in those kinds of circumstances
NOT everyone is going to agree that bitcoin is a better hedge than gold, but in late 2013, one of my initial reasons to get into bitcoin was because I considered it as a better than gold hedge.. and likely that investment thesis regarding bitcoin is stronger than it was in 2013.
Of course, we might not always know why one asset goes up against another, but sometimes if we zoom out longer term, we can have a lot of better ideas regarding what is going on.. but even if you zoom out, you might not get it right or even understand what the fuck is going on (not referring to you specifically, pharmacist), so for example in March 2020, bitcoin fell in value more than the dollar and more than equities and even more than gold and gold was performing better than bitcoin for a few months, until it did not.. so a lot of people were spouting out about bitcoin lacking in hedging properties, and they can believe their nonsense hopes all that they like, seems to me that bitcoin already has been eating golds lunch and will continue to eat gold's lunch as well as absorbing value from a lot of other storage of value assets, because bitcoin is a superior product, whether you recognize it or not.. and whether it takes 10-50 years for the whole matter to play out.. including that we can also see a lot of hedging properties in bitcoin in shorter time frames, but sometimes it can be difficult to either understand or to appreciate what is going on when caught in the middle of it..
Regardless, I am hoping that companies like MSTR don't decide or get forced to sell their bitcoin holdings because of this drop.
Seems that MSTR specifically is in a pretty decent position and they will neither sell and it seems quite likely that the market is not going to force them in that direction. There might be other companies who play their cards differently and might get caught on the wrong side of trades... that then force them to do even dumber things...
Of course, public companies are going to have to be a bit more transparent than other kinds of companies, so even if the information might appear to go all over the place regarding what they did, what they are doing or what they plan to do, there is going to be some information better than other information too, and frequently, short term exaggerations of market movements can be opportunities for regular peeps and smaller players to take advantage of the information disparities and some of the pure nonsense that is being spouted out as if it were true.
That would likely be catastrophic to the entire crypto market. I think there must have been at least some selling by institutional investors and/or deep-pocket speculators in the last week and a half, because there hasn't been any seriously bad news about bitcoin other than Elon Musk's tweeting (though he's very influential and people might have taken his words to heart).
Even though the information is different than previously, and sometimes the exaggerations can attempt to make the situation seem worse than ever or "unprecedented" many of us are still going to recognize either buying opportunities or at least HODLing opportunities rather than getting frustrated, selling, or failing/refusing to buy because expecting the price to drop more and such further drop might not happen. Frequently failing to prepare for UP can be almost as bad as overly preparing for DOWN.
It should be interesting to see what MSTR's stock price does this week, if it reacts to bitcoin's losses--which I'm almost certain it will.
I still believe that "this week? is too short of a time horizon, and seems to me that MSTR will likely disclose at some point that it bought $10 million or $20 million or $30 million or maybe even more bitcoin.. .. but even if they did not buy this week or during this particular dippening
(or announce that they bought)... so what.